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TRADE WARS
China's Wen eyes German business at world's top trade fair
by Staff Writers
Hanover, Germany (AFP) April 23, 2012

Oil prices slip on downbeat Chinese data
London (AFP) April 23, 2012 - World oil prices were lower on Monday, in line with falling stock markets, as traders digested downbeat Chinese and eurozone economic data.

Brent North Sea crude for June dropped 84 cents to $117.92 per barrel in London late morning deals.

New York's main contract, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for delivery in June shed 77 cents to $103.11.

HSBC's China purchasing managers index (PMI), which measures factory output, rose to 49.1 in April from 48.3 in March but the reading remained below the key boom-or-bust 50-point level, indicating an improvement but no return to expansion just yet.

China's economy is closely watched by oil traders as it is the world's largest energy consuming nation.

"HSBC's PMI reading for China again showed a reading below 50 questioning the health of the world's second largest economy," said analysts at the Vienna-based JBC Energy consultancy in a research note to clients.

At the same time, a key survey on Monday showed that eurozone private sector activity sank at the fastest rate in five months in April, another sign of recession in the 17-nation monetary union.

The composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) compiled by the London-based research firm Markit fell to 47.4 from 49.1 in March.

Traders also took their cue from sliding European equities as investors sold off on the data which added to persistent eurozone debt tensions while the French presidential election results provided no comfort with incumbent Nicolas Sarkozy coming second in the first round to his Socialist rival.

Investors were also looking to a meeting of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate-setting panel on Tuesday and Wednesday amid fresh anxiety over the slow pace of recovery in the world's largest economy.

Analysts said the Fed meeting would decide whether more economic stimulus is warranted as high fuel prices, slowing job growth and Europe's debt problems have raised fears of another stumble.

Further aheah, markets will focus on more bond auctions in Italy and Spain, both of which have been hampered by concerns over elevated levels of state debt.


Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao on Monday visited the world's biggest industrial fair, hosted by European powerhouse Germany where firms increasingly see China as a competitor rather than a customer.

A day after jointly opening the week-long gathering of 5,000 manufacturing and technology companies from 69 countries where China is this year's guest of honour, Wen and German Chancellor Angela Merkel toured a number of the gigantic exhibition halls.

"We will make every effort to intensify cooperation with German companies in this age of green technology," Wen told reporters as he was shown the stand of Phoenix Connect, a leading supplier of industrial connection and automation technology.

'Green intelligence' is the motto of this year's fair with the focus on environmentally sustainable technologies and innovations.

With 500 firms present, China accounts for 10 percent of exhibitors at this year's show, making it the largest single showcase of China's industrial technology ever outside the People's Republic.

Given China's rapid industrialisation in recent years, some of the biggest names in German industry -- companies such as Siemens, BASF, automakers Volkswagen, BMW and Daimler, as well as small- and medium-sized family-owned enterprises -- have long made it a priority to have a presence there.

"China is now our second most important market," said Phoenix Contact chief Frank Stuehrenberg.

Out of the company's workforce of more than 12,000, some 1,500 are employed in China.

Bilateral trade between Germany and China stood at 144 billion euros ($189 billion) last year and "we're working on making this even more," Merkel said at the opening ceremony late Sunday.

While the eurozone, which takes some 40 percent of German exports, is tightening its belt as it grapples with its sovereign debt crisis and attempts to fight off recession, emerging markets are increasingly important for German exporters.

And even though the Chinese economy has slowed to a degree, it remains one of the key engines of German export growth.

However, China, with its lower production costs, is becoming not just a market for German companies, but also a rival.

"Often, China is viewed merely from the point of view of a market for selling products but it is increasing in importance as a competitor, too," said the head of the VDMA machine tool makers' federation, Hannes Hesse.

"China is by far the biggest producer of machine goods today ... it is the fourth biggest exporter and the trend is upwards," Hesse said.

For Wen, Germany is the second stage on a mini-European tour that kicked off in Iceland on Friday and will also take him to Sweden and to Poland.

After their joint tour on Monday morning, Wen and Merkel travelled to the headquarters of auto giant Volkswagen in nearby Wolfsburg where the carmaker is expected to ink contracts for a new plant in Xinjiang, northwest China.

China is VW's biggest market, ahead of Germany, and the manufacturer plans to invest 14 billion euros there between 2012 and 2016.

Outside the congress centre in Hanover on late Sunday, around 200 protestors staged a small demonstration, waving Tibetan flags and shouting slogans about China's human rights record.

No opportunity was made available for reporters to ask Wen any questions during his visit.

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China manfucturing contracts again in April: HSBC
Beijing (AFP) April 23, 2012 - China's manufacturing activity contracted for the sixth straight month in April, HSBC said Monday, bolstering the case for the government to give a boost to the world's number two economy.

HSBC's purchasing managers index (PMI) -- which measures factory output -- was 49.1 in April, up from 48.3 in March, the British banking giant said in a statement.

But the reading remained below 50, indicating contraction in activity. A reading above 50 indicates expansion.

HSBC's chief economist for China, Qu Hongbin, put the data in a positive light, saying government measures to spur the economy were having an impact.

"This suggests that the earlier easing measures have started to work and hence should ease concerns of a sharp growth slowdown," he said in the statement.

But he added: "That said, the pace of both output and demand growth remains at a low level in an historical context and the job market is under pressure. This calls for additional easing measures in the coming months."

Other analysts echoed that view, saying the government will need to further ease monetary policy, most likely through a cut in reserve requirements for banks.

"The pick-up in PMI has reduced worries over China's economic growth, but it will not affect the overall loosening trend for China's monetary policy," You Hongye, an analyst at Essence Securities in Beijing, told AFP.

China's economy grew by 8.1 percent in the first quarter of this year, its slowest pace in nearly three years, putting pressure on Beijing to loosen its monetary policy.

Beijing has cut bank reserve requirements twice since December last year, as policymakers aim to boost lending.

Chinese shares closed down 0.76 percent on Monday as investors reacted to the PMI figure with disappointment, dealers said.

"Despite a mild improvement in April PMI, the reading is still in contraction, so it does not indicate a recovery in the domestic economy," Shen Jun, an analyst at BOC International, told AFP.

In a research report, securities house Nomura said China would boost spending on infrastructure and cut bank reserves as early as May.

"We still expect monetary and fiscal policy to be loosened in Q2," said Zhang Zhiwei, Nomura China chief economist.

HSBC's figures are typically more pessimistic than China's official numbers. The official data for April has not yet been released.

The HSBC survey puts more emphasis on smaller companies, which are suffering more in the economic downturn than state-owned giants.

The official Chinese government data released last month had shown manufacturing output rose to its highest level in a year in March, the fourth consecutive month that the official numbers indicated expansion.

China's economy is widely expected to slow this year as woes in key export markets such as Europe and the United States hit its overseas sales.

The government has set a target of 7.5 percent economic growth this year. China's economy grew 9.2 percent last year and 10.4 percent in 2010.



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TRADE WARS
Germany's Merkel, China's Wen open Hanover trade fair
Hanover, Germany (AFP) April 22, 2012
German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao officially opened Sunday evening the Hannover Messe, the world's biggest industry and trade fair. China is this year's guest of honour at the gigantic annual week-long trade fair, which brings together 5,000 manufacturing and technology companies from 69 countries in this northern German city from April 23-27. As many ... read more


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