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CLIMATE SCIENCE
Aiming for zero: cities, companies ramp up climate goals
By Ivan Couronne, Marlowe HOOD
San Francisco (AFP) Sept 13, 2018

'Raise ambition level' in climate change fight: UN weather chief
Geneva (AFP) Sept 13, 2018 - Countries need to dramatically hike their ambitions in the fight against climate change, the World Meteorological Organization said Thursday, warning that the planet will soon be locked in a cycle of relentless warming.

"The ambition level has been too low," WMO chief Petteri Taalas told reporters in Geneva, warning that the world is on track this century to see three to four times greater temperature rises than the stated objective in the 2015 Paris agreement.

World leaders who signed the agreement committed to a series of measures to limit global temperature rises to less than 2.0 degrees Celsius (3.6 Fahrenheit) overall and to below 1.5 degrees by the end of the century.

But recent studies show the world is off track and likely to miss that target.

"We know that if we want to reach 1.5 degrees, ambition levels should be extremely high, and one might say it is not very realistic to achieve 1.5 degrees," Taalas said.

- Runaway climate change? -

"Globally we haven't been able to follow such a path that would lead to 1.5 and two degrees," he said, warning that "we are rather going towards three to five degrees... by the end of this century."

Taalas pointed out that currently, 85 percent of global energy is produced using fossil fuels, with only 15 percent coming from a combination of nuclear, hydropower and renewable energies.

"To be successful in climate mitigation we should reverse those numbers," he said.

He also insisted that more needs to be done to "electrify our transport systems", and called for people to move more towards vegetarian diets to help reduce the high levels of greenhouse gas emissions during meat production.

With 2018 shaping up to be the fourth hottest year on record, UN chief Antonio Guterres warned earlier this week that the world needed to act within two years to avert the disastrous consequences of runaway climate change.

Taalas did not mention a similar cut-off point, but he stressed that if more is not done to rein in emissions, global temperatures will soar far past the two-degree target.

"We will reach eight degrees warmer climate that would last up to tens of thousands of years," he warned, pointing out that carbon dioxide, once emitted, can remain in the atmosphere for millenia.

Even if countries step up now and do everything needed to ensure the Paris target is met, Taalas pointed out that the planet will continue warming and glaciers in Greenland, Antarctica and elsewhere will continue melting for at least the next 50 years.

"If we are able to control emissions, we would see the stabilisation of the situation in the 2060s," he said.

"The melting doesn't stop immediately. It is a slow process," he said, adding that even if the Paris targets are met, global sea levels are expected to rise one metre by the end of the next century.

If we don't meet the Paris targets, however, we should expect global sea levels to rise by one metre each century, and this "will continue for thousands of years," Taalas said.

Zero fossil fuel energy, zero gas-guzzlers on the road, zero waste, zero CO2 emissions -- dozens of cities, regions and companies made "zero" pledges Thursday at a global climate summit in San Francisco.

The mayors, governors, and CEOs from around the world have stepped into the climate breach with concrete action as UN talks to implement the Paris climate treaty falter, and President Donald Trump dismantles US policies to curb greenhouse gas emissions.

Global warming, meanwhile, continues to gather pace: major storms bearing down on the US eastern seaboard and the Philippines, and wildfires ravaging California, bear the unmistakable fingerprint of climate change, scientists say.

"This is real and we will take action even if Washington doesn't," said Los Angeles mayor Eric Garcetti.

Jointly organized by California governor Jerry Brown and former New York mayor Michael Bloomberg, the three-day gathering is a showcase for initiatives, big and small, to reduce humanity's carbon footprint.

Many center on switching from cars and trucks powered by planet-warming fossil fuels to electric vehicles.

On Thursday, dozens of states, regions and major cities committed to allowing only zero-emission cars, buses and trucks on their roads within a few decades.

Tokyo, Seoul and Rotterdam, meanwhile, joined Paris, London, Barcelona and Mexico City in vowing to run only electric buses by 2025.

Even a decade ago, such commitments would have seemed unthinkable, said Nicholas Stern, who heads the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment in London.

- 'Liar, criminal, fool' -

"Who would have thought that the heads of major car companies would all be agreeing that the era of the internal combustion engine is coming to an end," he told AFP.

In the United States, vehicle emissions are the single largest source of greenhouse gases.

Electricity grids around the world are also purging fossil-fuel-based energy.

Brown signed legislation this week committing California -- the fifth largest economy in the world -- to 100 percent clean electricity by 2045.

He also penned an executive order mandating net-zero carbon emissions throughout the state's economy by 2045.

"That is the most ambitious goal of anywhere in the world," he told AFP.

Brown had tough words for Trump, who yanked the US out of the landmark Paris Agreement and is trying to rescind California's right to set its own vehicle emissions standard.

His actions "border not only on insanity, but on criminality," he told journalists.

"Liar, criminal, fool -- take your choice," he added when asked what Trump's environmental legacy would be.

Bloomberg, who leads the C40 climate-centered coalition of big city mayors, noted many of the policies affecting carbon pollution are local.

"In the US, the decisions that have the most influence over greenhouse gas emissions are not made by the federal government," he said.

- 'Fight for our life' -

"They are made by mayors and governors who want to deliver cheaper energy, more jobs and cleaner air. And by CEOs, who want to save money on energy costs and capitalize on new business opportunities."

Entertainment and electronics giant Sony Corporation committed this week to running its global operations only with renewable energy, joining more than 140 multinationals -- three-quarters of them having pledged to do so before 2030.

"This is part of our 'Road to Zero' initiative to eliminate our environmental footprint," said Sony President and CEO Kenichiro Yoshida.

Also on Thursday, more than two dozen cities that are home to 54 million people announced that their greenhouse gas emissions had peaked.

Scientists have calculated that global emissions need to peak by 2020 to avoid the worst ravages of global warming, including deadly heatwaves, droughts and rising sea levels.

"The transition to a net-zero economy is the growth story of the century," Stern said. "There is not long-run high carbon story."

At least one head of state at the conference has followed suit.

"We are in a fight for our own existence," said Barbados Prime Minister Mia Mottley.

"It is for that reason that we have set 2030 as the target for us to have a fossil fuel free economy."


Related Links
Climate Science News - Modeling, Mitigation Adaptation


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CLIMATE SCIENCE
Prehistoric changes in vegetation help predict future of Earth's ecosystems
Tucson AZ (SPX) Sep 11, 2018
As the last ice age came to an end and the planet warmed, the Earth's vegetation changed dramatically, reports a University of Arizona-led international research team. The current warming from climate change may drive an equally dramatic change in vegetation within the next 100 to 150 years unless greenhouse-gas emissions are reduced, the team wrote. "We found that ecosystems all over the globe experienced big changes," said Connor Nolan, a doctoral candidate in the UA Department of Geoscien ... read more

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