Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Earth Science News .




POLITICAL ECONOMY
China inflation jumps but worries endure
By Kelly OLSEN
Beijing (AFP) March 10, 2015


China's consumer inflation rebounded in February from a more-than-five-year low, official data showed Tuesday, but a plunge in factory gate prices added to persistent concerns about deflation in the world's second-largest economy.

The 1.4 percent increase in the consumer price index (CPI) compared with a gain of 0.8 percent in January, according to National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) figures.

The result, which exceeded the median forecast for a 1.0 percent gain in a survey of analysts by Bloomberg News, came largely due to higher prices for food and services surrounding China's annual Lunar New year holiday, which economists largely saw as a one-off.

In contrast the producer price index (PPI) -- a measure of costs for goods at the factory gate and a leading indicator of the trend for CPI -- declined for the 36th straight month in February.

The PPI fell 4.8 percent year-on-year, the NBS said, more than the 4.3 percent decline recorded in January, and the worst result since October 2009.

Moderate inflation can be a boon to consumption as it encourages consumers to buy before prices go up, while falling prices encourage shoppers to delay purchases and companies to put off investment, both of which can hurt growth.

"We continue to expect inflation to remain relatively low and still see disinflationary pressures in the economy," Nomura economists said in an analysis of the February data.

"To offset headwinds to economic growth, we expect monetary policy to be loosened further," they added.

China's benchmark stock market fell Tuesday, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing 0.49 percent lower at 3,286.07.

Economists are increasingly worried that China -- a key driver of global growth -- is heading for a debilitating deflationary spiral, such as that which has plagued Japan for years, citing consistently weak CPI figures as well as accelerating falls in factory prices.

The central People's Bank of China cut benchmark deposit and lending interest rates in February for the second time in three months, citing "historically low inflation", as the economy expands at its slowest annual pace in nearly a quarter of a century.

"The weak inflation profile suggests that further monetary policy easing will be needed to fight against rising deflation risk," ANZ economists Liu Li-Gang and Zhou Hao said in a report, adding that despite the rate cuts "the easing effort so far has been limited."

They expect the PBoC to further cut the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) -- the amount of cash banks must keep on hand -- "to lower the funding costs for the real economy". Cutting the RRR theoretically frees up more cash for lending.

They also expect a further 0.25 percentage point cut in the deposit interest rate.

- Nannies and housekeepers -

China's gross domestic product (GDP) expanded 7.4 percent last year, its worst result since 1990, as authorities seek to transform the Asian giant's growth model to one in which consumer spending takes over as the key engine.

And last week leaders lowered their 2015 GDP growth target to "approximately seven percent", while the CPI objective for was set at "around three percent".

Consumer prices rose 2.0 percent last year.

Senior NBS analyst Yu Qiumei said in a statement regarding the February CPI data that fresh food demand rose during the holiday, "leading prices to rise by large margins".

Yu added that transport and tourism prices also increased, while labour shortages prompted by migrant workers returning home also pushed up costs for services such as nannies and housekeepers, which rose 6.3 percent from the previous month.

Julian Evans-Pritchard, China economist at Capital Economics, said the fall in the PPI "reflects the broader weakness in global commodity prices, which has pushed down the price of the industrial inputs" that make up a heavy portion of the indicator.

He added that despite the rebound in the CPI in February the outlook in coming months was for consumer price rises to weaken back below the one percent level, though he was sanguine on the prospect.

"This should not be cause for concern as we expect it to be driven by lower import prices for key agricultural commodities which will leave Chinese consumers better off," he wrote in an analysis.


Thanks for being here;
We need your help. The SpaceDaily news network continues to grow but revenues have never been harder to maintain.

With the rise of Ad Blockers, and Facebook - our traditional revenue sources via quality network advertising continues to decline. And unlike so many other news sites, we don't have a paywall - with those annoying usernames and passwords.

Our news coverage takes time and effort to publish 365 days a year.

If you find our news sites informative and useful then please consider becoming a regular supporter or for now make a one off contribution.
SpaceDaily Contributor
$5 Billed Once


credit card or paypal
SpaceDaily Monthly Supporter
$5 Billed Monthly


paypal only


.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle




Memory Foam Mattress Review
Newsletters :: SpaceDaily :: SpaceWar :: TerraDaily :: Energy Daily
XML Feeds :: Space News :: Earth News :: War News :: Solar Energy News





POLITICAL ECONOMY
China's 2015 budget deficit rate higher than declared: minister
Beijing (AFP) March 6, 2015
China's budget deficit this year will be higher than previously declared as the government boosts fiscal spending in a bid to bolster economic growth, the finance minister said Friday. Premier Li Keqiang said Thursday in his "work report" to the National People's Congress (NPC), the country's Communist-controlled parliament, that the deficit would amount to 2.3 percent of gross domestic prod ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
Australia PM suggests MH370 search could be scaled back

Remote-controlled search-and-rescue roaches are coming

World Bank admits flaws in resettlement practices

MH370 families trapped in 'black hole' one year later

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Google gearing Android for virtual reality: report

New paint makes tough self-cleaning surfaces

Video game makers grapple with need for diversity

Biomolecular force generation based on the principle of a gas spring

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Mystery solved: Why seashells' mineral forms differently in seawater

Israel says doubling water supplies to Gaza

New algal species helps corals survive in the hottest reefs on the planet

China media pooh-pooh Japan's luxury lavatories

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Genetics reveals where emperor penguins survived the last ice age

Combined Arctic ice observations show decades of loss

Emperor penguins may have suffered in ice age cold: study

The past might tell what the future holds for Greenland meltdown

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Ripe for business: Chinese students learn about wine

China plans rural land reform trial

Aggressive plant fungus threatens wheat production

Heavy toll as Australian farmers struggle through drought

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Thousands evacuated in Argentina flooding

Thousands evacuated as Chile volcano erupts

New volcano island getting big in Japan

Flooding in Madagascar capital kills at least 14: rescuers

POLITICAL ECONOMY
France begins troop drawdown in Central African Republic

Mali government signs peace deal, Tuareg rebels delay

Zambia's ex-mines minister jailed for graft over Chinese licence

Nigerian army chief visits Baga, vows 'war is almost ended'

POLITICAL ECONOMY
When age matters

Surprise, men are more narcissistic than women

Brain waves

US cracks down on Chinese 'maternity tourism' in LA




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement All images and articles appearing on Space Media Network have been edited or digitally altered in some way. Any requests to remove copyright material will be acted upon in a timely and appropriate manner. Any attempt to extort money from Space Media Network will be ignored and reported to Australian Law Enforcement Agencies as a potential case of financial fraud involving the use of a telephonic carriage device or postal service.