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TRADE WARS
Chinese banks post solid profits but US trade war a risk
by Staff Writers
Shanghai (AFP) Aug 30, 2018

China manufacturing activity strengthens in August
Beijing (AFP) Aug 31, 2018 - China's factory activity ticked marginally upward in August, official data showed Friday, beating forecasts as analysts expected the trade war with the US to weigh more heavily on manufacturing.

The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), a key gauge of factory conditions, came in at 51.3 for the month, up from 51.2 in July, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said.

The number beat the 51.0 reading tipped in a Bloomberg News survey of economists, and indicates a strengthening of activity.

It held comfortably above the 50-point mark that separates expansion from contraction.

"Production continued to expand, and market demand was stable overall," said NBS analyst Zhao Qinghe in a statement, noting that high-tech manufacturing remains a bright spot, significantly outpacing the overall environment.

"Due to factors such as heating up international trade frictions and an uncertainty external environment, the import and export boom has tapered off," Zhao said.

The data should calm some nerves around China's economic woes, said Stephen Innes, head of Asia-Pacific trading at OANDA.

"With that said, I don't feel any more positive about China than I did this morning," said Innes, adding he would be looking at other economic indicators to be released in coming weeks.

Facing a deteriorating trade relationship with the US and flagging economic momentum, Beijing last month signalled it would shift to a looser fiscal policy by unveiling a series of support measures and stepped up issuance of local government special bonds to push infrastructure spending.

But policymakers have been adamant they will not resort to a full scale stimulus to combat flagging growth.

Chinese banking giant ICBC, the world's biggest bank by assets, posted solid profit growth for the first half of the year Thursday but warned that the US-China trade war could pose risks.

Net profit for Industrial & Commercial Bank of China climbed almost five percent to 160.4 billion yuan ($23.5 billion) between January and June compared to the same period last year, the bank said in a statement to the Hong Kong exchange, where it is listed.

The country's three other top banks posted similarly strong results this week.

China's second largest lender, China Construction Bank, said earlier this week that its net profit grew 6.3 percent to 147 billion yuan.

Agricultural Bank of China reported a 6.6 percent jump to 115.8 billion yuan.

Bank of China said net profit was up 5.2 percent to 109.1 billion yuan in the first half.

All of China's four biggest banks saw profit growth largely flat-line in 2015 and 2016 as concerns grew over rising bad loans.

Earnings have improved since a government campaign to clean up bad loans and risky lending in China's often chaotic and murky financial system last year.

The crackdown is seen as hitting smaller lenders and wealth management companies hardest, driving them to seek loans from the established banks in order to clean up their balance sheets.

But ICBC warned that the trade dispute with the United States could bring more risks for the bank in the future.

"The US-China trade frictions may in particular negatively affect multiple sectors, bringing more risks and disturbances to bank operations," ICBC said in the earnings report.

The United States has imposed steep tariffs of 25 percent on $50 billion of Chinese goods since July, with Beijing retaliating dollar for dollar.

US President Donald Trump has also threatened to impose tariffs on another $200 billion worth of Chinese goods.

azk/lth/rma

ICBC

CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK

BANK OF CHINA


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TRADE WARS
Kazakh port in decline bids for slice of China trade
Aktau, Kazakhstan (AFP) Aug 26, 2018
With the outlines of its six idle cranes obscured by thick fog and pouring rain, Kazakhstan's Caspian seaport Aktau seems an unlikely stop on China's much-hyped new silk road. But the sleepy port, which has been badly hit in recent years by new oil routes, is vying for a slice of the pie as competition for Chinese trade warms up on the shores of the world's largest inland sea. China's trillion dollar Belt and Road initiative has been a buzz-phrase in Kazakhstan ever since Chinese leader Xi Jinpi ... read more

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