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DISASTER MANAGEMENT
Rapid recovery seen for quake-hit Chilean economy

Carabineros clean mud off a street after a tsunami and a massive 8.8 magnitude earthquake caused severe wreckage in Talcahuano, 20 kms from Concepcion, Chile on March 1, 2010. Chile's earthquake toll soared past 700 on Sunday as rescuers raced to find survivors and the grim extent of the disaster emerged in coastal areas where homes were washed away by a giant wave. President Michelle Bachelet said she expected the number of deaths to increase further, while her government admitted it had erred by failing to warn Chileans about the tsunami risk following Saturday's massive quake. Photo courtesy AFP

Clinton to bring US aid to Chile
Buenos Aires (AFP) March 1, 2010 - US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said Monday she is bringing satellite telephones to quake-stricken Chile as the government in Santiago appealed for the first time for international aid. During a visit to Montevideo and then Buenos Aires on Monday, Clinton said US search and rescue teams were on standby as she prepares to visit the Chilean capital Santiago on Tuesday to discuss emergency needs. Speaking at the start of six-country tour analysts say is aimed at reviving President Barack Obama's flagging engagement with Latin America, she welcomed Monday's inauguration in Montevideo of Uruguayan President Jose Mujica. However, the chief US diplomat, who stood next to Mujica, a former leftist rebel leader, said: "It is also a time when our thoughts and prayers are with the people of Chile."

Clinton told reporters later on the plane to Buenos Aires that she was bringing a total of 20 satellite telephones for Chile and a technician to help the government there set them up. Clinton is due to meet with President Michelle Bachelet and President-elect Sebastian Pinera. "One of their biggest problem has been communications," she said. "They can't communicate into Concepcion and some of the surrounding areas. They've been blocked getting into some remote areas" Clinton added that the point of her trip -- which might be confined to the airport at Santiago -- is "to assess whatever else they might need and immediately to begin the process of providing it." Clinton said the Chileans first said they did not need the help, but are now asking for it. In Geneva, Elisabeth Byrs, a spokeswoman for the UN's humanitarian coordination office (OCHA), told AFP that Chile on Monday asked for international aid.

"The government asked for international assistance. They supplied a list of priorities," Byrs said. The list included field hospitals with surgery facilities, mobile bridges, communications equipment, kitchens as well as disaster assessment and coordination teams, Byrs added. Bachelet has said she expected the death toll of 723 to rise, as the scale of the devastation wrought by Saturday's 8.8-magnitude quake became clear from coastal towns and villages engulfed by giant waves. The chief US diplomat, her schedule thrown into flux by events, has added Argentina -- where she will spend Monday night before traveling to Santiago -- to a tour already set for stops in Uruguay, Chile, Brazil, Costa Rica and Guatemala. On the sidelines of the inauguration, Clinton will meet President Fernando Lugo of Paraguay in Montevideo, aides added. Clinton's face-to-face meeting with President Cristina Kirchner of Argentina, which had been scheduled to take place on the sidelines of the inauguration in Montevideo, will now take place in Buenos Aires, aides said.

Saturday's Chile quake comes six weeks after a massive temblor flattened the Haitian capital of Port-au-Prince and forced Clinton to call off an Asian tour when she was in Hawaii.
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) March 1, 2010
Chile is braced for billions of dollars in loses stemming from Saturday's massive earthquake, but the country's reputation for sound economic management has investors predicting a recovery within months.

The devastation wrought by the enormous 8.8 magnitude quake, which killed more than 700 people, is painfully evident from the innumerable collapsed buildings and the decimated infrastructure -- bridges torn apart and roads split asunder.

Total economic losses from the quake could exceed 15 billion dollars, according to EQECAT and AIR Worldwide, two firms which model the impact of disasters.

That could wipe out around 10 percent of the country's gross domestic product. A disaster with a similar economic impact in the United States would cost a staggering 1.42 trillion dollars.

The effects of the temblor rippled through world markets on Monday, as major exchanges opened for the first time since the quake. Initial economic concerns focused on the impact on copper supplies.

Chile produces around a third of the world's copper, propping up everything from Chinese manufacturing to shipping volumes through the Panama Canal.

Initially prices for the metal -- most commonly used in electrical wiring -- jumped more than five percent, but soon ebbed as it became clear that major Chile's mines were largely unaffected.

"Fortunately the major copper mines are located far to the north of the quake's epicenter," said Bill Witherell, chief global rconomist with Cumberland Advisors. "Damage to production facilities appears to have been minor, and the country's major copper exporting port is operating normally."

As for the wider impact of the quake on Chile's economy, foreign investors appear unfazed, putting faith in an economy that has long been held up as a model for Latin America.

Although Chile will get a relatively untested new president later this month, foreign lenders did not dramatically increase the risk premiums they charge for buying Chilean debt.

Much of the confidence has its roots in the 1970s, and the brutal rule of General Augusto Pinochet.

Along with political assassinations, the strong-man's rule also brought enthusiastic adoption of the policies touted by neo-liberal US economists and the International Monetary Fund.

The military government, unperturbed by public opinion, pursued tough growth-making policies -- from slashing public sector jobs to mass privatizations -- that would make more representative governments squeamish.

As a result, advocates say, the country was victim to few of normal economic afflictions that plagued the rest of the Latin America: hyper-inflation, loan defaults and banking crises.

That track record appears to be paying dividends.

Investors on Monday expressed confidence that the rebuilding effort would not cause major budget headaches.

President elect Sebastian Pinera is expected to tap the country's 11.3 billion dollar Social and Economic Stabilization Fund to pay for at least some of the rebuilding.

"Public debt runs very low, at around six percent of GDP, which also gives the upcoming administration leeway to seek external financing if the need for funding arises," IHS Global Insight said in a briefing note.

"Chile's infrastructural development... and solid economy guarantee a relatively rapid recovery, which could take mere months."

Chile still appears on track to become the first South American nation to join the OECD, a Paris-based club of the world's leading economies.

According to Cumberland Advisors's Witherell, short-term economic losses caused by the quake could be offset by that injection of cash.

"While there may well be a temporary near-term downturn in economic performance, we anticipate that the rebuilding effort will come to be the more lasting effect of the quake on the Chilean economy, providing an important positive stimulus later this year," he said.



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DISASTER MANAGEMENT
Bachelet says 7,000 troops deployed to Chile quake zone
Santiago (AFP) March 1, 2010
Chile President Michelle Bachelet said fresh reinforcements Monday would bring to 7,000 the number of troops deployed in the areas worst hit by the earthquake that has killed more than 700 people. "When we take accoun4t of the troops already in Biobio and Maule there will be by tomorrow 7,000 troops deployed," said Bachelet as she announced efforts to clamp down on looting on arson after Sat ... read more







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