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CLIMATE SCIENCE
Climate: France hikes pressure in 'pre-agreement' call
By Celine SERRAT
Bonn (AFP) June 1, 2015


New round of UN talks seeks a shape to climate deal
Bonn (AFP) June 1, 2015 - UN climate talks were to resume in Bonn on Monday, tasked with sculpting a historic deal on greenhouse gases due to be sealed in Paris little more than six months from now.

The 10-day conference will be opened by French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius, who will steer the Paris talks, and Manuel Pulgar-Vidal, Peru's environment minister, who chaired the last big climate parlay in Lima last December.

Topping the agenda is how to trim a sprawling draft text into something manageable.

At present, the document is an 80-page compendium of national viewpoints, some of which overlap while others are in clear conflict.

The goal is a deal that will save Earth's climate from potentially catastrophic damage by heat-trapping fossil-fuel gases.

Taking effect from 2020, it would commit the world community to roll back these emissions and help poor countries threatened by worsening drought, flood and rising seas.

But the process remains scarred by memories of the last time the UN tried to forge an ambitious climate deal.

That occasion was in 2009, when a summit in the Danish capital nearly became a fiasco. Leaders jetted in, expecting to bless a new treaty and instead found utter deadlock.

The draft text coalesces around the need to limit warming to a maximum of two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) over pre-industrial times.

But beyond this, there are many areas of potential discord.

They include whether to set intermediate goals in emissions reductions and stage regular meetings to press countries to deep their efforts, thus ensuring the planet is kept on the path towards 2 C.

On current emissions trends, say scientists, the planet is on track for possibly 4.8 C of warming this century alone.

So far only 38 UN parties have made pledges to a roster of emissions curbs designed to be the Paris deal's big brake on carbon.

They include the United States, the European Union, Russia and Canada, but so far not Japan, Australia, Brazil, India or China, the world's No. 1 emitter.

Despite this, many observers say they are not worried. They expect these major players to make their submissions in the coming weeks or months.

"I think we are finding that a lot of the countries are just finding it's taking a bit more time than they were going to do originally," said Liz Gallagher of campaign group E3G.

"It's not about just one plan, it's a conversation that's taking place across governments, across civil society, that says 'what's the vision for our country in 2050, what do we want to look like?'"

She added: "For me, that's a richer conversation to have, and I don't mind if that delays the process a little bit."

The G7 summit, taking place in Bavaria on June 7-8, may also have a bearing on the UN talks.

Rich countries are under pressure to explain how they will implement their promise of mustering $100 billion (92 billion euros) a year in climate finance by 2020.

France sought Monday to breathe life into talks for a UN climate pact, urging countries to forge a "pre-agreement" weeks before they meet to seal the deal in December.

French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius warned against temptations to leave a breakthrough for the very end, a problem that has bedevilled climate negotiations for over two decades.

"The goal is for us to reach a pre-agreement as early as October," said Fabius, who will steer the vital November 30-December 11 parlay in Paris.

This would enable the Paris conference "to add the finishing touches and focus on the contentious points," Fabius said at the start of a fresh round of negotiations in Bonn.

Seeking momentum, the minister said he would host two rounds of ministerial meetings in Paris, on July 20-21 and on September 7. He did not say who would attend.

"These consultations should allow us (politicians) to make progress on the more delicate questions to facilitate your work," Fabius told negotiators.

The Paris conference seeks to crown a six-year wrangle in the 195-nation UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) with a post-2020 pact on curbing greenhouse gases.

The goal is to limit global warming to no more than two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) over pre-industrial levels.

The agreement should also muster financial help for poor countries threatened by worsening drought, flood and rising seas.

There will be two more UNFCCC negotiating rounds in September and October.

But the process is scarred by memories of the last time the UN tried to forge a global climate deal -- the deadlocked 2009 summit in Copenhagen.

French Ecology Minister Segolene Royal on Monday attacked the negotiations' snail-like pace and labyrinthine ways.

"The UN negotiations are totally unsuited to the climate emergency," Royal told the daily Le Monde.

"Everyone says so in private, everyone is totally aware of it, but the sheer weight of the process is such that it just carries on as usual."

The 11-day Bonn talks will seek to ease the way by trimming a sprawling draft text.

It is currently an 80-page compendium of national viewpoints, many of which overlap while others directly oppose one another.

Nations remain deeply divided on how to measure the adequacy of national goals, and how to periodically ramp up action.

Developing economies also insist that rich countries show how they will keep a promise of mustering $100 billion (92 billion euros) a year in climate finance by 2020.

On current emissions trends, say scientists, the planet could be on track for 4.8 C of warming this century alone.

So far, 38 UN parties have made pledges to a roster of emissions curbs at the heart of the envisioned Paris pact.

They include the United States, the European Union (EU), Russia and Canada, but not Japan, Australia, Brazil, India or China, the world's number one emitter.

- 'Step change' -

"We are not on a trajectory to 2 C," France's climate negotiator Laurence Tubiana said Monday of the early pledges.

Europe called for "a step change", with EU delegation head Elina Bardram urging countries to list their pledges soon.

"Submissions currently made only cover about 30 percent of the global emissions," she told reporters in Bonn.

"By the time we meet in Paris we will need a clear idea of where we stand in terms of an aggregate effort toward the two degrees."

Meanwhile, six European energy majors -- BG Group, BP, Eni, Shell, Statoil and Total -- issued a call for carbon pricing and transparent, reliable policies to underpin it.

"Carbon pricing will discourage high carbon options and reduce uncertainty that will help stimulate investments in the right low-carbon technologies," they said in a letter to the UNFCCC and France.

Carbon pricing can take various forms, including a tax on carbon pollution or a requirement to buy emissions permits -- imposing a cost on fossil fuels to encourage energy efficiency and a switch to cleaner sources.

Proponents say it is an essential tool in the emissions-fighting kit, but it has met with resistance from industry and consumers, and -- as in the case of Europe's permit system -- organisational problems.


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