Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Earth Science News .




POLITICAL ECONOMY
China's leaders to meet on economic reform
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) Nov 07, 2013


China's new leadership holds a key meeting this weekend that state media are trumpeting as a likely "watershed" for economic reform, but analysts caution details of its decisions are likely to be vague and implementation gradual.

The four-day session of the full 376-strong Communist Party Central Committee begins Saturday at a closely guarded private hotel in Beijing.

Known as the Third Plenum, it traditionally sets the economic tone for a government's five-year term.

In the past, such meetings have been used to signal far-reaching changes in how China does business, and state-run media say that anticipation has been building.

The official Xinhua news agency proclaimed that the plenum "is expected to be a watershed as drastic economic policies will be unveiled".

Other reports have singled out land reform as a key issue, while a government think-tank called for dismantling the residency registration system known as hukou, which restricts access to medical insurance and other benefits for migrants.

But analysts are largely unconvinced and say broad brushstrokes rather than firm details are likely to emerge from the meeting.

Cai Hongbin, a professor at Peking University's Guanghua School of Management, said key issues such as urbanisation, the social safety net, taxation and financial reforms would be discussed.

"But I don't see a sweeping policy package with many specific major policy changes basically across the spectrum," Cai told reporters, emphasising more time was needed given the complexity of the issues.

Precise measures were more likely to be included in China's 13th five-year plan, to be announced in 2015, he said.

'Reforms more complex than in the past'

China most notably signalled major changes at a Third Plenum in 1978, when it embarked on the landmark reform drive that has seen it transformed over the past 35 years from a Communist-style command economy into a key driver of global growth, trade and investment.

But the impetus for far-reaching change this time is seen by some as nowhere near so compelling.

"Historically, China has implemented ground-breaking reforms when the economy has faced some serious challenges," Nomura International economists in Hong Kong wrote in a report.

"However, we believe that pressures are not yet sufficient to demand such rapid implementation, while the reforms are more complex than they have been in the past."

Although the economy is no longer completely party- and state-controlled, the ruling body holds huge sway, with officials in charge of key elements, such as the exchange rate, that in other countries are left mostly to markets. State-owned enterprises also play a key role.

The plenum comes a year after China began a once-a-decade leadership change, with Xi Jinping taking over as party general secretary in November and state president in March.

Calling corruption the biggest threat to continued party rule, Xi quickly launched a selective crackdown.

Xinhua quoted experts including professors at the party's central school as saying any political reform would aim at "strengthening, not weakening" the organisation's leadership.

Cai said that, ultimately, economic reform cannot truly succeed without changes to how the government acts, such as reducing local authorities' interference in business.

"You can talk about all sorts of economic policy changes, in the end whether these policy changes will make a serious impact on the Chinese economy really depends on whether we will have serious government reforms," he said.

China's leadership says the economy, the world's second largest, needs to move away from reliance on state-financed investment projects and unleash the power of consumers and other private actors to propel growth.

The country recently launched a much-publicised free-trade zone in Shanghai, but has not specified deadlines for key reforms in it, including unrestricted currency flows, a government document seen by AFP showed, suggesting changes will be step-by-step.

Yao Wei, Societe Generale economist in Hong Kong, said Xi's tenure had shown some promise, with moves to free companies from "the visible hand of the state".

But a "roadmap with some idea of timeframe" might be the best that can be hoped for from the plenum, she wrote.

She added: "The real test of Beijing's reform resolution will be the action taken in the following three to six months."

.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








POLITICAL ECONOMY
Asia manufacturing picks up but data points to headwinds
Hong Kong (AFP) Nov 01, 2013
Asian manufacturing picked up pace in October, figures showed on Friday, with Chinese activity at an 18-month high but analysts warned that background data indicates fresh headwinds in the coming months. The broad pick-up will come as good news for the region after a tough few months caused by uncertainty over the US Federal Reserve's stimulus scheme - which has supported investment in emer ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
Survivors desperate for aid in typhoon-ravaged Philippines

Space technologies boost disaster reduction int'l co-op

How to Manage Nature's Runaway Freight Trains

Uruguay to pull peacekeepers from Haiti: president

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Highly stable quantum light source for applications in quantum information systems

Quantum 'sealed envelope' system enables 'perfectly secure' information storage

London Metal Exchange announces warehouse shake-up

Monkeys use minds to move two virtual arms

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Malaysian police arrest tribespeople protesting dam

Veolia reports sales slip, shares surge

The nitrogen puzzle in the oceans

Rising temperatures challenge Salt Lake City's water supply

POLITICAL ECONOMY
The Arctic ceases to be a 'province'

Search on for oldest antarctic ice in hunt for ancient climate clues

Stowaways threaten fisheries in the Arctic

The search for the oldest ice cores

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Improved legume technologies can boost entire farming system from the ground up

Health benefits of wild blueberries abound: Study

Researchers slam palm oil initiative as industry meets

China exchange hatches plan for egg futures

POLITICAL ECONOMY
600,000 were evacuated as typhoon nears Vietnam: officials

One of most intense typhoons ever recorded hits Philippines

More than 10,000 feared dead in typhoon-ravaged Philippines

Improving earthquake early warning systems for California and Taiwan

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Controversial Tanzanian anti-poaching drive to continue: Kikwete

African leaders discuss rapid-deployment emergency force

Hong Kong firm debuts in Africa with $104m S.African deal

Tanzania halts anti-poaching drive after abuse claims

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Scientists tracking Brazilian wildlife find ancient cave paintings

Study: Humans made sophisticated stone tools earlier than thought

Did hard-wired fear of snakes drive evolution of human vision?

Hair regeneration method is first to induce new human hair growth




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement