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TRADE WARS
China exports fall in November, imports recover
By Ludovic EHRET
Beijing (AFP) Dec 8, 2019

China's exports declined for the fourth consecutive month in November as a trade war with Washington rumbles on, official data showed Sunday, although imports rebounded.

Exports were down by 1.1 percent in the last month of the year, after a drop of 0.9 percent in October on slowing global demand.

The figures were worse than a Bloomberg forecast which expected an increase of 0.8 percent.

Imports were up 0.3 percent from the year earlier, after falling for the previous six months. Analysts polled by Bloomberg had predicted a drop of 1.4 percent.

China's trade surplus with the United States, a key point of anger in the White House, fell to $24.61 billion from $26.42 billion the month before.

The figures were published as the world's top two economies search for an end to the trade war launched last year by US president Donald Trump that has roiled world markets and investor confidence.

Negotiations appeared to take a hit after the US passed legislation in support of Hong Kong pro-democracy protests and a bill seeking sanctions against senior Chinese officials over the crackdown on mainly Muslim Uighurs in Xinjiang.

Beijing later warned that a "price must be paid" for the move.

Speaking to reporters this week President Donald Trump dodged questions on whether a new round of tariffs on about $160 billion in Chinese goods -- likely to include sportswear and mobile phones -- would take effect as scheduled on December 15.

"The deal is still close," National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow told CNBC Friday. "It is probably even a wee bit closer than when I first made that statement in November."

"If a Phase one trade deal is struck and there is no further escalation of US-China trade tensions, the drag on China's exports from higher US tariffs will likely ease through 2020," Sylvia Sheng, global multi-asset strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in Hong Kong wrote in a recent note.


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TRADE WARS
Trump warns China trade deal could take years
London (AFP) Dec 3, 2019
US President Donald Trump warned Tuesday that efforts to resolve a trade dispute could wait until after next November's US election. "I have no deadline," Trump told reporters in London. "In some ways I like the idea of waiting until after the election for the China deal." Trump's trade war with China and on-again off-again attempts to reach a deal have de-stabilised markets and stoked geo-political tensions. As late as last week Trump boasted the he was in the "final throes" of negotiating ... read more

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