Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Earth Science News .




TRADE WARS
China Q1 growth slows to 7.3%: AFP survey
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) April 14, 2014


China's economic expansion slowed in the first three months of this year, according to an AFP survey, and remains on track for its worst annual performance in nearly a quarter-century as reform priorities trump growth concerns.

Gross domestic product (GDP) in the January-March period expanded 7.3 percent from the same period last year, the median forecast in AFP's survey of 13 economists said.

The National Bureau of Statistics is scheduled to release GDP data for the first quarter on Wednesday.

The result would mark the fourth slowdown in the past six quarters. It comes as the government signals a willingness to accept weaker growth, as the country's economic model pivots away from decades of double-digit expansion fuelled by big-ticket investment projects.

Now, authorities say they want consumer spending and other forms of private demand to propel the world's second-largest economy into a future of more sound and sustainable growth, though they are quick to emphasise that rebalancing must not come at the expense of job creation.

China's ultimate success or failure in retooling its economic model has broad implications for the rest of the world, which has come increasingly to rely on the country as a driver of global growth as the West emerges slowly from the 2008 financial crisis.

Tang Jianwei, Shanghai-based economist with Bank of Communications, said Chinese authorities will be careful to strike a balance between supporting growth and pushing reform, but will avoid large-scale stimulus.

"The focus is still on reform," he told AFP.

China last month set its annual growth target for this year at about 7.5 percent, the same as last year.

But officials, including Premier Li Keqiang, have been quick to stress that the target is flexible -- seen as a hint it may not be reached.

Li said authorities are focused on how growth contributes to improving livelihoods, stressing it "needs to ensure fairly full employment and needs to help increase people's incomes".

The last time China missed the growth target was in 1998 during the Asian economic crisis.

GDP grew 7.7 percent in 2013, the same result as 2012, which was the worst pace since 7.6 percent in 1999.

The last time annual growth came in below 7.6 percent was 1990 -- the year after the Tiananmen Square crackdown when China was hit by international sanctions and GDP grew just 3.8 percent.

For the full-year 2014, the median forecast in the AFP survey is for an expansion of 7.4 percent.

- Stimulus coming? -

The International Monetary Fund believes China is now on course for medium-term growth "substantially below the 10-percent average rate recorded during the past 30 years".

In a report last week, the IMF predicted GDP would grow 7.5 percent this year and 7.3 percent next year.

Economic indicators in the first quarter of this year have shown weakness in areas including trade, industrial production, manufacturing and prices.

"China saw a soft start to 2014, with the main indicators having disappointed the market so far this year," Sun Junwei, China economist at HSBC, said in an e-mail.

She added, however, that growth could get a boost as "mini-stimulus" measures announced earlier this month -- including tax breaks for small companies and targeted infrastructure outlays -- move through the system towards the end of the current second quarter.

Premier Li last week, however, downplayed expectations for significant moves to juice growth.

"We will not resort to short-term stimulus policies just because of temporary economic fluctuations and we will pay more attention to sound development in the medium- and long-run," he said in a speech, state media reported.

Yet economists said further weakness may tip the government's hand.

"Growth could slip further in the second quarter," Wendy Chen, Shanghai-based economist at Nomura International, told AFP.

"And if the economy showed signs of a further slowdown, it's very likely for China to introduce easing measures in both monetary and fiscal policies, pushing the overall economy to rebound in the second half."

Chen said that a cut in the reserve requirement ratio, which is the amount of cash banks must keep on hand, is likely.

Authorities have used that tool in the past in a bid to free up funds for lending to stimulate the economy.

"And there's a bigger probability of an interest rate cut if the economy weakens further," Chen said.

.


Related Links
Global Trade News






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle




Memory Foam Mattress Review
Newsletters :: SpaceDaily :: SpaceWar :: TerraDaily :: Energy Daily
XML Feeds :: Space News :: Earth News :: War News :: Solar Energy News





TRADE WARS
Taiwan demonstrators end parliament seizure, threaten more protests
Taipei (AFP) April 10, 2014
Student activists Thursday ended an unprecedented three-week occupation of Taiwan's parliament in protest at a service trade pact with China, but threatened more action unless their demands are met. "The departure does not mean we are giving up," said student leader Lin Fei-fan, shortly before dozens of demonstrators clad in black T-shirts walked out of the building at around 6 pm (1000 GMT) ... read more


TRADE WARS
Hunt for MH370 closes in on 'final resting place'

Italy sounds alarm as 4,000 immigrants land

New risk factors for avalanche trigger revealed

Obama to visit US landslide site as death toll rises

TRADE WARS
Refreshingly cool, potentially toxic

Vanguard Space Technologies Antenna Reflectors on Amazonas Satellite Launch

Headwall Extends Global Reach in Asia/Pac and Israel

A new twist for better steel

TRADE WARS
Cyprus opens sewage plant in rare cross-communal effort

Not so dirty: Methane fuels life in pristine chalk rivers

The Atlantic Ocean dances with the Sun and volcanoes

Warming Climate May Spread Drying to a Third of Earth

TRADE WARS
Permafrost thawing could accelerate global warming

Finnish research improves the reliability of ice friction assessment

Good pay, no crime: life is good in Chilean Antarctica

River ice reveals new twist on Arctic melt

TRADE WARS
Chinese pork firm $5.3 bn IPO set to be the biggest in a year

Field study shows why food quality will suffer with rising CO2

The tiniest greenhouse gas emitters

Taking action to deliver agriculture growth, jobs, food security in face of climate change

TRADE WARS
Death toll rises to 23 in Solomons floods

Death toll rises to 16 in Solomons floods, 49,000 homeless

Disease threatens flood-hit Solomons

Japanese volcanic island swallows neighbor

TRADE WARS
Top Nigerian Islamic body accuses military over Muslim deaths

DR Congo rebel crackdown should not endanger hostages: charity

French forces move east in new phase of C. Africa operation

Nigerian military hits back at Boko Haram abuse claims

TRADE WARS
New method confirms humans and Neandertals interbred

Indigenous societies' 'first contact' typically brings collapse, but rebounds are possible

Technofossils are an unprecedented legacy left behind by humans

Scientists build 'designer' chromosome




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement All images and articles appearing on Space Media Network have been edited or digitally altered in some way. Any requests to remove copyright material will be acted upon in a timely and appropriate manner. Any attempt to extort money from Space Media Network will be ignored and reported to Australian Law Enforcement Agencies as a potential case of financial fraud involving the use of a telephonic carriage device or postal service.