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POLITICAL ECONOMY
Obama calls new debt talks under China pressure
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) July 14, 2011

China to extend home purchase restrictions
Shanghai (AFP) July 14, 2011 - China on Thursday pledged to extend limits on new home purchases to smaller cities as authorities step up efforts to cool the country's red-hot real estate market.

The State Council, or cabinet, said it would tighten existing property restrictions in cities that have seen excessive price rises to push them "back to reasonable levels".

"Now is a critical moment for property curbs. (We) must not swerve or relax the strength of enforcement," the State Council said in a statement after a meeting chaired by Premier Wen Jiabao.

The cabinet also renewed calls for local governments to start work on up to 10 million state-subsidised apartments by the end of November, adding that construction on half of the target had started by the end of June.

China has introduced a range of measures aimed at reducing house prices since late 2009, such as bans on buying second homes in some cities, hiking minimum downpayments and trialling property taxes in Shanghai and Chongqing.

Beijing is worried that very high property prices, along with soaring food costs, could trigger social unrest as first-home buyers struggle to get a foot in the market.

To tame inflation, the central bank has been trying to stem a flood of credit in the economy by raising interest rates five times since October and increasing the amount of money banks must keep in reserve numerous times.

But official data shows property sales and investment remain strong.

Investment in property development rose 32.9 percent on year to 2.6 trillion yuan ($405.7 billion) in the first half, while sales in terms of floor space increased 12.9 percent in the same period, government data showed Wednesday.

President Barack Obama and his Republican foes came under mounting pressure Thursday to forge a compromise to avert an early August debt default, with China and Wall Street sounding the alarm.

Obama was to host top Republicans and his fellow Democrats for a fifth straight day of White House talks to craft a deal to narrow the yawning US budget deficit while allowing cash-strapped Washington to borrow past August 2.

Economists and finance and business leaders have warned that failure to raise the US debt ceiling above the current $14.3 trillion would send shockwaves through the fragile world economy as it digs out from the 2008 collapse.

With the contentious talks at a standstill, Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell were trying to craft an complex legislative escape hatch to avert a default, push spending cuts, but forego tax hikes, aides said.

"I have no idea," if it can pass the House, Republican House Speaker John Boehner told reporters.

And Republicans pressed ahead with calls for a balanced budget amendment to the US Constitution -- though it was unlikely to pass the Democratic-held Senate.

With time running short, polarized US politicians drew ever-sharper rebukes from Beijing, the largest US creditor, as well as Wall Street giant JPMorgan Chase and US central bank chief Ben Bernanke.

"We hope the US government adopts responsible policy and measures to ensure the interests of investors," Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Hong Lei told reporters.

And China's Dagong credit ratings agency echoed Moody's ratings agency by putting US sovereign debt on downgrade watch, citing weak US economic growth and the likelihood that fiscal deficits would remain high.

JPMorgan Chase chief Jamie Dimon warned that the "irresponsible" failure to avert a default could be a "catastrophe" with grim consequences "not just for the health of the United States, but the financial health of the world."

"It's not possible that someone can say with a straight face that the default of the United States wouldn't damage the United States and the global economy. Why take that chance? I would never take that chance," he scolded.

And Bernanke warned key lawmakers in a hearing that a default "would be a self-inflicted wound" that would provoke a major economic crisis and risk a second recession.

US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner piled on the pressure after a midday meeting with Senate Democrats, warning "we looked at all available options and we have no way to give Congress more time to solve this problem."

"The eyes of the country are on us, and the eyes of the world are on us, and we need to make sure we stand together and send a definitive signal," he said in a brief public appearance, stressing: "We are running out of time."

Republicans, meanwhile, redoubled their calls for a balanced budget amendment that would force deep cuts in spending while tightening restrictions on Washington's ability to raise taxes.

McConnell complained that Democrats "want to simply borrow and spend our nation into oblivion" and declared "if the president and Democrats in Congress won't agree to cut back, let's force them."

Republicans embraced calls for fiscal discipline when Obama took office in January 2009, after years of playing down swelling US deficits, approving massive tax cuts, and rejecting calls to pay for the Iraq and Afghanistan wars.

But a new opinion poll by Quinnipiac University found the US public more ready to blame Republicans than Obama by a 48 percent to 34 percent in the event the talks collapse.

The survey found 56 percent percent of Americans disapproved of Obama's handling of the economy against 38 percent who approved, but also that more trusted him on the issue than trust Republicans, by a 45-38 percent margin.

Obama, who is seeking a second term in the November 2012 elections, garnered a 47 percent overall job approval rating, while 46 percent said they disapprove -- putting him below the 50-percent mark deemed crucial for incumbents.

The US hit its debt ceiling on May 16 and has used spending and accounting adjustments, as well as higher-than-expected tax receipts, to continue operating without impact on government obligations, but can only do so to August 2.

In a sign of sluggish progress, Obama floated to top lawmakers that the talks could continue at the Camp David retreat over the weekend, a step swiftly rejected as unnecessary by Republican House Speaker John Boehner.

earlier related report
China welcomes Zhu Min's IMF appointment
Beijing (AFP) July 14, 2011 - Beijing on Thursday welcomed the appointment of Chinese economist Zhu Min to a new deputy managing director's position with the International Monetary Fund and called for more such reforms.

China's foreign ministry said Zhu's hiring showed the IMF had taken big strides to better represent emerging markets among the IMF's board and management.

"We think this has demonstrated the major progress made by the IMF in increasing the representativeness of emerging market economies and developing countries," said foreign ministry spokesman Hong Lei.

"We hope the IMF will further push ahead with reforms so as to make bigger progress."

Zhu, 58, was one of the first appointments made by new IMF managing director Christine Lagarde, who last week promised a greater role for the world's large emerging economies at the top of the organisation.

While the new deputy managing director position was created with an emerging economy representative in mind, it was widely expected that someone from China, the world's second-largest economy, would fill the post.

His hiring is likely to assuage complaints that the IMF's management team is overly dominated by the old and mature economies -- the United States, Europe and Japan.

The IMF is already implementing a plan to increase the influence of the largest emerging economies on the board -- particularly China, India, Brazil, Russia, and South Africa.

Lagarde has pledged to follow through with that plan, even though it will mean a reduction of the powerful voting power held by her European backers.

Announcing Zhu's appointment, Lagarde said the former Chinese central banker "brings a wealth of experience in government, international policy making and financial markets, strong managerial and communication skills."

"He will play an important role in working with me and the rest of my management team in meeting the challenges facing our global membership in the period ahead, and in strengthening the Fund's understanding of Asia and emerging markets more generally," she added.

Zhu had been a special adviser to the IMF managing director since 2010. Before that he was a deputy governor of the People's Bank of China, and previously served in various positions at the Bank of China.

The economist also worked six years at the World Bank, and has taught at Fudan University in China and Johns Hopkins in the United States.




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China urges US to protect investors
Beijing (AFP) July 14, 2011 - China on Thursday urged Washington to protect the interests of investors after ratings agency Moody's placed the United States' triple-A debt rating on a downgrade watch.

China is by far the top holder of US debt, with holdings at $1.153 trillion in April according to US data, and has raised concerns about its investment in the past.

"We hope the US government adopts responsible policy and measures to ensure the interests of investors," foreign ministry spokesman Hong Lei told reporters at a briefing.

His comments came after Moody's Investor Service warned Wednesday it could downgrade the United States' triple-A rating because of rising prospects the US debt limit will not be raised in time to avoid default.

The announcement came as US lawmakers try to hammer out a deal that would allow President Barack Obama to raise the country's debt ceiling to allow it to meet its repayment obligations.

Republicans are refusing to lift the country's $14.29 trillion debt ceiling without deep government spending cuts, while they reject Democrats' demand that tax increases must be part of any sweeping deficit reduction plan.

A downgrade could sharply raise US borrowing costs, worsening the country's already dire fiscal position, and send shock waves through the financial world, which has long considered US debt a benchmark among safe-haven investments.

China has in the past raised worries that the massive US stimulus effort launched to revive the economy after the global downturn would lead to mushrooming debt that erodes the value of the dollar and its Treasury holdings.

Beijing had been cutting its holdings of US Treasurys for five months in a row until March. The figure only increased slightly in April, US data showed.

On Thursday, Chinese credit ratings agency Dagong said it had also put US sovereign debt on negative watch for a possible downgrade.

Dagong said the ability of the United States to repay debt was likely to decline given its economic growth was expected to slow and fiscal deficits to remain high in the next couple of years.

The prospect of a downgrade has hammered the dollar, which has tumbled since the end of last week after poor jobs data and the ongoing eurozone debt crisis.

The greenback fell to 78.79 yen in Tokyo trading from 78.98 in New York late Wednesday.

The dollar was also lower after Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke told legislators Wednesday that the central bank was "prepared to respond" if stimulus was needed to kickstart the ailing US economy.

His comments signalled to some that he was keeping the door open for a third round of quantitative easing. The bank in June wound up its $600-billion "QE2" bond purchasing programme that aimed to boost the economy with easy liquidity.





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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China ratings agency issues warning on US debt
Beijing (AFP) July 14, 2011
Chinese credit ratings agency Dagong said Thursday it had put US sovereign debt on negative watch for a possible downgrade - following a similar move by Moody's the previous day. The announcement came as US lawmakers try to hammer out a deal that would allow President Barack Obama to raise the country's debt ceiling, which in turn would allow it to meet its repayment obligations and avoid a ... read more


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