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IMF chief warns recovery 'in peril' if cooperation fails

China raises US debt holdings amid global surge
Washington (AFP) Oct 18, 2010 - China raised its US debt holdings in August as global appetite surged for long-term Treasury bonds seen as a safe haven amid economic uncertainty, official data showed Monday. China, excluding Hong Kong, remained by far the biggest holder of Treasury bonds and notes: 868.4 billion dollars' worth, reflecting an increase of 21.7 billion dollars from July, the Treasury Department reported. Overall, net foreign purchases of US securities rose to 128.7 billion dollars in August, taking into account US residents' purchase of 7.9 billion dollars' worth. The adjusted total was estimated at 111.8 billion dollars, two and a half times more than the July level, according to the monthly Treasury International Capital (TIC) data.

Purchases by foreign private and public investors surged to 136.6 billion dollars. "In August, foreign investors were hungry, very hungry, for US Treasury bonds and notes. As a result, net private and public purchases of US Treasuries reached their third highest level on record, at 136.6 billion dollars," said Gregory Daco, US senior economist at IHS Global Insight. "As we have seen over the last months, in times of great uncertainty over the global recovery investors continue to view US securities as a safe-haven refuge," he added. Japan continued to be the second-largest holder of US debt, increasing its investment by 15.6 billion dollars, to 836.6 billion dollars. Britain, in third place, pumped in a hefty 74.1 billion dollars, raising its US debt holdings to 448.4 billion dollars.
by Staff Writers
Shanghai (AFP) Oct 18, 2010
The head of the IMF on Monday warned central bankers that the global recovery would be "in peril" if the world's major economies do not keep working together, amid mounting fears of a currency war.

International Monetary Fund Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn made the comments at the end of a meeting in Shanghai that brought together high-level officials from Asia, Africa, Europe, and North and South America.

The Shanghai conference follows IMF and World Bank annual meetings earlier this month, where finance officials discussed how to strengthen the recovery from the worst recession since World War II and the global financial system.

It also comes ahead of this week's key Group of 20 meeting in South Korea, where currency reform is expected to dominate talks, amid fears that nations could adopt trade barriers in the face of competition from Asian exports.

"The spirit of cooperation must be maintained. Without that, the recovery is in peril," Strauss-Kahn said, according to a copy of his closing remarks released by the Washington-based IMF.

"Today, there is a risk that the single chorus that tamed the financial crisis will dissolve into a cacophony of discordant voices as countries increasingly go it alone. This will surely make everybody worse off."

Strauss-Kahn and PBOC chief Zhou Xiaochuan co-chaired the closed-door meeting, according to the IMF.

The US Federal Reserve was represented by Kevin Warsh, a member of the central bank's policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee.

The talks focused on macro-prudential policies -- the big systemic picture of reducing the risk of too-big-to-fail institutions, Strauss-Kahn said.

"Supervision must be intensive and intrusive -- not afraid of saying no to powerful interests," he said.

He stressed the need for domestic and international mechanisms that "allow failing firms to be wound down with minimal cost to taxpayers and to end the scourge of too-big or too-important to fail."

In the run-up to the G20 finance ministers' meeting, which begins Friday, South Korea has warned that frictions over the currency upheaval are growing and could lead to trade protectionism.

The United States, facing mid-term elections next month, has ratcheted up the pressure on China to allow the yuan to rise more rapidly, but Beijing insists its currency must not be used as a "scapegoat" for US economic woes.

People's Bank of China Vice-governor Yi Gang reiterated the central bank's stance at a news conference, saying China would keep the yuan at "a reasonable and balanced level".

"We will continue the reform of our exchange rate regime in a gradual manner and at the same time maintain the stability of the economy," Yi said.

With Beijing keeping a tight grip on the yuan, many other Asian economies are suffering as their currencies soar against the dollar. Despite Europe's debt woes, the euro has also surged.

Xia issued a thinly veiled warning to the United States not to print more money to stimulate growth.

"The key is to restrict issuance of currencies of major powers, which is very difficult," Xia said.

"A nation that historically has had the dominant currency will not easily give up its interests."

IMF First Deputy Managing Director John Lipsky sought to dispel talk of a currency war, saying decisions by the United States and other advanced economies should be seen in the context of low growth and very low inflation.

"There is no currency war," Lipsky told reporters.

"Clearly these policies are aimed at the domestic situation not aimed at their international implications."

A year ago, the Group of 20 developed and developing nations tasked the IMF with stepping up its focus on global systemic stability.

Authorities agreed a broader approach was needed to spot weakness in the increasingly interconnected financial system, to complement the traditional regulations of bank-by-bank audit and supervision.

Asia-Pacific leaders will meet for a summit in Japan following a G20 gathering in Seoul next month.



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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China raises US debt holdings amid global surge
Washington (AFP) Oct 18, 2010
China raised its US debt holdings in August as global appetite surged for long-term Treasury bonds seen as a safe haven amid economic uncertainty, official data showed Monday. China, excluding Hong Kong, remained by far the biggest holder of Treasury bonds and notes: 868.4 billion dollars' worth, reflecting an increase of 21.7 billion dollars from July, the Treasury Department reported. ... read more







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