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CLIMATE SCIENCE
Economist warns of 'radical' climate change, millions at risk
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) April 2, 2013


Top NASA climate change expert retiring
Washington (AFP) April 2, 2013 - Pioneering NASA climatologist James Hansen, one of the first scientists to raise the alarm about global warming, is retiring after 46 years, a colleague confirmed to AFP on Tuesday.

Hansen, 72, who headed the Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, announced his departure in an email to the New York Times on Monday.

The Times reported Hansen was stepping down to allow himself to campaign more aggressively for legislation to cut greenhouse gases.

Hansen first rose to prominence in 1988 when his testimony at a highly publicized US Congressional hearing thrust the issue of man-made climate change onto the political agenda.

His work has often been attacked by climate change skeptics while his activism has also brought him into conflict with the federal government, most notably when the administration of George W. Bush sought to muzzle him in 2005.

Gavin Schmidt, deputy chief of the Goddard Institute, was quoted as saying that Hansen "has been at the forefront of almost every conceptual advance in climate in science over 40 years."

"The stuff that Jim wrote 20 years ago has set the tone for the whole field [and the] predictions he made have generally worked out very favorably," Schmidt said.

Republicans favor action on climate change
Fairfax, Va. (UPI) Apr 2, 2013 - A majority of Republicans in the United States think America should take steps to address climate change, a poll indicates.

In the poll conducted by the Center for Climate Change Communication at George Mason University, 62 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents said they feel action is necessary to deal with climate change.

The survey conducted in January polled more than 700 people who self-identified as Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents about energy and climate change, a university release reported Tuesday.

"Over the past few years, our surveys have shown that a growing number of Republicans want to see Congress do more to address climate change," Mason Professor Edward Maibach said. "In this survey, we asked a broader set of questions to see if we could better understand how Republicans, and Independents who have a tendency to vote Republican, think about America's energy and climate change situation."

Respondents, by a 2 to 1 margin, said America should take action to reduce its fossil fuel use and that the benefits of clean energy outweigh the costs of increased government regulation or higher energy prices.

Only a third of respondents said they agreed with the Republican Party's present position on climate issues.

"The findings from this survey suggest there is considerable support among conservatives for accelerating the transition away from fossil fuels and toward clean renewable forms of energy, and for taking steps to address climate change," Maibach said.

"Perhaps the most surprising finding, however, is how few of our survey respondents agreed with the Republican Party's current position on climate change."

The poll was conducted between Jan. 12 and Jan. 27, with an average margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

The author of an influential 2006 study on climate change warned Tuesday that the world could be headed toward warming even more catastrophic than expected but he voiced hope for political action.

Nicholas Stern, the British former chief economist for the World Bank, said that both emissions of greenhouse gas and the effects of climate change were taking place faster than he forecast seven years ago.

Without changes to emission trends, the planet has roughly a 50 percent chance that temperatures will soar to five degrees Celsius (nine degrees Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial averages in a century, he said.

"We haven't been above five degrees Centigrade on this planet for about 30 million years. So you can see that this is radical change way outside human experience," Stern said in an address at the International Monetary Fund.

"When we were at three degrees Centigrade three million years ago, the sea levels were about 20 some meters (65 feet) above now. On sea level rise of just two meters, probably a couple of hundred million people would have to move," he said.

Stern said that other effects would come more quickly including the expansion of deserts and the melting of Himalayan snows that supply rivers on which up to two billion people depend.

Even if nations fulfill pledges made in 2010 at a UN-led conference in Cancun, Mexico, the world would be on track to warming of four degrees (7.2 Fahrenheit), he said.

Stern's 2006 study, considered a landmark in raising public attention on climate change, predicted that warming would shave at least five percent of gross domestic product per year.

Despite the slow progress in international negotiations, Stern saw signs for hope as a number of countries move to put a price on greenhouse gases.

"My own view is that 2013 is the best possible year to try to work and redouble our efforts to create the political will that hitherto has been much too weak," Stern said.

Stern said that French President Francois Hollande was keen for nations to meet their goal of sealing an accord in 2015 in Paris.

Stern also voiced hope that German Chancellor Angela Merkel, long a prominent voice on climate change, would become more active after this year's elections.

US President Barack Obama has vowed action on climate change after an earlier bid was thwarted by lawmakers of the rival Republican Party, many of whom reject the science behind climate change.

Emissions have risen sharply in recent years from emerging economies, particularly China.

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