. Earth Science News .
TRADE WARS
China walks policy tight-rope ahead of congress

China's Wen hopes for peaceful ties with US in 2010
Beijing (AFP) Feb 27, 2010 - Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said Saturday he hoped 2010 would not be "an unpeaceful year" for trade and economic relations with the United States, in an online Internet forum. Wen made the comments during an online chat with Internet users shown live on the central government's website gov.cn and the official Xinhua news agency website. Trade disputes between China and the United States should be resolved through "equal negotiations" rather than sanctions, Wen said in response to a question on increasingly strained ties between the two nations.

He said maintaining good relations would benefit both countries and urged the United States to lift restrictions on US exporters selling hi-tech products to China. "If the United States loosens restrictions over the exports of some high-tech products to China the bilateral trade surplus will narrow," Wen said. "We hope the Sino-US trade is balanced and sustainable. Our goal is to achieve a basic balance of international payments." Ties between Beijing and Washington have been strained for months over a series of issues -- from trade and currency disputes to the future in China of Google, after it fell victim to cyberattacks it says originated in the country.

On the trade front, the United States has imposed duties on a number of Chinese imports, from tyres to electric blankets to steel tubes and wire decking. China has responded with its own penalties on imports from the United States of chicken meat and steel products. The online discussion on Saturday was a repeat of a similar exercise last year and attracted thousands of questions from people in China and abroad on issues such as the lack of affordable housing and corruption among officials. Wen has tried to forge a reputation as a man of the people, contrasting with his colleagues in the ruling Communist Party hierarchy who come across as much more staid. China has the world's largest online population with at least 384 million users, according to official figures. However the Internet in China is also regarded as one of the most heavily censored, with the communist authorities seeking to block a wide range of issues they believe may threaten their rule.

Taiwan will 'drown' without China trade pact, warns PM
Taipei (AFP) Feb 26, 2010 - Taiwan Premier Wu Den-yih warned Friday that the island will "drown" if it fails to sign a planned major trade pact with China, as competition from rivals in the region will become too formidable. "They will form a regional alliance while we are the only one that's excluded and that will cause unthinkable pain," he told parliament. He was referring to the ASEAN Plus Three mechanism that would see China, Japan and South Korea cooperating with the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). "How can we compete with South Korea once it no longer has to pay a tariff to enter the Chinese market... all our industries will fail. We face imminent danger of drowning if we don't sign," he said.

Taiwan and China held their first round of talks on the Economic Cooperation and Framework Agreement (ECFA) in Beijing last month, and the Taipei has said it hopes to sign the agreement in May. President Ma Ying-jeou has said Taiwan aims to forge closer ties with Southeast Asia once it has signed the ECFA. Apart from North Korea, Taiwan is the only economy in the Asia Pacific region that has not yet signed a free-trade agreement with another country in the region. Ma's Beijing-friendly government says the China trade deal would create 260,000 jobs in Taiwan and boost gross domestic product growth by up to 1.7 percentage points. Taiwan and China split in 1949 after a civil war but Beijing still sees the island as part of its territory awaiting reunification, by force if necessary.
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) Feb 28, 2010
The high command of China's communist leadership emerged enhanced from the global economic crisis, unencumbered by the political constraints in recession-plagued Western democracies.

But while the Chinese model of top-down central planning can take credit for maintaining blistering rates of economic growth, analysts warn that leaders are walking a policy tight-rope as they head into the annual session of parliament.

"In the crisis, Beijing was able to very quickly pump enormous fiscal and monetary stimulus into the economy while the Western democracies were bogged down by the checks and balances in the government," said Todd Lee, a US-based analyst at IHS Global Insight.

"The flipside of this policy implementation efficiency is if the Chinese authorities get it wrong, it could go wrong on a massive scale."

China is now grappling with how to choke off trillions of dollars in credit so as to keep inflation from spiralling out of control, all without squeezing growth and stoking mass unemployment in the world's most populous country.

The stakes are high not just for China, which is on the cusp of overtaking Japan as the world's second-biggest economy, but for the United States and Europe, which can ill afford another global setback now.

Experts say the perilous challenge will exercise China's ruling elite at the annual session of the National People's Congress beginning Friday and beyond, as a new generation of leaders prepares to take power from 2012.

China-watchers will also look at the NPC for clues as to when the leadership intends to wind down its 586-billion-dollar stimulus programme. Premature action could also choke off growth.

Eswar Prasad, the former head of the International Monetary Fund's China division, said the policy "tight-rope act" could become increasingly difficult to manage.

"The growth model has created a number of potential problems -- unbalanced growth, excessive investment and a dependence on exports," said Prasad, who is a senior fellow at Washington's Brookings Institution.

"The main challenge facing China's leaders is to ensure that the scale of these problems increases slower than the growth in overall output, which means they still come out ahead."

Beijing is already clamping down on rampant lending by state-run banks to calm inflationary pressures, fearing asset bubbles and economic overheating as well as a surge in bad debts.

Policymakers have raised bank reserve ratios three times in as many months -- effectively limiting the amount of money banks can lend -- and increased the interest rate on benchmark three-month and one-year treasury bills.

Long reliant on exports to fuel its economic boom, China is also trying to boost domestic demand by enlarging subsidies for the vast rural poor to buy home appliances and cars.

More drastic measures such as interest rate hikes and an appreciation in the yuan currency -- a move long demanded by the United States and Europe -- could be in the works, analysts believe.

But Royal Bank of Scotland economist Ben Simpfendorfer said the government must do more to reconfigure its export-led economic model -- even if this means retreating from its cherished goal of eight percent annual growth.

"This is an economy that is clearly imbalanced and needs more structural reform," he said.

Nicholas Lardy, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, said a far bigger risk for the country was looming abroad, in the West.

"There could be mistakes but if you look at their (leaders') track record ... it has been nothing short of brilliant," Lardy said.

"I'm much more worried about the external environment ... if the recovery is very delayed in Europe or the US goes into a double-dip (recession) in the second half, then I think then they (Beijing) have a huge problem."

Resolving the imbalances exposed by the global crisis will remain a major challenge for the new leaders set to take the helm in 2012-2013, such as Vice Premier Li Keqiang, who is tipped to replace Premier Wen Jiabao.

And an understanding of economics will be crucial, said JP Morgan economist Jing Ulrich.

"With the financial crisis a recent memory, experience in economic management will likely weigh heavily in the selection of China's new generation of leaders," she said.



Share This Article With Planet Earth
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit
YahooMyWebYahooMyWeb GoogleGoogle FacebookFacebook



Related Links
Global Trade News



Memory Foam Mattress Review
Newsletters :: SpaceDaily :: SpaceWar :: TerraDaily :: Energy Daily
XML Feeds :: Space News :: Earth News :: War News :: Solar Energy News


TRADE WARS
Wal-Mart aims for greener supply chain
Bentonville, Ark. (UPI) Feb 26, 2009
Global retailing giant Wal-Mart said Thursday it plans to cut 20 million metric tons of greenhouse gas emissions from its supply chain by the end of 2015. It said the initiative was equivalent to removing more than 3.8 million cars from the road for a year and represents 1 1/2 times Wal-Mart's estimated carbon growth over the next five years. "We know we need to get ready for a w ... read more







The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2010 - SpaceDaily. AFP and UPI Wire Stories are copyright Agence France-Presse and United Press International. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by SpaceDaily on any Web page published or hosted by SpaceDaily. Privacy Statement