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TRADE WARS
US trade gap widens as Chinese imports surge

China trade surplus soars in May on export boom
Beijing (AFP) June 10, 2010 - China said Thursday its trade surplus had soared in May on strong demand for Chinese-made products, potentially fuelling US pressure on Beijing to let its currency strengthen. The surge in exports -- up 48.5 percent from a year ago -- suggested the eurozone debt crisis has not yet hurt demand for Chinese products, easing concerns about a slowdown in the world's third-largest economy. On Thursday, US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said China's refusal to revalue its currency was impeding global economic reforms, after US lawmakers vowed legislative action to punish China.

China's critics in the United States claim the currency is undervalued and gives the nation an unfair trade advantage. "The distortions caused by China's exchange rate spread far beyond China's borders and are an impediment to the global rebalancing we need," Geithner told a congressional hearing on the US-China economic relationship. "A more flexible RMB (yuan) will allow market forces to play a more active role over time in facilitating strong, balanced and sustainable growth globally." China posted a trade surplus of 19.53 billion dollars in May, compared with a surplus of 1.68 billion dollars in April and a deficit in March that was the first in six years, according to data from customs authorities.

Exports totalled 131.8 billion dollars in May, while imports gained 48.3 percent year-on-year to 112.2 billion dollars. President Hu Jintao stressed last month that his country would adjust its exchange rate policy at its own pace -- "under the principle of independent decision-making, controllability and gradual progress". But Hu is likely to come under pressure at a G20 summit in Canada this month, with US President Barack Obama facing calls from Congress to get tough after his administration backed off labelling China a currency "manipulator". Beijing has effectively pegged the yuan at about 6.8 to the dollar since mid-2008 to prop up exporters during the global financial crisis and curb job losses in its vast manufacturing sector. BNP Paribas analyst Erwin Sanft said the export data confirmed the March deficit was a "one-off" but he warned growth could slow in the coming months as the eurozone crisis and sluggish US economy hurt demand for Chinese goods.

"All the lead indicators -- forward orders, purchasing managers index, corporate cash flows -- show that exports will be slowing down," said Sanft. After soaring 11.9 percent in the first quarter, China's economy will be back to "single-digit" growth in the fourth quarter as government measures to slow the economy take effect, he said. Property prices in China rose at a slower pace in May from the previous month, official data showed Thursday, suggesting that measures aimed at cooling the red-hot real estate market were working. The cost of a home in major cities rose 12.4 percent on year in May, the National Bureau of Statistics said on its website, down from a record 12.8 percent year-on-year jump in April. Manufacturing activity in China also slowed in May while auto sales have hit the brakes in recent months, easing fears of further tightening measures.
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) June 10, 2010
The United States trade deficit expanded a notch in April, led by a surge in goods imports from China, government data showed Thursday amid a rising US outcry over Chinese monetary policy.

The US trade gap rose to 40.3 billion dollars from a revised 40.0 billion dollars in March, the Commerce Department said.

The reading was smaller than the 41.3 billion dollars expected by most analysts.

Both exports and imports slipped by less than one percentage point.

April exports dipped to 148.8 billion dollars and imports to 189.1 billion dollars.

Trade volumes which had been picking up amid the global economic recovery slowed for the first time in 10 months.

The volume of US international trade of goods and services fell by 0.5 percent to 337.9 billion dollars.

"Export and import trends are still pointing higher, although the pace of growth is slowing after the big bounce-back in the second half of 2009," said Nigel Gault, chief US economist at IHS Global Insight.

Gault noted that steep declines in both export and import volumes "should be viewed as corrections after very sharp increases in March."

The politically sensitive US deficit with China expanded by 14.3 percent to 19.3 billion dollars.

The trade figures came as China reported its May exports soared 48.5 percent from a year ago, suggesting the US gap may have expanded sharply again last month.

US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, meanwhile, criticized China's refusal to allow its currency to appreciate amid pressure from Congress to impose sanctions on the Asian giant.

Critics say that China maintains the yuan undervalued to gain an unfair trade advantage.

"The distortions caused by China's exchange rate spread far beyond China's borders and are an impediment to the global rebalancing we need," Geithner told a congressional hearing on the US-China economic relationship.

The US Business and Industry Council accused President Barack Obama's administration of failing to address China's threat to the economy.

"Secretary Geithner and the rest of the Obama administration remain in deep and dangerous denial about the nation's job- and growth-destroying China trade crisis," Alan Tonelson, council research fellow, said in a statement.

Petroleum imports dipped to 24.0 billion dollars from 24.5 billion in March.

"The stabilization reflects the overall satiation in supply and the 7.1-billion-dollar decline in gasoline consumption," Briefing.com analysts said in a note to clients.

They pointed out that "the uneasiness in April's consumption data was confirmed in the trade numbers."

Consumer spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of US economic activity, was flat in April after six months of gains as consumers worried about high unemployment and the fragile recovery from recession.

Ian Shepherdson at High Frequency Economics said the trade rebound appeared to be slowing and would dampen second-quarter growth in gross domestic product, the country's output of goods and services.

"At this point it is too soon to take a firm view of the likely impact of trade on second-quarter GDP, but for now we guess it will be a modest drag on growth."

The US trade deficit with Canada, its largest trading partner, widened 35.2 percent to 2.94 billion dollars.

The gap with Mexico, the second-largest export destination and third-largest import source, narrowed 11.9 percent to 5.3 billion dollars.

The gap with Japan, the world's second-largest economy, declined 9.4 percent to 4.8 billion dollars.

The deficit narrowed sharply with the 16-nation eurozone, falling 29.3 percent to 4.8 billion dollars.



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