Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Earth Science News .




POLITICAL ECONOMY
'Umbrella Revolution' risks cold shower for HK business
by Staff Writers
London (AFP) Oct 01, 2014


The "umbrella revolution" is starting to weigh on Hong Kong's domestic economy as protests escalate but the real concern is over the city's status as an international financial hub.

Transport has been disrupted, banks have shut and business trips have been cancelled in a region of seven million people with an economy as big as Chile, Egypt or the Philippines.

If the protests continue, "tourism and retail, which together account for around 10 percent of the territory's GDP (gross domestic product) would be badly affected," said Gareth Leather from the Capital Economics research firm in London.

Leather warned Hong Kong could "easily be pushed into recession" as its economy contracted last quarter and the formal definition of recession is two consecutive quarters of contraction.

There is more concern, however, on the reputational damage for Hong Kong and the fallout for a stable capitalist system vital to the local economy as well as surrounding regions of China.

Hundreds of billions of dollars (euros) flow through the city's foreign exchange, commodity and inter-bank markets every day.

The stock market lists heavyweights including banking giant HSBC, telecoms titan China Mobile and energy behemoth PetroChina.

The Hong Kong stock market is considered the third most efficient after New York and London in a rating by the Z/Yen research centre in London based on professional opinions.

- Singapore to benefit? -

The city's status as a financial hub was built up in the second half of the 20th century by its residents -- a mixture of Hong Kong locals, Chinese people fleeing the Communists coming to power in 1949, the British and other Westerners.

"As it had been during the centuries of British colonial rule until the colony was ceded to China in 1997, Hong Kong has been a peaceful place and one that through the last century has thrived," said Howard Wheeldon, an independent analyst.

Wheeldon said there had been tensions between different parts of the population over the years but these had never imperilled the city's image of stability as a crossroads between American, Soviet and Chinese power during the Cold War.

The colony's handover to China 17 years ago did not break the equilibrium for investors, despite regular tensions between the pro-democracy camp and Chinese officialdom.

Ivan Tselichtchev, an economy professor at Niigata University of Management and a specialist on the region, said Hong Kong's status was not at risk because China could step in hard.

"The Chinese government and Hong Kong authorities currently have enough power and resources to prevent a substantial unrest and will undoubtedly use them once the demonstrations go beyond a certain limit," he said.

But he said the protests do "elevate the level of political risk stemming from the 'one country, two systems' formula" -- at the heart of the handover agreement between the Chinese and British authorities which enshrined a capitalist system for Hong Kong for 50 years until 2047.

Everything depends on how the authorities handle the protests and Beijing is fully aware of the impact for the economy of Hong Kong and of China as a whole of any violent crackdown.

"The Hong Kong government is unlikely to tolerate the main business district being occupied by protesters indefinitely and at some point could authorise the police to use force to clear the streets," Leather said.

"It is even possible that the Chinese government could call upon the army to disperse the demonstrators," he said.

"Such a scenario would deal a blow to Hong Kong's status as an international financial centre, which depends on rule of law, a stable system of governance and being a safe and pleasant place to live."

For investors, the business beneficiaries in a worst-case scenario would be the city state of Singapore -- and to a lesser extent the growing Chinese economic hubs of Shenzhen and Shanghai.

.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle




Memory Foam Mattress Review
Newsletters :: SpaceDaily :: SpaceWar :: TerraDaily :: Energy Daily
XML Feeds :: Space News :: Earth News :: War News :: Solar Energy News





POLITICAL ECONOMY
Vietnam's growth accelerates despite anti-China riots
Hanoi (AFP) Sept 29, 2014
Vietnam's economy grew at its fastest rate for three years in the first nine months of 2014, government figures showed Monday, despite deadly anti-China riots that targeted factories and threatened to dent foreign investment. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at 5.62 percent between January and September this year, up from 5.14 percent in the first three quarters of 2013 and 4.73 percent ove ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
Japan, Mexico to join UN peacekeeping

Germany to host conference on Syrian refugees

Los Cabos celebrity haunt races to recover from storm

Turkish leader presses Europe on Syria refugees

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Fed Up With Federal Inaction, States Act Alone on Cap-and-Trade

Microsoft to tap $2-trillion Indian cloud market

How to make stronger, 'greener' cement

Putting the squeeze on quantum information

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Ireland narrowing wave energy field

Earth's water is older than the sun

US announces world's largest marine sanctuary

Star Trekish, rafting scientists make bold discovery on Fraser River

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Young superheros call for protection of Chile's glaciers

Sea levels rose 5 meters a century at end of last 5 ice ages

Arctic sea ice helps remove CO2 from the atmosphere

2014 Arctic Sea Ice Minimum Sixth Lowest on Record

POLITICAL ECONOMY
China's Ningxia matures as a quality wine producer

Ex-rubber tapper Silva out to land Brazil presidency

Can genetic engineering help food crops better tolerate drought?

Sri Lanka seeks to trademark cinnamon spice success

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Rescuers rush to reach dozens trapped on erupting Japan volcano

Dozens of earthquakes in CA deemed 'volcanic unrest'

Sicily mud geyser eruption kills girl, brother missing

Sudden eruption of Japanese volcano very rare: expert

POLITICAL ECONOMY
C.Africa president calls for lifting UN arms embargo

Whistleblower phone app seeks to outsmart corruption

Gunmen kidnap Chinese national in central Nigeria: police

'Much to be done' for DR Congo to meet peace deal: NGOs

POLITICAL ECONOMY
New study explains the brain of multitaskers

Politics Divide Coastal Residents' Views of Environment

Stone Age site challenges assumptions about human technology

Innovative Stone Age tools were not African invention




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement All images and articles appearing on Space Media Network have been edited or digitally altered in some way. Any requests to remove copyright material will be acted upon in a timely and appropriate manner. Any attempt to extort money from Space Media Network will be ignored and reported to Australian Law Enforcement Agencies as a potential case of financial fraud involving the use of a telephonic carriage device or postal service.