. Earth Science News .
Hurricane Threat For 2007 Upgraded By Scientific Team
The Atlantic hurrican zone
The Atlantic hurrican zone
by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) Nov 08, 2006
After a lull this year, the Atlantic hurricane season in 2007 will see "a return to high activity," scientists forecast on Friday. "Based on current and projected climate signals, Atlantic basin and US landfalling tropical cyclone activity are forecast to be 60 percent above the 1950-2006 norm in 2007," said Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), a London-based consortium.

"There is a high (around 80 percent) likelihood that activity will be in the top one-third of years historically," it added in its press release.

It gave the rough forecast of more than 15 tropical storms, of which nearly nine would be hurricanes, and nearly four intense hurricanes.

2006 was a quiet year for hurricanes.

Out of nine tropical storms during the June-November season, only five hurricanes formed and none made landfall on US coasts.

That compared to the deadly 2005 season, which produced a record 27 named storms and 15 hurricanes, seven of them intense. They included Hurricane Katrina, which swept westward across Florida before barrelling into New Orleans on August 29, 2005.

TSR (tropicalstormrisk.com) groups scientists from University College London's Benfield Hazard Research Centre, which is sponsored by the reinsurance industry.

Its forecast is based on the sea surface temperature and trade wind speed in the Caribbean and tropical North Atlantic, which are the two main drivers for whipping up hurricanes.

Source: Agence France-Presse

Related Links
Tropical Storm Risk
A world of storm and tempest

Venice's St Mark's Square Under Water With New 'Acqua Alta'
Rome (AFP) Dec 09, 2006
Venice's historic St Mark's Square was under water Saturday as a new episode of "acqua alta" struck the city with the convergence of high tides and a strong sirocco. The city's tide monitoring center put residents on alert and raised walkways were put in place on main streets to allow people to get around the city, five percent of which was under water with levels up to 103 centimeters (3.3 feet).







  • Durian's Aftermath: Disease Threatens Homeless Philippine Families
  • Thailand Adopts New Wireless Network For Disasters
  • Liquid-Crystal Rubber Suit Prevents Overheating
  • Red Cross Calls For Disaster Cash Boost

  • Global Warming Of The Future Is Projected By Ancient Carbon Emissions
  • More Than 50 Tribes Convene on Global Warming Impacts
  • Wildlife Could Get Relief From US Supreme Court In Global Warming Case
  • Farm Animals More Damaging To Climate Than Cars

  • China To Launch 22 More Meteorological Satellites By 2020
  • Jason-1 Celebrates Five Years In Orbit - Ocean Data Continues To Flow
  • Accurate Weather Service For 2008
  • Explore Planet Earth In Near-Real Time

  • New Method For Chemical Production Developed In Just Two Years
  • Boeing Spectrolab Terrestrial Solar Cell Surpasses 40 Percent Efficiency
  • Brown Plans Green Future For Britain And Hikes Growth Forecast
  • Switchgrass Aims For Ethanol At One Dollar A Gallon

  • Common PTSD Drug Is No More Effective Than Placebo
  • Freed China Activist Says AIDS Problem Far Exceeds Official Data
  • Africa Urged To Break Deafening Silence On AIDS
  • Flu Vaccines Plentiful Amid Low Demand

  • Nobel Laureates See Link In Genetics, Big Bang
  • Nearly Half Of Iraqi Marshlands Restored
  • Pendulums, Predators And Prey: The Ecology Of Coupled Oscillations
  • Professional Fasters Deep Under The Sea Floor

  • Japan To Offer Aid To Monitor Acid Rain And Yellow Sand In China
  • An Interview The EPA's Stephen Johnson
  • Reducing Air Pollution Could Increase Rice Harvests In India
  • Indonesia Hopes To See Haze Lift Within Two Years

  • Ancient Ape Ruled Out Of Man's Ancestral Line
  • Concrete Blocks Used In Great Pyramids Construction
  • Gendered Division Of Labor Gave Modern Humans Advantage Over Neanderthals
  • Genetic Variation Shows We're More Different Than We Thought

  • The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2006 - SpaceDaily.AFP and UPI Wire Stories are copyright Agence France-Presse and United Press International. ESA PortalReports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additionalcopyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by SpaceDaily on any Web page published or hosted by SpaceDaily. Privacy Statement