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Chinese currency steadies after turbulent trading
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) Aug 6, 2019

China opposes 'currency manipulator' label
Beijing (AFP) Aug 6, 2019 - China's central bank said Tuesday it is "resolutely opposed" to the United States labeling Beijing a currency manipulator a day after it let the yuan weaken significantly against the dollar.

China's central bank steadied the yuan on Tuesday, but stock markets continued to fall.

The US Treasury Department on Monday "determined that China is a currency manipulator" -- the second major escalation in the two countries' spiralling trade war in just 24 hours.

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) called the designation "wayward unilateralism and protectionist" and said it "seriously undermined international rules".

The yuan exchange rate "is driven and determined by market forces," the central bank said in a statement, adding it is "resolutely opposed to this".

Both the onshore and offshore yuan breached the 7.0 level against the dollar on Monday, which investors see as a key threshold in the Chinese currency's value, and global equity markets tumbled amid fears of the escalating trade war between the two biggest economies.

But forex trading on Tuesday was calmer, with the onshore yuan weakening 0.08 percent to 7.0512, and the offshore currency strengthening 0.24 percent to 7.0802.

China's central bank weakened its central parity bank rate on Tuesday to the lowest level in more than 11 years, but by less than many analysts were expecting -- suggesting the bank does not want to let the currency move too much.

"A more market-friendly China fix provided the first signal that the PBOC is having a second thought about weaponising the yuan," said Stephen Innes, managing partner at VM Markets Pte Ltd Singapore.

"However, the fix is ambiguous enough to keep two-sided interest alive while still conveying a message to US trade hawks that in no uncertain terms will China be a pushover", he said.

The yuan is not freely convertible and the Chinese government limits its movement against the US dollar to a two percent range on either side of a central parity rate that the central bank sets each day to reflect market trends and control volatility.

On Tuesday the midpoint rate was set at 6.9683.

"Since 2018 the United States has continuously escalated the trade dispute and China has always insisted it will not engage in competitive devaluation," the central bank said.

Allowing the yuan to depreciate makes Chinese exports cheaper and offsets some of the burden of punitive US tariffs that will soon be slapped on nearly all of its goods.

"China has not used the exchange rate as a tool to deal with trade disputes," the statement said.

The yuan's weakening came just days after the US announced plans to raise tariffs on another $300 billion in Chinese imports, accusing Beijing of failing to live up to commitments in trade negotiations.

That would make virtually all of the roughly $660 billion in goods traded annually between China and the United States subject to tariffs.

The Chinese currency steadied on Tuesday, a day after Beijing let the yuan weaken against the dollar, sending markets into freefall and leading the US to formally designate China a "currency manipulator".

The US accusation on Monday was the second major escalation in the two countries' spiralling trade war in just 24 hours.

Both the onshore and offshore yuan breached the 7.0 level against the dollar, which investors see as a key threshold in the Chinese currency's value, and global equity markets tumbled amid fears of the escalating trade war between the two biggest economies.

But forex trading on Tuesday was calmer, with the onshore yuan weakening 0.08 percent to 7.0512, and the offshore currency strengthening 0.24 percent to 7.0802 by late morning.

China's central bank weakened its central parity bank rate on Tuesday to the lowest level in more than 11 years, but by less than many analysts were expecting -- suggesting the bank does not want to let the currency move too much.

"A more market-friendly China fix provided the first signal that the PBOC is having a second thought about weaponising the yuan," said Stephen Innes, managing partner at VM Markets Pte Ltd Singapore.

"However, the fix is ambiguous enough to keep two-sided interest alive while still conveying a message to US trade hawks that in no uncertain terms will China be a pushover", he said.

The yuan is not freely convertible and the Chinese government limits its movement against the US dollar to a two percent range on either side of a central parity rate that the People's Bank of China (PBOC) sets each day to reflect market trends and control volatility.

On Tuesday the midpoint rate was set at 6.9683.

PBOC Governor Yi Gang insisted on Monday that China would not use currency devaluation in the trade war.

He said China would "abide by the spirit of the G20 leaders' summit" in June and not engage in competitive devaluation or use exchange rates to deal with problems such as trade disputes.

The yuan's weakening came just days after the US announced plans to raise tariffs on another $300 billion in Chinese imports, accusing Beijing of failing to live up to commitments in trade negotiations.

That would make virtually all of the roughly $660 billion in goods traded annually between China and the United States subject to tariffs.

Chinese yuan falls to weakest level against dollar since 2010
Shanghai (AFP) Aug 5, 2019 - China's decision to let its currency weaken against the dollar on Monday sent global markets diving further into the red and provoked a Twitter tirade from US President Donald Trump.

The deteriorating picture appeared to worsen as official Chinese media reported Beijing ceased purchases of American farm exports.

The Chinese yuan fell to its lowest level against the dollar since August 2010 in morning trading on Monday, fuelling speculation that Beijing is allowing currency depreciation to counter threatened US tariffs.

US President Donald Trump reacted angrily later in the day, accusing China of deliberately and improperly weakening its currency.

"China dropped the price of their currency to an almost a historic low. It's called 'currency manipulation.' Are you listening Federal Reserve?" he said on Twitter, calling the change "a major violation" which would "greatly weaken China."

Near 1335 GMT, the offshore currency weakened to 7.1114 to the dollar -- the worst since 2010 -- days after Trump announced a plan to impose fresh tariffs on another $300 billion in Chinese goods, sharpening trade war tensions between the world's two biggest economies.

The onshore yuan also tumbled, hitting 7.0536 in Monday morning trade to reach its lowest level since 2008.

Global equity markets were in selloff mode, with major indices in Asia, Europe and the United States down two percent or more.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down about 840 points around 1850 GMT.

Both the onshore and offshore yuan breached the 7.0 level against the dollar for the first time in nine years, which investors see as a key threshold in currency value.

Trump has frequently accused China of artificially depreciating its currency in order to support its exports -- charges long denied by Beijing.

So far the US Treasury Department has not formally accused China of currency manipulation.

- A 'weaponised' exchange rate -

Trump jolted global stock markets last week when he announced more tariffs just a day after US and Chinese trade negotiators revived talks aimed at ending the year-long trade dispute.

The extra 10 percent duties Trump plans to implement from September 1 would mean he has now targeted virtually all of the roughly $550 billion in goods America buys from China every year.

Official news agency Xinhua said Monday the new tariffs "seriously violated the consensus" that Trump had reached with Chinese President Xi Jinping in June.

China on Friday had threatened to retaliate against any new US tariffs -- it has already imposed its own duties on $110 billion worth of American goods, almost all of the American products it imports.

The yuan is not freely convertible and the government limits its movement against the US dollar to a two percent range on either side of a central parity rate which the People's Bank of China (PBOC) sets each day to reflect market trends and control volatility.

The daily central rate was at 6.9225 per dollar on Monday, 0.33 percent weaker from Friday.

"It appears that the tariffs hike suggests the return of tit-for-tat moves and a suspension of trade talks, and the PBOC sees no need to keep the yuan stable in the near term," Ken Cheung, a senior currency strategist at Mizuho Bank, told Bloomberg News.

In a statement on Monday morning, the PBOC said the exchange rate against the US dollar had been "affected by unilateralism and trade protectionism measures and the imposition of tariff increases on China".

The central bank said the yuan remained "stable and strong against the basket of currencies" and said it would "resolutely crack down on short-term speculation and maintain stable operation of the foreign exchange market and stabilise market expectations".

It went on to say that it had the "experience, confidence and ability to keep the RMB exchange rate basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level".

Julian Evans-Pritchard, senior China economist with Capital Economics, said the PBOC has "effectively weaponised the exchange rate" by linking the currency with the US trade war.

"Given that their goal is presumably to offset some of the impact from additional US tariffs, they are likely to allow the currency to weaken further, probably by 5-10 percent over the coming quarters," said Evans-Pritchard.


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Indonesia economy loses steam in Q2 amid US-China trade war
Jakarta (AFP) Aug 5, 2019
Indonesia posted its slowest rate of quarterly growth in two years on Monday as Southeast Asia's biggest economy feels the sting of US-China trade tensions. Growth weakened to 5.05 percent in the April-June period as exports and investment slipped. That was down from a 5.27 percent expansion in the same period last year. Indonesia is grappling with weaker prices for key commodities like coal and palm oil, as the global economy falters on the back of US President Donald Trump's intensifying trade ... read more

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