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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China think tank predicts 2010 GDP to top 37 trillion yuan

Chinese bank mulls bid for German state lender: report
Frankfurt (AFP) Dec 14, 2010 - A Chinese bank is among the potential bidders for struggling state-owned German regional lender WestLB, business daily Handelsblatt said Tuesday, citing industry sources. "Among those interested in making offers, there are financial investors and also a few credit institutions, including a Chinese bank," the paper cited its sources as saying. Contacted by AFP, a WestLB spokesman was unable to confirm the report but noted that the bank could present an attractive proposition for the Chinese, given its involvement in financing raw materials in Russia and Asia.

The European Commission has ordered WestLB, slammed by the financial crisis, to find new owners as a condition for approving a massive bailout of the bank. Fellow regional German bank BayernLB said last month it would abandon a merger with WestLB because the deal would not lead to higher profits. And European Competition Commissioner Joaquin Almunia has said the possibility of breaking up the bank is "increasing." Another German regional bank, HSH Nordbank, ordered by the Commission to change ownership by 2014, has already agreed a loan deal with the China Development Bank and is mulling closer ties.
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) Dec 16, 2010
China's gross domestic product will exceed 37 trillion yuan in 2010, a top government think tank predicted, as Beijing looks to overtake Japan as the world's second-largest economy for the full year.

The figure, given by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, is equivalent to 5.4354 trillion dollars, based on AFP calculations using the average yuan/dollar rate in the first nine months given by the central bank.

The Chinese economy is expected to grow by around 10 percent this year from the year before and per capita GDP may reach 4,000 dollars, CASS said in its annual Blue Book of China's Society launched on Wednesday.

China eclipsed Japan in the second quarter, as the archipelago nation was hit by cooling exports and flat domestic consumption in the April-June period.

Japan said earlier this month that it remained ahead for the first nine months, thanks to strong growth in the first quarter. But since then it has been outperformed by China, a trend that is expected to continue.

Asia's rising giant again beat Japan in the third quarter, with nominal GDP at 1.415 trillion dollars compared with Japan's 1.369 trillion, according to Japanese figures and an IMF yuan-dollar rate.

China is expected to release its full-year GDP data in January, while Japan will give its preliminary figures in mid-February.

earlier related report
China planners expect four percent inflation in 2011: report
Beijing (AFP) Dec 15, 2010 - Chinese economic planners aim to hold the country's inflation rate at four percent for 2011, up a full percentage point from this year's target, state media said Wednesday.

The government also set the 2011 economic growth forecast at the usual eight percent target, the China Securities Journal said, citing a Monday meeting of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), China's top economic planning agency.

The government had set the 2010 inflation target at three percent growth, but planners have said it will exceed that due to a poor harvest and a nationwide surge in liquidity over the past two years.

The consumer price index -- the key gauge of inflation -- rose 5.1 percent year-on-year in November, the fastest increase in more than two years, as food costs continued to soar.

Next year the government will likely make controlling prices a greater priority, the newspaper said.

It added that "rising prices are being driven by food costs and the likelihood of strong and widespread inflation is weak", the newspaper quoted Wang Yiming, vice president of the NDRC's Macro Economy Research Institute, as saying.

The NDRC also endorsed a set of anti-inflation guidelines for next year similar to those adopted by an annual economic conference of China's top leaders over the weekend, the report said.

They included "strengthening the development of agriculture and rural areas and farmers' incomes," which are well below those of urban residents.

The economic growth target has not changed for several years and has been exceeded each time.

That should be the case again in 2010 with economists predicting China's gross domestic product growth (GDP) should be around 10 percent.

China's GDP surpassed Japan's in the second quarter to make it the world's second largest economy after the United States.



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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China planners expect four percent inflation in 2011: report
Beijing (AFP) Dec 15, 2010
Chinese economic planners aim to hold the country's inflation rate at four percent for 2011, up a full percentage point from this year's target, state media said Wednesday. The government also set the 2011 economic growth forecast at the usual eight percent target, the China Securities Journal said, citing a Monday meeting of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), China's top ... read more







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