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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China producer price falls slow in April: govt
By Fran WANG
Beijing (AFP) May 10, 2016


EU warns against market economy status for China
Strasbourg, France (AFP) May 10, 2016 - The EU on Wednesday said granting market economy status for China at the World Trade Organization was "untenable" due to the loss of jobs it would cost Europe in key industries such as steel.

The European Commission, the EU's executive arm, has given itself until this summer to decide on whether to grant China the designation that would make it much harder for major economies to fight Beijing over alleged unfair trading practices.

China argues its 2001 deal to join the World Trade Organization dictates that from December 11 the WTO members must switch their designation.

But Commissioner Vytenis Andriukaitis, Lithuania's representative to the EU executive, told European lawmakers in Strasbourg that the Commission all but ruled out the option of granting China the status, given the consequences.

"Our analysis of this option so far and the feedback from many stakeholders show that it would involve a very high cost in terms of potential job losses in the European Union," Andriukaitis, who is officially health commissioner, told the MEPs.

"Even without the current climate of overcapacity, any such move would be untenable," he said, adding that the commission would discuss the issue again before this summer.

As an alternative, he said the EU was considering granting China the status only partially, which would leave special exceptions for threatened industries, a tactic adopted by the United States.

"This approach would help ensure that the dumping margins calculated would, for the most part, reflect the ongoing distortions in the Chinese economy more accurately," he said.

The issue has become extra sensitive amid a world steel crisis caused by overcapacity in China, the world' top steel producer.

China produces more than half of the globe's steel output and is accused of flooding the world market with oversupply sold at below cost in violation of global trade rules.

Approval of the commission's decision is required by the European Parliament as well as the EU's 28 member states .

MEP's on Tuesday staunchly opposed granting the status to China, insisting that the EU needed as many tools as possible to fight off what they said were unfair trade practices by Beijing.

"The most important question is not whether we should yes or no give China market economy status, but jobs," said David Caspary, MEP from the right-of-centre EPP group, the biggest party in parliament.

"We do have a strategic partnership with China, but we should be able to defend ourselves," he said.

Chinese producer prices declined at their slowest rate in 16 months in April, official data showed Tuesday, a positive sign for the world's second-largest economy.

The producer price index (PPI), which measures prices of goods at the factory gate and is a leading indicator of consumer inflation, fell by 3.4 percent from a year ago, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said in a statement.

The figure was ahead of the median estimate of a 3.7 percent decline in a Bloomberg News survey of economists, and the indicator's best performance since December 2014.

Moderate inflation can be a boon to consumption as it pushes buyers to act before prices go up, while falling prices encourage shoppers to delay purchases and companies to put off investment, both of which can hurt growth.

The "significant moderation" of the PPI falls was largely due to rising commodity prices and higher production driven by infrastructure investment, Nomura analysts said in a note, adding: "PPI deflation may continue to narrow."

China's economy, a vital driver of global expansion, grew 6.9 percent last year, the slowest in a quarter of a century.

Producer prices in the Asian giant have been falling for years, and low consumer inflation had stoked fears of deflation until recently.

The consumer price index rose 2.3 percent year-on-year in April, the NBS said in a separate statement, in line with expectations and the same figure as the previous two months.

The figures may bring some cheer to the Chinese economy, which is grappling with slowing growth, huge overcapacity and mounting debt problems.

Month-on-month, the PPI increased by 0.7 percent, the second rise in a row.

NBS analyst Yu Qiumei said in a statement: "Price increases in some industrial sectors accelerated", including in natural resource extraction.

- 'L-shaped' growth -

Beijing is seeking to retool China's economy away from the investment- and export-led growth of the past to one more driven by consumer demand. It is also trying to reform lumbering, loss-making state-owned enterprises to make the sector more efficient.

But the transition is proving bumpy, raising fears of a hard landing, and global markets have been alarmed by slowing expansion.

The government has been loosening monetary policies since late 2014 and more recently has been stepping up investment, but growth in the first three months of the year still slid to 6.7 percent.

A source identified only as an "authoritative person" was on Monday quoted by the People's Daily, the Communist Party's mouthpiece, as saying that China was likely to have an "L-shaped" growth pattern, suggesting it will remain flat rather than rising in a U- or V-shape.

The "L-shaped" economy "will not end in one or two years" due to entrenched sluggish demand and overcapacity, the interviewee said, in a prominent article that started on the front of the broadsheet paper and took up the entirety of page two.

"Unlike what was the case in the past, economic growth will not continue to pick up and post high rates for several consecutive years once it rebounds," said the source.

The government must wean the economy from reliance on credit, said the article, warning of a possible financial crisis and adding: "High leverage is the original sin and the origin of high financial risks."

The comments have led some analysts to caution that the current boost in investment growth, which is fuelled by debt, may be short-lived.

Shen Jianguang, a Hong Kong-based analyst with Mizuho Securities, said in a report Tuesday: "The bottom line is that there appears to be sharp disagreement among top policy makers on future policy direction in China."

wf/slb/eb

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