. Earth Science News .
Analysis: More than Putin's puppet?

Russia's First Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev gives a live televised address to the nation in Moscow, 11 December 2007. President Vladimir Putin should become Russia's prime minister after leaving the Kremlin, Medvedev, the main contender to replace Putin in an election next March said. Photo courtesy AFP.
by Stefan Nicola
Berlin (UPI) Dec 11, 2007
The candidacy of Dmitry Medvedev to become the next Russian president means continuity for the current system. It also paves the way for Vladimir Putin, the current president, to retain at least some of his overwhelming influence.

Dealing with Russian President Vladimir Putin is a game of give-and-take. If you give him something valuable, you may get something in return. This time it was the other way around: Putin on Monday placed Medvedev, the head of Gazprom's advisory board and the deputy prime minister, as his sole preferred candidate to succeed him as Russian president. On Tuesday, 42-year-old Medvedev, a close ally of Putin over the past two decades, announced that his presidential bid is a way to ensure "continuity" in the country's economic and political course, and added that Putin therefore should become prime minister.

"I consider it very important for our country to keep in the most important position in executive power -- in the post of chairman of the Russian government -- Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin," Medvedev said Tuesday in a live address on Russian television, his first public statement since Putin lifted him into the presidential hopeful's chair. And it's more than hopeful given Putin's overwhelming popularity in Russia and the people's pledge to vote anyone he deems fit for the job. "I have known him very closely for more than 17 years," Putin said about Medvedev on state television Monday. "We have worked very closely together all these years, and I completely and utterly support this choice."

But who is Medvedev? First of all, he is one of Putin's closest aides.

"Like Putin, he is part of the so-called 'St. Petersburg crew' and has stepped up the career ladder alongside Putin, who has nominated him for several key positions," Wolfgang Eichwede, head of the Research Center for East European Studies at the University of Bremen, told United Press International Tuesday in a telephone interview.

Putin met Medvedev, a lawyer by profession, in the early 1990s in their respective hometown of St. Petersburg, where the young man worked as a legal adviser under Putin in the mayor's office.

At the end of 1999, Putin chose Medvedev to head his presidential election campaign (which proved to be successful) and later made him the deputy head and eventually head of his presidential apparatus.

"That's where all important political decisions are taken," Hans-Henning Schroeder, a Russia expert at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, a Berlin-based think tank, told United Press International in a nod to Medvedev's political experience. "But he is very young and hasn't been very successful when he was in charge of upgrading the housing, education and healthcare systems in Russia. So he will need Putin's backing for at least one or two more years."

So what is the strategy behind the nomination? Putin chose Medvedev ahead of two more experienced figures also named as potential successors -- First Deputy Prime Minister Sergei Ivanov, 54, and Prime Minister Viktor Zubkov, 66. Both Eichwede and Schroeder see Medvedev as a politician who is less hawkish than the two other candidates, and more open toward political and economic contacts with the West.

"But if he wants to push through the modernization of Russia and open the country to the West, he would have to do it against his own apparatus," Schroeder said.

Vladimir Ryzhkov, a prominent liberal politician, said Putin may want to be able to easily regain power if Medvedev would step down early as president.

"Medvedev is a compromise choice because he will allow Putin to keep a free hand," he told a Russian radio station. "If Putin wants to gradually leave power, Medvedev guarantees him comfort and security and will continue to listen to him. If Putin wants to return in two, three years ... then Medvedev will be the person who will without a doubt give up the path for him."

Eichwede, however, added that one should not underestimate Medvedev.

"He is young and smart. We must not see him only as Putin's puppet," he told UPI.

And then there remains of course the most important question behind the power game currently played in Moscow: What will happen to Putin?

There are several options, but Putin taking over the prime minister post seems to be the most likely at the end of Tuesday. But what then?

Currently, the prime minister is a rather representational post with limited to no powers. All of those have been shifted to the presidential post over the past eight years, including power over the military.

"I can't imagine Putin accepting the prime minister post as it is, without real powers," Schroeder said. "If he accepts, then the prime minister post will likely be upvalued."

But until then, speculation will be ripe in and around Moscow, observers say.

"No analyst should act as if he knew what will happen next," Eichwede said. "No can possibly know that."

Community
Email This Article
Comment On This Article

Related Links



Memory Foam Mattress Review
Newsletters :: SpaceDaily :: SpaceWar :: TerraDaily :: Energy Daily
XML Feeds :: Space News :: Earth News :: War News :: Solar Energy News


How The Russian Empire Crumbled
Moscow (RIA Novosti) Nov 06, 2007
Anyone who has been following the stormy debate brought on by the 90th anniversary of the Great October Revolution may well wonder why its national aspects have been forgotten. Were they not intertwined with the social aspects? The events that shook the world took place in the Russian Empire, which had a very complex social-ethnic structure. And it is hard to say whether the social or the ethnic factors played a bigger role in those sinister events.







  • Malaysian flood death toll rises, thousands more evacuated
  • Flood damage in northwest US may run into billions: governor
  • Massive landslide threatening homes in central Austria: authorities
  • More deaths as storms exit the Philippines

  • New Study Increases Concerns About Climate Model Reliability
  • New Tibetan Ice Cores Missing A-Bomb Blast Markers Suggests Himalayan Ice Fields Haven't Grown In Last 50 Years
  • Arctic Impact Crater Lake Reveals Interglacial Cycles In Sediments
  • Nitrous Oxide From Ocean Microbes

  • Outside View: Russia's new sats -- Part 2
  • Use Space Technology And IT For Rural Development
  • Ministerial Summit On Global Earth Observation System Of Systems
  • China, Brazil give Africa free satellite land images

  • Darfur rebels say they attacked Chinese-run oilfield in Sudan
  • Solar Energy To Power Pumping Station For Geothermal Plant
  • Recurrent Energy Closes 200 Million Dollar Staged Solar Project Fund With Morgan Stanley
  • Outside View: Russian oil, gas drying up?

  • Most Ancient Case Of Tuberculosis Found In 500,000-Year-Old Human; Points To Modern Health Issues
  • China says no bird flu outbreak after father-son cases
  • New China bird flu case raises human-to-human fear
  • Scientists Strike Blow In Superbugs Struggle

  • Massive Dinosaur Discovered In Antarctica Sheds Light On Life, Distribution Of Sauropodomorphs
  • Threatened Birds May Be Rarer Than Geographic Range Maps Suggest
  • World's Most Endangered Gorilla Fights Back
  • New, Rare And Threatened Species Discovered In Ghana

  • Interstate Power And Light's Generation Proposal To Lower System-Wide Emissions In 2013
  • Envisat Captures South Korea's Crude Oil Leak
  • Waterborne Carbon Increases Threat Of Environmental Mercury
  • SKorea's worst oil spill spreads along coast

  • Researcher Breaks New Ground With Study On Human Responses To Climate Change
  • Scientists Develop New Measure Of Socioclimactic Risk
  • Subliminal Smells Bias Perception About A Person's Likeability
  • Like Humans, Monkey See, Monkey Plan, Monkey Do

  • The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2007 - SpaceDaily.AFP and UPI Wire Stories are copyright Agence France-Presse and United Press International. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by SpaceDaily on any Web page published or hosted by SpaceDaily. Privacy Statement