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Predicting Changes In Global Sea Level
Washington DC (SPX) Feb 10, 2010 10 percent of the world's population lives within 10 meters of sea level. Currently, climate models including those produced by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predict a 50 centimeter to possibly over one meter rise in sea level over the next 100 years, posing a threat to inhabitants of low-lying coastal communities around the world. To better understand what drives changes in sea level and how humans are affecting this change, scientists are looking to our past for answers and are digging back as far as 35 million years into the Earth's history to understand these dynamic processes. During the Integrated Ocean Drilling Program's (IODP) Canterbury Basin Sea Level Expedition 317 off the coast of New Zealand, an international team of 34 scientists and 92 support staff and crew on board the scientific drilling vessel JOIDES Resolution (JR) broke records while investigating sea level change in a region called the "Canterbury Basin." From November 4, 2009 to January 4, 2010, the research team drilled four sites in the seafloor, where one site marked the deepest hole drilled by the JR on the continental shelf (1,030 meters (m)) and another was the deepest hole drilled on a single expedition in the history of scientific ocean drilling (1,927 m). A third record was broken for the deepest sample taken by scientific ocean drilling for microbiological studies (1,925 m) (the previous record was 1,626 m). "This was one of only two JR expeditions that have attempted to drill on a continental shelf- this was not a routine operation for this ship," remarked co-chief scientist Dr. Craig Fulthorpe of the University of Texas at Austin who led the expedition with co-chief scientist Dr. Koichi Hoyanagi of Shinshu University in Japan. The unstable, sandy composition of the sediments and the relatively shallow water of the shelf environment present unique challenges for a floating drilling platform like the JR, which relies on thrusters to maintain position and requires special technology to accommodate wave motion. Fulthorpe added, "I never expected we would be able to drill this deep in such a difficult environment - we are just delighted with the accomplishments of this expedition." Canterbury Basin is part of a worldwide array of IODP drilling investigations designed to examine global sea level changes during Earth's "Icehouse" period, when sea level was largely controlled by changes in glaciation at the poles. Before Canterbury, IODP sea level change studies included sites near the New Jersey coast, the Bahamas, Tahiti, and on the Marion Plateau off northeastern Australia. Canterbury Basin was selected as a premier site for further sea level history investigations because it expanded the geographic coverage needed to study a global process and displays similar sequence patterns to New Jersey studies. Data from both the Canterbury Basin and the New Jersey shelf expeditions will be integrated to provide a better understanding of global trends in sea level over time. Global sea level has changed in the Earth's past and these changes are influenced by the melting of polar ice caps, which increases the volume of water in the ocean. Locally, relative sea level can also change as a result of tectonic activity, which causes vertical movement in the Earth's crust. Together, glaciation and tectonic forces create a complex system that can be difficult to simulate with climate models. This necessitates field studies like the Canterbury Basin expedition to directly analyze geological samples to better understand how relative sea level responds to a combination of driving processes. The Canterbury Basin expedition set out to recover seafloor sediments that would capture a detailed record of changes in sea level that occurred during the last 10 to 12 million years, a time when global sea level change was largely controlled by glacial/interglacial ice volume changes. The research team also wanted samples documenting changes in ocean circulation that began when movements in Earth's tectonic plates separated Antarctica from Australia, creating a new seaway between the two continents about 34 million years ago. Canterbury Basin is one of the best sites in the world for this type of survey because it is located in a tectonically-active region and therefore has a relatively high rate of sedimentary deposition, which, like the pages of a book, record detailed events in Earth's climate history. Beyond breaking records, the IODP Canterbury Basin expedition achieved its goal of recovering a 10 million year record of sea level fluctuations, with one drill hole extending back to 35 million years. Cores revealed cyclic changes in sediment type and physical properties (such as magnetic susceptibility) that are believed to reflect switches between glacial and interglacial time periods. Even longer cycles were originally identified using seismic images generated using sound waves. Understanding the relationship between these seismic "sequences" and global sea level change is an important objective for post-expedition research. Preliminary findings will be available in March 2010 and more detailed studies will be published in academic journals in the coming years. The JR is one of the primary research vessels of an international research program called the Integrated Ocean Drilling Program (IODP). The vessel is operated by the U.S. Implementing Organization of IODP, which consists of the Washington, D.C.-based Consortium for Ocean Leadership, Texas A and M University, and Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University. IODP is supported by two lead agencies, the U.S. National Science Foundation and Japan's Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science, and Technology. Additional program support comes from the European Consortium for Ocean Research Drilling (ECORD), the Australian-New Zealand IODP Consortium (ANZIC), India's Ministry of Earth Sciences, the People's Republic of China (Ministry of Science and Technology), and the Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral Resources.
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Related Links IODP Expedition 317 - Canterbury Basin Integrated Ocean Drilling Program Climate Science News - Modeling, Mitigation Adaptation
US warns China against 'stillborn' climate deal Washington (AFP) Feb 9, 2010 The United States on Tuesday pressed China, India and other emerging powers to make clearer commitments to fighting climate change, warning that last year's Copenhagen accord risked being "stillborn." The 194-nation UN-led summit in the Danish capital pledged to limit global warming to two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) along with billions of dollars in financing. It gave countries ... read more |
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