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TRADE WARS
Australia tells China mining tax won't drive up prices

Latin America fights eurozone fears
Sao Paulo (UPI) May 20, 2010 - Latin American economies, buoyant after export gains, are now apprehensive over the spillover effects of the eurozone crisis. Brazilian officials reassured investors the economy was well positioned to face a downturn resulting from market developments in Europe. But, despite the assurances, declining stocks continued to generate investor alarm over the new stage of the eurozone crisis. Stocks have fallen elsewhere in Latin America, too, eroding recent gains on the markets and rattling investors in Mexico, Chile and elsewhere.

Market analysts fear a eurozone spillover could cancel out benefits of Latin America's early recovery after the 2008 downtown. Brazilian officials remained upbeat. Central Bank President Henrique Meirelles announced in New York the country was prepared to blunt any effects of the fiscal crisis in Europe. Analysts said the bank's confidence was built on accessibility to Brazil's foreign exchange reserves that could be deployed in case of a credit squeeze. During a webcast hosted by Ernst & Young on Brazil's business outlook, Meirelles predicted a fiscal consolidation across Europe would slow down growth in one of the largest markets for Latin America. "The crisis is good for no one," he said, adding it now seemed "possible, but very unlikely" that the crisis could have the same dimension as the 2008 downturn.

Brazil is moving toward the year's end confident of a smooth transition from outgoing President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, credited with engineering the country's economic recovery. His handpicked candidate from the Workers Party, Dilma Rousseff, is widely tipped to win. However, latest opinion polls indicated support for Rousseff is running parallel to support for rival Jose Serra, former governor of the state of Sao Paulo. Any economic upsets that impact on Lula's ambitious economic regeneration program, extensive military modernization and diplomatic initiatives to consolidate Brazil's claim to political leadership in Latin American could directly reflect on Rousseff's chances at the polls.

Meanwhile, Brazil's main political party ratified support for Michel Temer, 70, head of the Lower House, who will complete the incumbent presidential ticket with Rousseff at the October presidential election, when Lula's eight-year presidency ends. Temer's Brazilian Democratic Movement party has a majority representation in Congress and is rated by observers as the most influential of political groupings in Lula's government. PMDB's support has ensured for Lula's Workers Party a congressional majority that has helped Lula push through legislation for his ambitious program. Temer was chosen unanimously during a meeting of the party's executive committee in Brasilia. The candidacy will be made official at a party convention in June.
by Staff Writers
Sydney (AFP) May 20, 2010
Australia on Thursday assured China that a controversial mining tax will not drive up commodities prices and held talks with global giant Rio Tinto, in a bid to quell industry fury over the levy.

Trade Minister Simon Crean told reporters in Shanghai that the 40 percent Resources Super Profits Tax would raise supply by replacing flat royalty fees, encouraging smaller projects.

"It is likely to increase the supply of those exports," Crean said late on Wednesday, according to an official transcript.

"It will not increase the price, because it's not a tax on consumption, it's a tax on profits."

Crean said prices for materials such as iron ore and coal were being inflated because demand was outstripping supply. The new regime would redress the balance by stimulating output from marginal operators, he said.

"From the economic modelling that has been done in relation to this tax, the conclusion is that it will result in a six to seven percent increase in mining investment," the trade minister said.

David Peever, Rio's managing director for Australia met Treasury officials in Canberra Thursday to press the company's case against the reforms, a spokesman told AFP.

"We've raised our concerns, though we've said we'll respect the consultation and committee process such as it is, and that's what we're doing," the spokesman said.

But Andrew Forrest, head of Australia's third-largest iron ore producer Fortescue Metals Group, said consultations had been futile and he was advised nothing in the package would be changed.

"They said 'if you want to get rid of this tax, you have to change the government'," said Forrest, who this week put two massive iron ore projects worth a combined 15 billion US dollars on hold.

Treasurer Wayne Swan defended the consultation process as "genuine" and said there would be "sections of the industry that will run scare campaigns, that will defend their interests.

"My job is to defend the national interest."

Crean said he had invited China -- Australia's biggest trading partner and a major investor in its vital resources sector -- to take part in the consultation.

But he emphasised that Beijing needed to accept prices were determined by market forces, adding that "if China wants to be recognised as a market economy, it has to act like one".

Crean dismissed reports that he had warned Chinese officials against introducing an import tax on Australian iron ore, saying it "did not get raised" during talks with the National Development and Reform Commission.

"Introducing new taxes at the border is not conducive to trade or to market economies," Crean said. "In fact, it is also increasing the input costs to the Chinese market."

The planned 40 percent super tax has drawn a furious response from companies, with giants BHP Billiton and Rio reviewing their Australian operations and other firms suspending projects.

The Minerals Council of Australia (MCA), whose members include BHP, Rio and Brazil's Vale, stepped up its advertising campaign against the reforms Thursday with a fresh series of full-page advertisements in the nation's broadsheet press.

Warning that billions of dollars in investment had already been suspended, and the retirement savings of millions of Australians linked to blue-chip mining stocks had plunged, the ads said "everyone" would be hit by the tax.

"More projects will be threatened, tens of thousands of jobs put at risk and the wellbeing of communities all over Australia threatened," the MCA warned.

Grassroots political movement GetUp! countered with their own adverts, accusing mining chiefs of mounting a "scare campaign" in a bid to protect their own earnings.

"These executives make 100 times the average Australian salary," said the newspaper ads, which pictured the heads of BHP, Rio and Xstrata, all strong opponents of the new levy.



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