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CLIMATE SCIENCE
Climate in focus as Denmark seen veering left in election
By Johannes LEDEL
Copenhagen (AFP) June 5, 2019

Prince's climate change passion wows Trump
London (AFP) June 5, 2019 - US President Donald Trump said Wednesday he was wowed by Prince Charles's passion for fighting climate change and that he also wanted a world that is "good for future generations".

Trump has rolled back environmental regulations and pulled the United States out of the Paris climate accord since his surprise election in 2016.

But the mercurial White House chief said he was impressed with Prince Charles's commitment to green causes when he had tea with the heir to the British throne at Buckingham Palace on his arrival for a three-day state visit Monday.

Trump told ITV in an interview aired Wednesday that Queen Elizabeth II's son dominated the conversation with climate talk.

"We were going to have a 15-minute chat. And it turned out to be an hour and a half. And he did most of the talking. He is really into climate change, and I think that's great, I mean I want that, I like that," Trump said.

"He wants to have a world that is good for future generations and I want that to."

But he also stuck up for his own management of environmental policies.

"I did mention a couple of things, I did say, 'Well the United States right now has among the cleanest climates there are, based on all statistics, and it's even getting better'," Trump said.

A widely-cited report released by the Rhodium Group in January found that US carbon dioxide emissions rose by 3.4 percent in 2018.

The increase was the biggest in eight years.

Prince Charles has spent many years bucking UK conventions that frown on members of the royal family sticking up for political causes.

His environmental activism has seen the 70-year-old modify his Aston Martin so that it can run on a fuel mixture that includes white wine.

He also told The Daily Telegraph last year that he tried to run the royal train on recycled cooking oil.

"But I don't know," the prince told the paper. "They say it clogs up the engine or something."

Climate concerns top the agenda as Denmark votes in a general election on Wednesday, with the opposition Social Democrats predicted to return to power after adopting the right wing's long-standing restrictive stance on immigration.

Opinion polls put the opposition centre-left Social Democrats, led by Mette Frederiksen, at 27.2 percent, a comfortable lead of almost 10 percentage points ahead of Prime Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen's ruling Liberal Party, which has been in power for 14 of the last 18 years.

"Many voters want change. In particular, the 'millennials', who can vote for the first time," Flemming Juul Christiansen, a political scientist at Roskilde University, told AFP.

Like Gustaf Lindegaard who is voting for the first time, 57 percent of Danes think the next government should prioritise climate change, according to a Gallup poll published in February. For those aged between 18 and 35, the figure was 69 percent.

"I really think global warming is the most important issue," Lindegaard said.

- New priorities -

Denmark's Socialist People's Party, heavily focused on environmental issues, is also expected to see a surge in its numbers, with opinion polls suggesting it could take 8.3 percent of votes, almost double its 2015 score.

If the Social Democrats emerge victorious, they intend to form a minority government -- common in Denmark's proportional representation system -- relying on the support of the left or the right on a case-by-case basis to pass legislation.

As Denmark enjoys robust growth, almost full employment and strong public finances, the party has focused its campaign on climate issues and the defence of the welfare state, promising to reverse budget cuts to education and healthcare.

Analysts believe the Social Democrats would likely collaborate with the right on immigration and the left on other matters in the Scandinavian country, which is a member of the European Union but not the eurozone.

However, with a splintered political landscape featuring an abundance of political parties, the party could also find it necessary to forge long-term alliances to ensure stability.

- Immigration backdrop -

While the Liberal Party is expected to lose its grip on power, its performance is projected to match that of the 2015 election.

But opinion polls indicate the far-right Danish People's Party, which has informally supported Rasmussen's minority government, could lose almost half its support, shrinking to 10.7 percent.

For the last two decades the anti-immigrant party has supported successive right-wing governments in exchange for the implementation of their restrictive immigration policies.

But as those policies have now been broadly adopted by almost all Danish parties, the Danish People's Party has lost its unique appeal with voters.

The Social Democrats for instance last year announced their own proposal to crack down on immigration, including sending asylum seekers to North African camps while their requests are being processed.

"Mette Frederiksen has loved the Danish People's Party to death with her tough line on foreigners," Anja Westphal, an analyst at Denmark's public broadcaster DR, told AFP.

"We stand by our firm and realistic policy when it comes to immigration. We believe that Denmark and other countries have a responsibility to help people in need but there is a limit to the numbers we can take in," said Nicolai Wammen, political spokesman for the Social Democrats.

The Danish People's Party's slide has in part benefitted the Social Democrats, but it also coincides with the emergence of two more extreme far-right parties, New Right and the anti-Muslim Hard Line.

The Danish parliament, the Folketing, has 179 seats, four of which represent the autonomous territories of Greenland and the Faroe Islands, which have two seats each.

To be eligible for a seat, a party must win at least two percent of votes.

Voter turnout is traditionally high in Denmark. In 2015, 85.9 percent of voters cast their ballots.

Polls will be open from 8 am to 8 pm (0600 to 1800 GMT), with some 4.2 million people eligible to vote.


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CLIMATE SCIENCE
Study: Impacts of extreme weather on communities influences climate beliefs
Washington (UPI) May 31, 2019
New research suggests the impact of extreme weather on a person's neighbors and community has a greater influence on a person's climate change beliefs than individual losses. "We found that damage at the zip-code level as measured by FEMA was positively associated with stronger climate change beliefs even three or four years after the extreme flooding event our study examined," Elizabeth A. Albright, an assistant professor of the practice of environmental science and policy methods at Duke Univ ... read more

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