. Earth Science News .
POLITICAL ECONOMY
German economy shrugs off China worries, VW scandal
By Simon MORGAN
Frankfurt (AFP) Oct 26, 2015


German businesses are confident about the outlook for Europe's biggest economy, despite China's slowdown and the Volkswagen scandal, a top survey showed Monday, as the Bundesbank also insisted economic growth was still on track.

The leading economic think-tank Ifo said in its closely-watched business confidence survey that concerns about slowing growth in China, the Volkswagen pollution-cheating scam and the massive influx of mostly Syrian refugees in Europe had dented optimism only slightly this month.

Its headline index slipped to 108.2 points in October from 108.5 points in September, Ifo said in a statement, a much shallower drop than analysts had expected.

At the same time, the German central bank or Bundesbank, said in its latest monthly report that the underlying growth trend remains "very robust."

"The upward momentum of overall economic activity in Germany continued in the third quarter," the Bundesbank said.

But it conceded that growth in the period from July to September may not come out "quite as dynamic" as in the preceding two quarters, when it had stood at 0.3 percent and 0.4 percent respectively.

Still, BayernLB economist Stefan Kipar concluded: "We're not going to see a turnaround to the downside just yet."

- 'Remarkably resilient' -

For its survey, the Ifo institute quizzes businesses about their current business and the outlook for the next six months.

"Companies were slightly less satisfied with their current business situation than in September," said Ifo president Hans-Werner Sinn.

But "optimism with a view to future business developments nevertheless continued to grow," he said.

"The German economy is proving remarkably resilient in view of this autumn's multiple challenges," he said.

Even the discovery of pollution-cheating devices on 11 million Volkswagen cars worldwide "has had no impact on the German automotive industry," Sinn said.

VW is currently embroiled in its biggest-ever scandal after it was exposed with fitting its diesel engines with sophisticated software to skew the results of pollution emissions tests.

The revelations have rocked the auto sector around the world and cast a shadow over the German economy.

But according to Ifo's survey, "the climate index for the automotive sector even continued to rise this month," the think-tank said.

"Assessments of the current business situation and business expectations both improved. Firms plan to ramp up production. Exports, however, are not expected to provide further stimuli," Ifo chief Sinn added.

- VW scandal a 'one-off' -

Analysts welcomed the better-than-expected reading of the Ifo barometer this month.

"Of course, one should not interpret too much in a single confidence indicator but today's Ifo reading suggests that the German business community is filing the Volkswagen scandal as a one-off and is also shrugging off the risk from a possible Chinese and emerging markets slowdown," said Carsten Brzeski at ING DiBa.

"Despite these external uncertainties and regular concerns about the real strength of the German economy, German business remain highly optimistic," he said.

"Continued growth in the service sector, strong domestic demand and an outside world that might be slowing but is definitely not falling off a cliff, should keep the German economy on the sunny side," the expert continued.

"All in all, the Ifo index shows that the German economy is not totally immune against external slowdowns and internal scandals. However, there is no reason at all to fear an abrupt slowdown," Brzeski said.

Capital Economics economist Jennifer McKeown was more cautious.

"The small fall in the Ifo index in October echoes the message from other indicators that growth is now slowing," she said.

"Admittedly, the decline ... was not as sharp as the consensus forecast. The index remains at a pretty high level. In all, while we do not see German growth screeching to a halt, it seems clear that a modest slowdown is under way at a time when the economy's spare capacity has only just been used up," she said.

Kipar similarly felt that the economic fallout from the VW scandal appeared to be limited for now.

The dip in the headline Ifo index "can be interpreted as a breather" following three consecutive increases since June, the analyst said.


Thanks for being here;
We need your help. The SpaceDaily news network continues to grow but revenues have never been harder to maintain.

With the rise of Ad Blockers, and Facebook - our traditional revenue sources via quality network advertising continues to decline. And unlike so many other news sites, we don't have a paywall - with those annoying usernames and passwords.

Our news coverage takes time and effort to publish 365 days a year.

If you find our news sites informative and useful then please consider becoming a regular supporter or for now make a one off contribution.
SpaceDaily Contributor
$5 Billed Once


credit card or paypal
SpaceDaily Monthly Supporter
$5 Billed Monthly


paypal only


.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle

Previous Report
POLITICAL ECONOMY
Growth v reform debate for China's new plan
Beijing (AFP) Oct 25, 2015
China's leaders gather Monday to hash out a new Five Year Plan to battle slowing growth, and analysts say they must choose between chasing a traditional GDP target and embracing reforms such as to the "one child policy" to help the country develop its full potential. After a decades-long boom, experts say China needs to embrace further liberalisation to avoid the "middle income trap" when de ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
Riot control mask partially developed by Army researchers

Fuel-strapped Nepal sends team to China to ease supply

Hong Kong probes ferry crash as injury toll rises to 124

China to donate fuel to Nepal: official

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Prolonged exposure to low doses of radiation ups cancer risk: study

Nanoscale diamond 'racetrack' becomes breakthrough Raman laser

Deutsche Telekom, Huawei in cloud link to rival Amazon

Ukraine to receive U.S. radars by mid-November

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Fish farming gobbles up phosphorus

Beavers take a chunk out of nitrogen in Northeast rivers

Ocean heat content reveals secrets of fish migration behaviors

Scientists find some thrive in acid seas

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Antarctic species threatened by willful misinterpretation of legal treaty

Warming opens famed Northwest Passage to navigation

Pakistan facing climate 'calamity' if warnings go unheeded

Formation of coastal sea ice in North Pacific drives ocean circulation

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Reducing the sweetness to survive

Farmers lose debt gamble in typhoon-plagued Philippines

Australian technology allows cows' weights to be monitored from space

Syria's Arctic seed vault relocated to Morocco, Lebanon

POLITICAL ECONOMY
How did Mexico dodge the Hurricane Patricia bullet?

Powerful quake rocks South Asia, more than 160 dead

Powerful quake rocks South Asia, 70 dead

Hurricane flattens Mexico homes, but no major disaster

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Zimbabwe's Robert Mugabe wins Confucius Peace Prize

India reaches out to Africa in resources race with China

US offers Niger surveillance planes as Islamist attacks continue

Cow dung and old tyres inspire S.African township artists

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Study: Being an angry white male is key to being influential

3-D map of the brain

Study: Cadaver arms suggest human fists evolved for punching, too

Mathematically modeling the mind









The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.