. | . |
China imports break two-year losing streak in August by Staff Writers Beijing (AFP) Sept 8, 2016 China's imports rose for the first time in nearly two years in August, figures showed Thursday, the 1.5 percent annual increase beating expectations in a positive sign for the world's second-largest economy. Exports dropped 2.8 percent on-year to $190.6 billion, but the fall was smaller than the median forecast in a survey of economists by Bloomberg News. The data from Customs was the latest indicator of improving health for the world's biggest trader in goods, with the rise in imports -- to $138.5 billion -- the first since October 2014. China is crucial to the global economy and its performance affects partners from Australia to Zambia, which have been battered by its slowing growth. Its economy expanded 6.9 percent last year, its weakest rate in a quarter of a century. The trade figures' "big surprise" was imports, said Julian Evans-Pritchard of Capital Economics, as they hinted at stronger domestic demand. He noted that some of the improvement could be attributed to a recovery in commodity prices after years of declines. Customs data also showed that import volumes of key commodities rose year-on-year, with iron ore climbing 18.3 percent, crude oil up 23.5 percent, and coal surging 52.0 percent. "Climbing imports dispels the myth of weakening economy," said analysts Jianguang Shen and Michael Luk of Mizuho Securities in a note. - Flood recovery - Post-flood purchases after a summer of unusually heavy rains and widespread flooding in southern China also lifted imports, Zhao Yang of Nomura said in a note, pointing particularly to increased buying of automobiles to replace destroyed vehicles, and greater use of iron ore and oil owing to reconstruction work. But such boosts will be short-lived as recovery efforts conclude, he said, adding that import growth was likely to be "more transient than long-lasting". In the fourth quarter "downward pressures posed by the possible slowdown of property investment" were likely to weigh down both imports and general growth momentum, he said. For factors behind the exports performance, analysts pointed to a weaker exchange rate for the yuan, which has dropped roughly five percent in the past year despite pledges by central bankers not to depreciate the currency further. The August trade surplus fell 13.6 percent from last year to $52.0 billion. But analysts with ANZ described the figure as "resilient" and said it would help alleviate net capital outflows -- although they noted that sluggish global demand would still weigh on the outlook for China's manufacturers. China's foreign exchange reserves at the end of August dropped to $3.19 trillion, according to central bank data, their lowest level since the end of 2011. Coupled with the trade surplus, the reserves decline suggests that August saw "another month of steady hot money outflows", the Mizuho analysts said, estimating that $36.1 billion left the country in August. The trade figures recovered from a worse-than-expected performance in July, when imports plunged 12.5 percent, weighed by weaker commodity prices and lacklustre domestic demand. Earlier this month an official measure of manufacturing activity also beat expectations, rebounding to its strongest level in nearly two years, with the purchasing managers' index (PMI) coming in at 50.4 in August, a sign of expanding activity in Chinese factories and mines. But investors were tepid on the improved trade data, with Shanghai stocks closing only fractionally higher on Thursday.
Related Links Global Trade News
|
|
The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us. |