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TRADE WARS
Tesco looks to China as profits dive in Europe
by Staff Writers
London (AFP) Oct 02, 2013


ADB cuts Asia growth forecasts as India, China slow
Hong Kong (AFP) Oct 02, 2013 - Slower growth in China and India and uncertainty over the US Federal Reserve's stimulus programme is hurting Asia's economic momentum, the Asian Development Bank said, as it cut its forecast for the region.

In an update to its annual Asian Development Outlook published in April, the bank tipped regional gross domestic product to grow six percent this year, compared with its earlier forecast of 6.6 percent. Growth in 2012 was 6.1 percent.

It also trimmed its 2014 estimate to 6.2 percent from the 6.7 percent previously stated.

Asian economies have seen a marked slowdown this year owing to a troubled first six months in China -- a key driver of regional growth -- while India has been hit by political paralysis, rising inflation and a slumping rupee.

On top of this are worries about the Fed's massive bond-buying programme, which saw a huge investment splurge in emerging economies when unveiled late last year but which the central bank is now considering winding down.

The ADB cut its 2013 forecasts for China to 7.6 percent, well down from its April estimate of 8.2 percent, blaming weaker domestic demand, a softening industrial rebound and sharp downturn in foreign trade.

"Moderating growth in the People's Republic of China is the price of structural reform as authorities engineer a medium-term transition to a more sustainable growth path than one led by exports and investment," ADB chief economist Changyong Rhee said in a statement.

"However, this growth deceleration could impact the rest of Asia... since the PRC's economic influence has grown in the past decade," Rhee said.

India is seen growing 4.7 percent this year, compared with six percent forecast previously, with the ADB blaming a depreciation in the rupee -- it hit a record low against the dollar last month. It also cited capital outflows as foreigners repatriate their cash on expectations the Fed's stimulus will soon end.

India's economy is also hit by industry and investment bottlenecks due to poor infrastructure and delayed structural reforms, the report said.

The ADB now forecasts growth in East Asia -- including Hong Kong and Taiwan -- to come in at 6.6 percent for the year.

Growth for Southeast Asia is seen at 4.9 percent, from 5.4 percent, as it is hampered by the performances of its three biggest economies -- Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia -- which are seeing "lacklustre exports and moderating investment".

The report said uncertainty over the Fed stimulus has "sparked the recent exodus of foreign capital from emerging markets including India and Indonesia" causing nervousness and contributing to lower-than-expected growth.

"Current conditions highlight the need for the region to exercise vigilance to safeguard financial stability in the short term while accelerating structural reforms to sustain economic growth in the longer term," Rhee said.

He said he expected economic activity to edge up in 2014, adding that the region was much stronger than during the Asian financial crisis with economies having higher foreign reserves.

Developing Asia groups 45 nations or territories from Central Asia through to the Pacific islands, but excludes Japan.

Britain's biggest retailer Tesco agreed a major deal on Wednesday to create a retail giant in China, as it seeks to offset "challenging" trading conditions in Europe which hit profits hard.

Tesco will create a joint venture with China Resources Enterprise (CRE), it revealed in a statement, alongside news that first-half net earnings slumped by a third on flat revenues, restructuring costs, tough overseas markets and lower profit from property sales.

London-listed Tesco -- the world's third-biggest supermarket group after US retailer Wal-Mart and number two Carrefour of France -- added that the Chinese move was part of its international strategy to tap further into fast-growing economies.

"Tesco and CRE today announce that they have entered into definitive agreements to combine their Chinese retail operations to form the leading multi-format retailer in China," a statement said.

The companies had revealed in August that they were in exclusive talks over a deal.

Hong Kong-listed CRE will have a stake of 80 percent and Tesco will have 20 percent, but this can rise to 25 percent after five years.

"We are delighted to work with CRE to create the leading Chinese retail business," said Tesco chief executive Philip Clarke in the statement.

"Through this deal we have a strong platform in one of the world's most exciting markets and it will move us more quickly to profitability in China.

"This is very good news for customers and shareholders and a further demonstration of our commitment to build sustainable, profitable businesses, establish multichannel leadership in all of our markets and pursue disciplined international growth."

The new venture will combine Tesco's 134 Chinese branches, as well as the firm's Chinese shopping mall business with the China Resources Vanguard business of 2,986 outlets.

CRE chief executive Hong Jie said that "the joint venture brings together the individual strengths and advantages of Tesco and CRE."

The deal would link local knowledge of customer behaviour with the best practice of an international group.

The agreement would benefit both groups and would propel the internationalisation of China's retail industry.

"The partnership will be strongly placed to lead the development of retailing in China and create value for shareholders and customers," he said.

Group seeking to transform fortunes

The deal marks the latest attempt by Tesco to transform its fortunes after last year suffering the first drop in annual profits for two years.

The London-listed supermarket giant is battling weak sales in main market Britain, and over the past year decided to close its failed US division Fresh & Easy and to exit from Japan.

In another heavy blow, Tesco reported that net profits dived 33.6 percent to 820 million pounds ($1.3 billion, 981 million euros) in the first half of its financial year, or 26 weeks to August 24.

That compared with profits after taxation of 1.24 billion pounds in the same period a year earlier. Revenues rose by just 1.9 percent to 31.91 billion pounds.

"The challenging retail environment in Europe has continued to affect the performance and profitability of our businesses there," added Clarke in the results statement.

"The investments we have made to improve our offer for customers in the region are already starting to take effect and we expect a stronger second half as a result."

The Chinese deal is expected to be completed in the first half of 2014 but remains subject to regulatory and CRE shareholder approvals.

Tesco will make a cash contribution of 185 million pounds to the venture. It will also pay 80 million pounds to CRE following completion, and another 80 million pounds on the first anniversary.

Tesco shares drop on news of tumbling profits

In reaction to slumping profits, Tesco's share price topped the fallers board on the London stock market.

Tesco stock sank 4.01 percent to 344.07 pence on the British capital's FTSE 100 index of leading companies, which was down 0.85 percent at 6,404.87 points.

In Britain, Tesco remains under pressure from supermarket rivals such as Sainsbury's, Wal-Mart division Asda, and German-owned discounters Aldi and Lidl.

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