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Asian markets mostly down but optimism remains
by AFP Staff Writers
Hong Kong (AFP) April 9, 2021

China's consumer and factory prices rise in March
Beijing (AFP) April 9, 2021 - Factory prices in China climbed further in March, growing at the fastest pace in more than two years, official data showed Friday -- backed by a rise in commodity prices and the country's economic recovery from Covid-19.

The producer price index (PPI), which measures the cost of goods at the factory gate, exceeded expectations to grow 4.4 percent from a year ago, said the National Bureau of Statistics.

The figure was "due to factors such as rising international commodity prices" including those of crude oil and iron ore, and boosted by an "increase in domestic industrial production and investment demand", said NBS senior statistician Dong Lijuan.

Analysts had expected the rise in PPI given the low base of comparison last year, when lockdowns and strict movement controls to stamp out Covid-19 -- which first emerged in a central Chinese city -- dragged economic activity.

But the economy has since bounced back after China brought the virus outbreak largely under control, with leaders setting a 2021 growth target of above six percent and a mass vaccination campaign underway.

The International Monetary Fund this week raised its growth forecast for China to 8.4 percent as well, after the world's second largest economy became the only major one to expand last year.

Official data Friday showed China's consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.4 percent on-year in March, with prices of some food items such as fresh fruit growing but that of pork dropping.

China's CPI, a key gauge of retail inflation, had in recent years been driven up by pork prices after an African swine fever outbreak ravaged stocks.

This has since stabilised with officials working to boost supplies of the country's staple meat.

Most Asian markets retreated Friday as traders took their foot off the pedal ahead of a much-anticipated earnings season, while an increasingly confident mood on trading floors has analysts predicting the global equities rally still has legs.

While some countries are having trouble with their vaccine programmes and a pick-up in infections, there is a general feeling that governments will get a better hold on the crisis and allow economies to reopen, if a little later than previously hoped.

Wall Street provided another strong lead, with the S&P 500 chalking up a second successive record and the Nasdaq piling on more than one percent as tech shares regained their mojo, having suffered recent selling.

Federal Reserve boss Jerome Powell again repeated his mantra that the bank would stand fast in its pledge to keep borrowing costs at record lows for as long as needed to support recovery in the world's top economy.

While last week's blockbuster jobs report was welcome, he said the "recovery remains uneven and incomplete" and he wanted to see more of those in future before he was happy progress was being made.

Analysts said an unexpected rise in jobless claims last week backed up Powell's stance.

There remains a concern that the forecast strong recovery, reopening of the economy, President Joe Biden's vast spending sprees and the rollout of vaccines will fan inflation to a point that the Fed will be forced to lift rates earlier than it intends.

Yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries -- a gauge of future rates -- edged down as Powell spoke, though they remain around a one-year high.

- 'Kids in a candy store' -

Data Friday showed Chinese producer prices rose at their fastest pace in more than two years owing to a jump in the cost of commodities.

That has led to concerns the increases will filter through to the world economy from the export giant, putting pressure on central banks as they try to keep borrowing costs down.

Axi strategist Stephen Innes said the figures "might add a ripple or two of angst to the inflation pacifist calm that has fallen on the market".

Still, he added: "Make no mistake this is a global equity market that is turning exceptionally comfortable with growth driving up yields supported by a Fed that is in absolutely no hurry to tap the brakes.

"The question is, does it get better than this, or are we nearing peak optimism? Or will US stocks remain in 'kids in a candy store mode' while gliding on a sugar rush tailwind from a once in a generation type stimulus effect?"

In early trade, Hong Kong and Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Singapore and Wellington were all lower, though there were gains in Tokyo and Jakarta.

But Xi Qiao at UBS Global Wealth Management said there would likely be more gains in the pipeline.

"A lot of investors are worried about the stock market highs, but that doesn't mean it can't get higher, and the economic conditions are certainly set up for a positive equity environment," she told Bloomberg TV.

Eyes are now turning to the release of corporate results for January-March, with expectations high that companies are seeing the benefits of the recovery and are hopeful for the outlook.

- Key figures around 0230 GMT -

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 0.4 percent at 29,819.66 (break)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.7 percent at 28,807.94

Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.7 percent at 3,457.20

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1905 from $1.1915 at 2050 GMT

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3738 from $1.3735

Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.66 pence from 86.75 pence

Dollar/yen: UP at 109.30 yen from 109.26 yen

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.3 percent at $59.74 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude: UP 0.1 percent at $63.24 per barrel

New York - Dow: UP 0.2 percent at 33,503.57 (close)

London - FTSE 100: UP 0.8 percent at 6,942.22 (close)

dan/mtp

UBS GROUP AG


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TRADE WARS
Asian markets mostly up after Wall St record
Hong Kong (AFP) April 8, 2021
Asian markets mostly rose Thursday with traders keeping tabs on the progress of US President Joe Biden's huge infrastructure plan, while also taking heart from Federal Reserve meeting minutes reinforcing its intention to keep interests at record lows for an extended period. The broad gains came after yet another record for the S&P 500 on Wall Street, helped by a general mood of optimism that the world economy is on course for a strong recovery as vaccines are rolled out. Biden was out Wednesday ... read more

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