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POLITICAL ECONOMY
HSBC profit drops on market volatility
By Dennis CHONG
London (AFP) May 3, 2016


China manufacturing weakens in April, private survey shows
Beijing (AFP) May 3, 2016 - Chinese factory activity weakened further in April, a private survey indicated Tuesday, as muted demand and market weakness hit the struggling export-oriented sector.

The Purchasing Managers' Index by Caixin, which tracks activity in the country's factories and workshops, fell to 49.4 for April, a 0.3 point drop from the month before and the 14th consecutive month of decline.

A reading above 50 signals expanding activity, while anything below indicates shrinkage.

He Fan, chief economist at Caixin Insight Group, said all of the index's categories worsened month-on-month, indicating that the world's second-largest economy "lacks a solid foundation for recovery and is still in the process of bottoming out".

"The government needs to keep a close watch on the risk of a further economic downturn," he added.

The key manufacturing sector has been struggling for months in the face of sagging global demand for Chinese products.

The Caixin figures showed that new export work fell for the fifth straight month and factories continued to shed workers at a rate "only fractionally slower" than the post-financial crisis record set in February, it said.

The figures were darker than official data released Sunday, which showed expansion for the second successive month at 50.1.

The Caixin reading puts a greater emphasis on smaller firms than the official statistics.

Analysts said the official reading in April argues against extra stimulus to avoid fuelling housing prices or flooding sectors already over capacity with cheap credit.

"As investment recovered, the property market turned around and infrastructure construction speeded up," the National Bureau of Statistics said in a statement.

Julian Evans-Pritchard of Capital Economics said the latest data were disappointing and weaker than expected, but nevertheless reiterated an upbeat view on the short-term outlook for China's economy.

"There are few signs in the latest readings that the ongoing property rebound, a key driver of the recent recovery, is losing steam," he said in a note, adding that the figures do not "alter our view that China is in the midst of a cyclical rebound that should continue for at least another couple of quarters".

Beijing has been trying to retool its economy to encourage domestic consumption, and move away from infrastructure investment and exports as the main drivers of growth.

But the transition is proving bumpy and the growth slowdown has alarmed investors worldwide.

Chinese stock markets shrugged off the latest figures, with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index up 1.60 percent by the noon break Tuesday.

China's economy, a vital driver of global expansion, grew 6.9 percent last year, its weakest rate in a quarter of a century.

Leaders have targeted a growth range of 6.5-7.0 percent this year.

HSBC on Tuesday said its net profit fell almost a fifth in the first quarter, with Europe's biggest bank hit by "extreme levels" of markets volatility, while bad loans doubled.

Equity and currency markets from Asia to the Americas were sent into meltdown at the start of the year as a growth slowdown in China and plunging oil prices fanned concerns about the world economy.

In comments included in the earnings statement, HSBC chief executive Stuart Gulliver said the group's performance in the January-March period "was resilient in tough market conditions that affected the entire banking sector".

The first two months of the year saw "reduced client activity" in foreign exchange and stocks, with a partial recovery in March, added the British bank that is focused on Asia.

HSBC said its net profit fell 18 percent to US$4.3 billion (3.7 billion euros) in the first quarter compared with one year earlier, while revenues were down four percent at almost $14 billion.

Bad loans surged $692 million to $1.16 billion year-on-year, related to the energy and mining sectors.

HSBC shares rose however, with traders welcoming the group's better-than-expected pre-tax result. The bank added that it was on track to reach cost targets after a radical overhaul announced last year.

"It's tough out there for banks, and HSBC is no exception, particularly seeing as it is increasingly focusing its business on Asia, which is a weak market right now," said Laith Khalaf, senior analyst at London-based stockbrokers Hargreaves Lansdown.

"However... things weren't quite as bad at HSBC as investors had feared."

Although pre-tax profits were down 14 percent at $6.1 billion, the result beat analysts' consensus forecast of $4.3 billion.

In early London deals, HSBC's share price was up 0.3 percent at 454 pence. The capital's benchmark FTSE 100 index was down 0.6 percent overall.

HSBC last year announced a radical overhaul to cut costs that included shedding 50,000 jobs worldwide, exiting unprofitable businesses and focusing more on Asia.

Gulliver said there was growing momentum in the bank's Asia businesses, with "strong business wins" after HSBC's investment in the region.

But, like many global banks, it has continued to face turmoil in global financial markets, while stricter regulations have driven up costs.

"One of the headwinds HSBC has been battling is a deterioration of its loan book, with impairment costs doubling from last year, led by problems with borrowers in the energy and mining sectors," said analyst Khalaf.

- US probe -

HSBC meanwhile revealed in February that it is one of the banks being investigated by the US Securities and Exchange Commission in relation to its hiring practices in Asia-Pacific.

It came as the bank tried to move beyond recent scandals, including the rigging of foreign exchange markets.

Last month HSBC distanced itself from the Panama Papers leaks, which listed the bank as one of the institutions that helped set up the most offshore accounts.

The trove of documents from Panama-based law firm Mossack Fonseca revealed the vast extent of global tax evasion, putting the spotlight on how politicians and tycoons manage their money.

HSBC meanwhile announced earlier this year that it would keep its headquarters in London, despite concerns about growing regulation in Britain and an upcoming vote on whether it should leave the European Union.


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Previous Report
POLITICAL ECONOMY
China manufacturing index expands at slower pace
Beijing (AFP) May 1, 2016
China's economic recovery stabilised in April, an official factory activity gauge showed Sunday, as the property market recovered and credit grew. The Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI), tracking activity in factories and workshops, rose for the second successive month, the National Bureau of Statistics said. The figure was 50.1 compared to 50.2 in March. But any reading above 50 signals e ... read more


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