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TRADE WARS
Mining giant Glencore rides commodities rollercoaster
By Marie-No�lle BLESSIG
Geneva (AFP) Sept 29, 2015


Glencore shares rebound after it assures solvency
Zurich (AFP) Sept 29, 2015 - Shares in mining giant Glencore rebounded Tuesday after the company assured markets its business remained robust, following rumours in financial circles it might soon be delisted.

The debt-laden Swiss company, which has been hard-hit by a commodity price collapse as China's economic boom slows and its demand for raw materials declines, insisted its business was "operationally and financially robust".

"We have positive cash flow, good liquidity and absolutely no solvency issues," it said in a statement.

The announcement appeared to reassure investors: Glencore's share price surged as much as 20 percent in London trading before closing up 16.95 percent, recovering a good part of the 29-percent loss it suffered Monday.

By the end of the day Monday, Glencore had lost more than three quarters of its value since listing with much fanfare in London and Hong Kong in May 2011.

Analysts warned that Glencore's massive losses Monday were not justified, with several suggesting the mining giant should delist to shield itself from the abuse.

"The pummelling of Glencore yesterday was irrational," Societe General analyst Robin Bhar told Bloomberg News.

CitiGroup meanwhile said in a note that if the stock market did not stop massacring Glencore's shares, company chief Ivan Glasenberg, who holds 15.8 percent of the company, should consider going private.

"The markets response is overdone... In the event the equity market continues to express its unwillingness to value the business fairly, the company management should take the company private, whereby restructuring measures can be taken easily and quickly." said the bank, which helped Glencore to go public in 2011.

Most resources-linked firms have taken a hit in recent months as the price of copper, aluminium, iron ore and oil have dropped to multi-year lows.

- $30 billion in debt -

But Glencore has been particularly badly affected because of its huge $30 billion debt-load.

Dealers were further spooked on Monday when brokerage Investec said in a research note to clients: "The challenging environment for mining companies leads us to the question of how much value will be left for equity holders if commodity prices do not improve," adding that Glencore's equity value "could evaporate".

But on Tuesday, Glencore stressed that it had already taken a number of "proactive steps to position our company to withstand current commodity market conditions."

The Swiss mining goliath said it was making progress on a range of drastic moves announced at the beginning of the month aimed to cut its $30-billion debt by a third.

Among other measures, the company has raised $2.5 billion in share sales, has halted dividend payments until further notice and has suspended production at its Katanga copper and cobalt mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

"Glencore has no debt covenants and continues to retain strong lines of credit and secure access to funding thanks to long term relationships we have with the banks," it said in Tuesday's statement.

"We remain focused on running efficient, low cost and safe operations and are confident the medium and long-term fundamentals of the commodities we produce and market remain strong into the future," it added.

Glencore, which was founded in 1974 by the late Marc Rich, a trader who made it onto the FBI's 10 most wanted list in part for trading oil with Iran, moved into the big leagues in 2012 when it launched a takeover offer for Swiss miner Xstrata.

The resulting merger created a $90 billion group and a new powerhouse in the global commodities industry, which boasted more than 180,000 employees and contractors around the world in 2014.

The new Glencore Xstrata shares listed in London in May 2013 at 343 pence a share. On Tuesday they closed at 80 pence.

Glencore, a global resources giant which traces its roots back to a Swiss firm launched by the late Marc Rich, a trader who made it onto the FBI's 10 most wanted list, encapsulates all the woes of the commodities crash, and more.

Chained down by some $30 billion in debt, and hit by a commodity price collapse as China's economic boom slows and its hunger for raw materials wanes, the group based in Baar, Switzerland, has been at the mercy of volatile financial markets.

Since listing on the Hong Kong and London stock exchanges to great fanfare in 2011 as commodity prices raced higher, Glencore's share price has plummeted by more than 80 percent.

As evidence of the jittery climate, the group suffered a 30-percent drop on its share price in London on Monday and then enjoyed a 20-percent rally in afternoon trade on Tuesday after protesting that its viability is not at risk.

"Our business remains operationally and financially robust -- we have positive cash flow, good liquidity and absolutely no solvency issues," Glencore said in a statement Tuesday, stressing that it has secure access to funding thanks to its long-term relations with banks.

Created in April 1974 by Rich, the company began life humbly, trading in commodities out of his apartment in central Switzerland under the name Marc Rich & Co.

Rich made much of his money trading with Iran, however.

- Iran hostage crisis -

In 1983 he and a business partner were indicted in the United States on multiple counts including tax evasion and trading oil with Iran in breach of an embargo at the time of the hostage crisis at the US embassy in Tehran.

Belgian-born Rich, who had five nationalities -- US, Spanish, Israeli, Belgian and Swiss -- was never to return to the United States to face charges.

He quit the firm in 1994, selling his stake for $600 million. Ivan Glasenberg, who led the buyout and took over the helm, went on to transform the group into Glencore.

After featuring on the FBI most wanted list for eight years, Rich was pardoned by then president Bill Clinton on his final day in power in January 2001, a decision that sparked political uproar. Rich died of a stroke in Lucerne, Switzerland, in June 2013.

The firm he founded started life trading in metals, minerals and crude oil before moving into agricultural goods. It soon started to expand from simply trading commodities to acquiring ownership of its own resources in the late 1980s by purchasing mines.

Glencore, led by chief executive Glasenberg who holds 15.8 percent of the company, moved into the big time when it launched a takeover offer for Swiss miner Xstrata in 2012.

The resulting merger created a $90 billion group and a new powerhouse in the global commodities industry, which boasted more than 180,000 employees and contractors around the world in 2014.

- Value 'could evaporate' -

The new Glencore Xtrata shares listed in London in May 2013 at 343 pence a share. On Tuesday they were trading at 82 pence.

Glencore Plc, as it has been officially named since last year, has suffered like its competitors from the commodities slump.

The world's most important raw material -- crude oil -- has roughly halved in price in a year. Iron ore has taken a similar dive. Other commodities, from coal to copper, soya to sugar, have slumped by 20-40 percent.

But more than many of its rivals, Glencore is also carrying a high debt load that worries investors.

On September 7, Glencore announced drastic moves to cut its debt by about a third, suspending production in Zambia and the Democratic Republic of Congo, raising $2.5 billion in share sales and suspending dividend payments until further notice.

Its shares briefly rallied, but the concerns over Glencore refused to go away.

On Monday, brokerage firm Investec fanned the flames again, warning in a research report to clients: "If major commodity prices remain at current levels, our analysis implies that, in the absence of substantial restructuring, nearly all the equity value of both Glencore and Anglo American could evaporate."

Glencore, however, said Tuesday that it is pressing ahead with measures to cut its debt by $10.2 billion.

"We remain focused on running efficient, low cost and safe operations and are confident the medium and long-term fundamentals of the commodities we produce and market remain strong into the future," it said.


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