Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Earth Science News .




POLITICAL ECONOMY
China and India manufacturing boosts recovery hopes
by Staff Writers
New Delhi (AFP) May 2, 2012


China manufacturing contracts in April: HSBC
Shanghai (AFP) May 2, 2012 - Manufacturing activity in China contracted for the sixth straight month in April but at a much slower pace, banking giant HSBC said Wednesday, lifting hopes the giant economy may have turned a corner.

HSBC's purchasing managers index (PMI) came in a 49.3 in April, up from 48.3 in March, HSBC said in a statement.

A reading below 50 indicates contraction, while anything above 50 points to expansion. The figure is also higher than the preliminary 49.1 announced by the bank on April 23.

It comes a day after official PMI data showed manufacturing activity at its highest level in 13 months in April, lifting hopes that Asia's biggest economy is picking up after a recent lull.

"As easing measures are starting to work and additional easing measures are on the way... we expect Chinese GDP growth to bottom out in (the second quarter) and recover modestly," HSBC's chief economist for China, Qu Hongbin, said in the statement.

He forecast gross domestic product (GDP) growth of more than 8.5 percent for the second half of the year.

China's economy grew 8.1 percent in the first quarter of 2012, its slowest pace in nearly three years.

Beijing has already cut bank reserve requirements twice since December as policymakers aim to boost lending to spur growth. Analysts widely expect the government to further loosen monetary policy as it looks to kickstart growth.

HSBC's PMI figures are typically more pessimistic than China's official numbers, which on Tuesday showed activity at its highest since March last year.

Official PMI hit 53.3 in April, the fifth consecutive month of expansion, the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said Tuesday.

Analysts say the HSBC survey puts greater emphasis on small firms, which have suffered more in the current economic slowdown than state-owned giants.

"Both the HSBC and the official PMI readings showed there was an improvement in April and China's economic growth is further stabilising," Liao Qun, chief China economist for Citic Bank International, told AFP.

"China will continue to moderately loosen its monetary policy this year in a gradual manner, mainly through cuts in banks' reserve requirements," he said.

Analysts have fretted recently that China's economy was headed for a hard landing as Europe's sovereign debt crisis and the weak US economy hit exports, a key driver of growth.

Factory activity picked up pace in Asia with China showing stronger momentum and India also gathering steam, according to business surveys released on Wednesday, buoying recovery hopes in the region.

HSBC's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), a measure of manufacturing activity, increased for China in April, suggesting the health of the world's second-largest economy was improving.

India's factory sector also edged higher month-on-month, led by new orders, the HSBC's Indian PMI suggested, striking a brighter note for the South Asian country that is facing escalating economic and fiscal challenges.

"These are still soft numbers but we may be seeing Chinese -- and Asian growth -- starting to stabilise," Brian Jackson, senior emerging markets strategist at the Royal Bank of Canada in Hong Kong, told AFP.

HSBC's China PMI improved to 49.3 in April from 48.3 in March and "confirms the pace of China's slowdown has stabilized", said HSBC China economist Hongbin Qu.

An index reading over 50 signals growth while below 50 indicates contraction.

While HSBC's China index reading was not as strong as Beijing's official PMI reading the previous day which hit a 13-month high of 53.3 in April, the HSBC economist said: "We expect Chinese GDP growth to bottom out in the second quarter and recover modestly to over 8.5 percent in the second half."

China's annual growth slowed to 8.1 percent in the first quarter of 2012 from 8.9 percent in the previous three months -- its slowest pace in nearly three years.

"These (PMI) numbers are good news along with the numbers out of the US," said Royal Bank of Canada's Jackson, referring to the US Institute for Supply Management, which reported a surprise rise Tuesday in its widely watched manufacturing index.

Strong orders lifted India's PMI manufacturing activity to 54.9 in April from 54.7 in March even as rising prices spotlighted still stubborn inflation risks.

"Business conditions seem to have improved a bit and the increase in order flows from domestic and overseas customers suggest the pace of growth could hold up in coming months," said HSBC's chief India economist Leif Eskesen.

There was also upbeat data from South Korea with factory output rising at the fastest clip in more than a year as new orders sustained a third straight month of manufacturing expansion.

Monetary easing by key trading partners, such as China, "is filtering through to higher demand for Korean goods", said HSBC economist Ronald Man.

The firmer Asian manufacturing numbers swept many Asian stock markets higher with Hong Kong rising 1.02 percent, Shanghai climbing 1.76 percent and Seoul adding 0.86 percent even as gloom over eurozone output remained a bearish factor.

The Markit Purchasing Managers' Index for the euro zone slumped to 45.9 from 47.7 in March, signalling shrinking of the manufacturing sector, and suggesting a growing economic chasm between Europe and the rest of the world.

Taiwan's manufacturing sector grew in April, albeit at a weaker pace, with HSBC saying low demand in the West would constrain the island's export expansion for a while longer, making domestic demand an important driver.

In Indonesia, manufacturing also grew at a slightly slower clip in April.

.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








POLITICAL ECONOMY
U.S. faces World Bank nomination deadline
Washington (UPI) Mar 22, 2012
U.S. President Barack Obama faces a Friday deadline to nominate a convincing candidate for the World Bank presidency amid signs emerging-market member countries are set to push for a candidate of their own. The Obama administration could have started the campaign to win global approval for its nominee, but didn't. Now it faces the challenge of coming up with someone prominent enough to ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
Can Nature's Beauty Lift Citizens From Poverty?

EU hands extra 20 mln euros to Pakistan flood victims

S. Korea nuclear safety agency probes two plants

Construction of Chernobyl shelter starts on anniversary

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Australian rare earths miner sues Malaysian opponents

NEMA Welcomes Legislation on Federal Helium Policy

Plan to Counter Space Threats Proposed

US Army Awards Lockheed Martin $391 Million for Counterfire Radar Production

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Strike at Amazon dam project in second week

Old maps and dead clams help solve coastal boulder mystery

Impaired recovery of Atlantic cod - forage fish or other factors?

Wind pushes plastics deeper into oceans, driving trash estimates up

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Warm Ocean Currents Cause Majority of Ice Loss from Antarctica

Warm ocean currents cause majority of ice loss from Antarctica

Northern Canada feels the heat - Climate change impact on permafrost zones

Study Finds Surprising Arctic Methane Emission Source

POLITICAL ECONOMY
New study sheds light on debate over organic vs. conventional

New Zealand gas research to help farmers' bottom line

Pesticide exposure linked to brain changes: study

New Yorkers bring fish farms to urban jungle

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Sodden Britain braced for more floods

Strong quake strikes off Mexico coast: USGS

Rapid tsunami warning by means of GPS

Russian volcano spews ash into atmosphere

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Boko Haram targets media in Nigeria

Zimbabwe PM calls for reforms before election

DR Congo army pursuing rebels after clashes

West African summit on Guinea-Bissau set for Thursday

POLITICAL ECONOMY
A middle-ear microphone

'Inhabitants of Madrid' ate elephants' meat and bone marrow 80,000 years ago

Eating more berries may reduce cognitive decline in the elderly

Learning mechanism of the adult brain revealed




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement