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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China plans deposit insurance in long-awaited reform
by Staff Writers
Shanghai (AFP) Nov 30, 2014


China home prices fall in November despite rate cut
Shanghai (AFP) Nov 30, 2014 - China's housing prices fell on a monthly basis for the seventh straight month in November, a survey showed Sunday, with the market yet to feel the full impact of an interest rate cut.

The average price of a new home in China's 100 major cities was 10,589 yuan ($1,736) per square metre in November, down 0.38 percent from October, the independent China Index Academy said in a statement.

The fall was a slight improvement from the 0.40 percent month-on-month drop in October, previous figures showed.

"We expect the interest rate cut to kick in next year," Bai Yanjun, research director for the China Index Academy, told AFP.

"We still believe the market is under downward pressure for the rest of 2014 because the current home inventory levels in first-tier and major second-tier cities are still high," he said.

China cut both lending and deposit rates just over a week ago, and analysts said home mortgage buyers would be among the biggest beneficiaries.

"The rate cut sends a strong signal that the property market will likely bottom out soon," China economist for Merrill Lynch Hong Kong, Lu Ting, said in a research note.

On a year-on-year basis, China's new home prices fell 1.57 percent from the same month last year, far sharper that the annual fall of 0.52 percent in October, the academy said.

But for China's ten biggest cities -- which tend to have the most active property markets -- new home prices rose 0.07 percent in November from October, marking the first gain after six months of declines, it said.

The commercial city of Shanghai was the best performing with housing prices rising 1.18 percent in November from October to 32,140 yuan per square metre, making it the second most expensive city behind the capital Beijing.

China had previously sought to rein in runaway property prices, a source of discontent among ordinary citizens, by introducing market control measures including limits on buying second and third homes.

But cities began rolling back some of the measures this year, as China's economy slowed and the central government relented.

The surprise interest rate cut was the first in more than two years, raising expectations the central bank will carry out further monetary easing to keep the world's second largest economy on track.

China's central bank cut the benchmark one-year lending rate by 0.40 percentage points to 5.60 percent, and trimmed the one-year deposit rate by 0.25 percentage points to 2.75 percent.

China on Sunday moved closer to introducing deposit insurance, a long-awaited economic reform seen as a way to impose greater market discipline on the country's banks.

The People's Bank of China (PBoC), the central bank, published draft rules for deposit insurance but did not say when they would be implemented.

The State Council, or cabinet, has set a one-month period to seek public comment on the rules, the official Xinhua news agency said. Other state media said the scheme could be implemented early next year.

Deposit insurance was aimed at "protecting the legal rights and interests of depositors, promptly preventing and resolving financial risk and protecting financial stability," according to the draft rules posted on the website of the PBoC.

Analysts said the move would force China's banks, the vast majority of them state-owned, to operate more in line with market principles and to be more competitive.

"The deposit insurance plan will require banks to shoulder their own operational risks and depositors will probably choose to put their money in banks with greater safety for deposits," Liu Dongliang, a senior analyst for the financial markets department of China Merchants Bank, told AFP.

The plan raises the possibility that China might even allow a bank to collapse, a prospect long ruled out by analysts on expectations of a government rescue.

The government wants to protect small depositors in case of a bank failure, fearing the impact on social stability should their savings disappear.

Under the draft rules, accounts with deposits of up to 500,000 yuan ($82,000) would be insured. The government could adjust the level in future based on what it called economic development, deposit structure and financial risk.

Depositors will be paid in full if their principal plus interest is below the ceiling. But any amount exceeding that level will depend on liquidation of the assets of the bank which took the deposit, the rules showed.

China has a massive bank deposit base because there are limited choices for investment. Domestic currency deposits stood at more than 112 trillion yuan at the end of October, according to PBoC figures.

The announcement of the plan for deposit insurance comes as China pushes another economic reform, the long-cherished goal of free interest rates.

The government began allowing banks to decide their own lending rates in July last year, but still sets deposit rates by administrative order.

Just over a week ago, the PBoC cut both lending and deposit rates and also allowed banks to offer deposit rates up to 20 percent higher than its benchmark level, compared to the previous 10 percent.

"China is now speeding up the process of interest rate liberalisation. At the same time, the risk to financial institutions is increasing, so the deposit insurance scheme will help respond to this situation," Liu said.


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