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Era of cheap Chinese goods threatened by new worker power

by Staff Writers
Hong Kong (AFP) May 18, 2008
Migrant workers, for years the backbone of China's export miracle, are discovering their economic muscle, threatening an end to the flood of cheap goods heading west, the author of a new book said.

The seemingly endless supply of cheap labour that has flooded into Guangdong and other southern provinces is evaporating, pushing up wages and the price of cheap televisions, toys and clothes, according to Alexandra Harney.

Her book "The China Price: The True Cost of Chinese Competitive Advantage" examines the lives of individual workers behind the country's manufacturing miracle.

"Ten to 15 years ago workers lined up outside the gates -- they would be lucky to have a job at your factory," said Harney, who spent two years interviewing workers, factory bosses and foreign investors in the region.

"Now a lot of factories I know are having to pay bonuses to workers to convince their family members to come and work there. They send them to the countryside and ask them to bring people back," she told AFP.

China's booming export sector has been one of the undoubted success stories since the country began to open up its economy 30 years ago.

Foreign firms have employed local factories or set up their own operations to make goods ranging from cutlery to underwear, computer chips to furniture.

The success was based on the minimal cost of labour, kept low by a stream of work-hungry bodies from across China desperate to escape crippling rural poverty.

It led to perhaps the biggest migration in human history, with around 200 million workers churning out products for export across the world, a sprawling group that Harney was attracted to write about as they were "really powerful, but nameless".

And their power is increasing as labour has begun to dry up since 2004, mainly as a result of China's one-child policy, which has left a dearth of teenagers seeking employment.

Inevitably the reduction has led to higher wages -- Harney says in some cases up to 20 percent annual pay rises -- and combined with the higher cost of raw materials, has created a crisis for manufacturers.

"It is clear that the forces that have been at work on Chinese factories in the past few years -- rising costs, rising wages, more aware workers -- are now coming to a head as they are combined with an appreciating Renminbi," she said.

"That has created a perfect storm for manufacturing."

Although the former Financial Times journalist believes there is some exaggeration of the problems by factory bosses -- recent stories of 15,000 factories having to shut down are aimed at watering down costly a new labour law, she said -- Harney has little doubt that the balance of power is shifting towards workers.

"If you are entering a factory now after several years of worker shortages, you are likely to find it has better conditions than it previously did," she said.

"A manager five years ago thought workers were a dime a dozen. And now he has a greater consciousness, he needs to think more about worker retention, motivating his workforce."

Although Harney said there has been an increase in workers' appreciation of their legal rights, the awareness has yet to manifest itself in any form of noticeable movement to rival China's official trade union.

But the shortage has given some migrants incredible opportunities, as demand for workers in all industries is so high.

Li Luyuan, aged 20, was able to switch from a job stitching sweaters for 18 hours a day into one selling real estate, an incredible turnaround for a woman with no formal education beyond junior high school.

"While that truly is an exceptional story the pace of change in these workers lives is without comparison elsewhere, and perhaps in history," said Harney, who became friends with Li.

"To go from having no running water to selling real estate in just a few years in a young life is just extraordinary."

What these workers as a group decide to do next has ramifications not just for their own lives, but also for the era of cheap goods, Harney said.

Many factories are moving further inland to find new workers. Other regional competitors such as Vietnam are starting to undercut China on labour costs.

And last year's horrific snow storms over the Lunar New Year meant many workers faced horrendous journeys home on their only holiday of the year, a fact that kept many of them from returning.

Some factories will move up the value chain to high-tech goods, but others will be forced into consolidation or closure, Harney says.

"The China Price," she said, "is rising".

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China slow in meeting WTO commitments: US study
Washington (AFP) May 14, 2008
China has been slow in meeting commitments it made when joining the World Trade Organization (WTO) more than six years ago, according to a US Congress-commissioned report Wednesday.







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