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WHITE OUT
Outside View: Big freeze, storms impose losses up to $40B
by Peter Morici
College Park, Md. (UPI) Feb 14, 2013


US digs out from deadly storm, with more snow coming
New York (AFP) Feb 14, 2014 - The snow-weary eastern US was digging out from yet another mammoth storm Friday, as the deadly weather crept through New England and eastern Canada and another storm approached.

US media counted up to 21 people dead as a result of the storm, which was blasting New England and eastern Canada with heavy snow and powerful winds, a day after plowing through southern and eastern US states.

One of the casualties was a 36-year-old pregnant woman, struck and killed by a snowplow in a New York parking lot. Her baby was delivered alive by Caesarean section but remains in critical condition.

The Canadian weather service predicted up to 20 inches (50 centimeters) of snow in parts of eastern Canada, as flights were cancelled and roads closed Friday.

Further south, the sun had come out, but roads were dangerously icy as commuters returned to their morning commute, after wet roads froze overnight.

A series of massive accidents blocked traffic on a major highway, the Pennsylvania Turnpike. Footage from traffic helicopters showed dozens of cars and trucks stuck in the pile-ups.

A state police trooper told the Philadelphia Inquirer newspaper injuries had been reported, without giving further details.

There was to be only a temporary respite for some, with forecasters predicting yet more snow and wintry weather for the US east coast on Saturday.

- Worst winter in decade -

Thursday's wintry weather shut down schools and offices along much of the east coast -- including federal government operations in Washington.

But a decision to keep schools open in the country's largest city, New York, has drawn fierce criticism for new Mayor Bill De Blasio.

There were reports of school buses colliding with cars -- though no injuries -- and less than half of New York's 1.1 million students turned up.

But De Blasio defended the decision, saying many working parents depend on schools to provide a safe place for their children to learn and eat during the day, and noting that the city's public schools have only closed for weather 11 times since 1978.

Meanwhile, thousands of travelers have been stranded amid flight delays and cancellations that are expected to last for several days as airlines scramble to clear a backlog.

Some 6,500 flights into and out of the US were canceled outright Thursday with a further 1,200 plus on Friday, and thousands more delayed, spelling misery for hundreds of thousands of passengers.

Nearly 800,000 homes and businesses lost power across 11 states along the eastern seaboard, with 340,000 outages in North and South Carolina, the Department of Energy said Thursday.

Broadcasters fell over themselves to find superlatives to describe the "historic" and "mindboggling" "Snowmaggedon."

The storm is only the latest severe weather to hit the eastern United States in what was already the worst winter in 10 years.

But experts predicted it would have little long-term economic impact, because consumers would spend more in heating fuel, according to economic Doug Handler of IHS Global Insight.

The January freeze and crippling storms gripping the eastern United States and upper Midwest are having significant effects on normal life and commerce.

Gauging its ultimate impact on the U.S. economy -- still affected by a nagging hangover from the Great Recession -- is far more complex than merely adding up lost retail and insurance payouts for damage.

The United States braces for cold and storms each winter but this year's conditions are more severe than cities and counties customarily prepare to address. Many commercial structures and homes weren't built for these unanticipated conditions.

The storms these past few weeks in New York would have been manageable for Minneapolis but the Big Apple isn't set up for a Minnesota winter. Nor is Minnesota for arctic conditions.

For a few days, many restaurants closed and workers didn't go to their offices. Overall retail sales were adversely affected, as many shoppers couldn't so easily get to the malls. Pipe bursts and similar mechanical breakdowns damaged homes and commercial structures.

Many businesses closed and lost worker productivity, even though many employees will still be paid.

Venturing out in my four-wheel drive on emergency snow routes closed to parking in Washington, my wife and I found some shops open and catering to walk-in patrons had customers furloughed from work.

The local hardware store was doing a bustling business in shovels and ice-melt. Contractors with trucks and plows got a windfall and plumbers and heating contractors were quite busy with emergency patches.

Overall, though, the freezing temperatures and ice imposed big losses. Initially, lost economic activity and damages will range between $20 billion and $40 billion.

Still, it is important to recognize, unlike the 1950s when the nation's workers were much more concentrated in factories, most of the lost productivity and commerce in a modern service economy is more easily made up once warmer weather returns.

Granted, although some trips and business lunches postponed will be made up, the airlines, restaurants and broader hospitality industry have taken a permanent hit from colder than normal weather. However, accountants will still manage to get all the tax returns done by April 15 -- and the Internal Revenue Service and state tax agencies will manage to process those.

Overall, workers who took a few days off will put in extra time later this month and next to catch up. Of those paid while at home these past few weeks, most won't receive extra pay -- for those businesses and governments, it will all net out.

Folks who didn't buy cars in January and February will purchase those in March and April. With memories of ice-storms, they may be more inclined to purchase heavier sport utility vehicles, four-wheel drives and trucks that cost more, actually increasing the value of what Detroit puts on the road.

Buildings will be repaired and improved and that adds to, not subtracts from, gross domestic product. Some property owners will undertake improvements to better fortify against cold weather and ice they had previously not considered.

First quarter GDP will likely be about 0.2 or 0.3 percent lower but most of that will be made up in the second quarter.

Big storms and freezing temperatures make fascinating news -- witness the success of the Weather Chanel and cable news stations when major storms rumble through -- but American businesses and consumers are enormously resilient.

Like a tennis star suffering a sprained ankle, the U.S. economy will soon be back on its feet with as fierce a backhand as ever.

(Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland School, and a widely published columnist. Follow him on Twitter: @pmorici1 )

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

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WHITE OUT
Snowstorm brings drudgery and tragedy to US east
New York (AFP) Feb 13, 2014
A deadly winter storm swept the eastern United States on Thursday spelling drudgery for millions and tragedy for a few, including an expectant mother killed by a snowplow. US media counted at least 11 dead as a result of the storm, which dropped a thick blanket of snow over eastern cities overnight and shut down federal government operations in Washington. One of the casualties was a 36- ... read more


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