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TRADE WARS
Brazil urged to rebalance its trade ties with Beijing
by Staff Writers
Sao Paulo (AFP) Nov 3, 2011

IMF chief to visit Russia, China, Japan
Washington (AFP) Nov 3, 2011 - International Monetary Fund chief Christine Lagarde has chosen Russia, China and Japan as the first countries outside the European Union to visit since taking office in July, an IMF spokesman said Thursday.

The trip comes as all three countries have expressed interest in providing financial assistance to Europe, but under the IMF's guide or oversight, as a part of the EU plan to resolve the public debt crisis.

The IMF managing director, currently attending the two-day Group of 20 summit in Cannes, France, will be in Moscow next Monday and Tuesday, spokesman David Hawley said.

She is scheduled to give a public lecture at the State University of the Ministry of Finance, and a press conference before leaving for China, he said.

Lagarde will be in Beijing on November 9 and 10 to meet with authorities and deliver a speech to the International Finance Forum.

The forum was created by the Chinese government, the United Nations and private financial institutions to promote "global sustainable development."

Lagarde also will hold a news conference in the Chinese capital, the spokesman said, then travel to Tokyo where she will hold meetings with Japanese officials on November 12.

The former French finance minister has been criss-crossing the Atlantic on trips to Europe since taking the IMF helm in July, participating in negotiations on the eurozone debt crisis and G20 meetings organized by France.


Resource-rich Brazil must rebalance its ties with its key trading partner China but must not allow growing anti-Chinese sentiment among its manufacturers to harm flourishing exchanges, experts said Thursday.

"Brazil gets very little (from the relationship), China gets much more," Matias Spektor, head of the Getulio Vargas Foundation's center of international relations," told a conference focusing on Brazil's aspirations as an economic superpower.

From January to September 2011, bilateral trade totaled around 57.6 billion dollars, with a nine billion surplus in Brasilia's favor, up from 56 billion dollars for the whole of last year, according to official Brazilian statistics.

By contrast, US-Brazilian trade reached 43.3 billion dollars during the first nine months of the year, up from 46 billion for the whole of 2010.

Spektor said the United States could help Brazil achieve a stronger bargaining position in its dealings with Beijing.

"The United States and Brazil are potential allies. Washington can help Brazil deal with Beijing in a more symmetrical way," he added.

To feed its growing appetite for agricultural and mineral commodities, cash-rich China has boosted trade links with Latin America in recent years, notably becoming Brazil's largest commercial partner.

Iron ore and soybeans represent more than 80 percent of Brazil's exports to China, which in turn sells mostly manufactured goods to its fellow member in the so-called BRICS group of emerging powers (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa).

Brazilian manufacturers have been complaining about the influx of cheap Chinese imports.

And Spektor said this was feeding growing anti-Chinese sentiment not only in Brazil but also across Latin America.

But Charles Tang, chairman of the Brazil-China Chamber of Commerce, told the conference that Beijing was not to blame for the so-called "Brazil cost", referring to the high cost of domestic manufacturing, labor and transport prices, which push some buyers to seek goods in China rather than from local sources.

"This anti-Chinese sentiment could give rise to nationalism that woud play against the interest of Brazil," he warned.

"Many Brazilian entrepreneurs understand that China offers a wealth of opportunities... We have to strengthen Brazilian entrepreneurs," Tang said.

Spektor stressed the need for Latin American coutries to speak with "a single voice" when dealing with Beijing.

The two-day conference, organized by the Brazilian Association of Information Technology and Communication Companies (BRASSCOM) and the British magazine The Economist, focused on the goal of making Brazil the world's fifth largest economy by 2022, when it marks its bicentennial as an independent nation.

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China and Germany to boost domestic demand: draft G20 deal
Cannes, France (AFP) Nov 3, 2011 - The world's most successful exporters, led by China and Germany, will take new measures to boost domestic consumer demand, according to a draft statement debated at the G20 summit Thursday.

According to a version of the probable final communique of the meeting, the world's export powerhouses will agree to try to rebalance global trade flows and boost job creation by reducing their trade deficits with their partners.

"Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Germany, Korea and Indonesia, where public finances remain relatively strong ... agree to take discretionary measures to support domestic demand as appropriate," the draft says.

The leaders of the world's most powerful economies, who between them account for more than 85 percent of global output, are meeting in the French resort of Cannes to discuss ways of kickstarting growth and heading off recession.

Thursday's talks were dominated by the eurozone sovereign debt crisis and measures to boost the IMF and the European Union rescue fund, in order to save the EU single currency and protect banks in the event of a Greek default.

On Friday, the powers are due to discuss measures to boost growth, and manufacturers and exporters such as China and Germany are expected to come under pressure to expand domestic demand.

According to the statement, economies "in surplus will adopt macroeconomic policies to move towards more domestic-led growth, thus supporting the global recovery and financial stability."

The statement, which has yet to be approved, but which has been seen by AFP, also prescribes specific remedies for the top two net exporters.

"Germany will implement measures to promote private consumption and investment ... by alleviating inefficiencies that may underpin low investment and high private savings," it says.

"China will rebalance demand towards domestic consumption by implementing measures to strengthen social safety nets, increase household income and transform the economic growth pattern," it suggests.

"These actions will be reinforced by ongoing measures to promote greater exchange rate flexibility, to better reflect underlying economic fundamentals and gradually reduce the pace of accumulation of foreign reserves."

The G20 summit is due to finish on Friday.



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