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Copenhagen climate talks could fail: US special envoy

Canada to push 'balance' in Copenhagen
Canada aims to reestablish itself as an environmental defender at the UN climate talks in Copenhagen by calling on all major emitters to cut carbon emissions, but distrust lingers as its own emissions soar. Canada signed and ratified the Kyoto Protocol but has so far failed to meet its corresponding obligations. The December 7-18 meeting in Copenhagen aims to hammer out a pact to replace the treaty before it expires in 2012.

Proof the government is mindful of its reputation as a climate change laggard came this week when Environment Minister Jim Prentice vigorously disputed reports of a "walk-out" by developing G77 countries representatives at a recent UN climate change meeting in Bangkok to protest Canada's position. Ottawa also announced funding for two carbon capture projects in western Alberta province, where development of vast oil sands has been hotly criticized for pumping huge amounts of carbon into the atmosphere. The Canadian government defends its "balanced approach" to fighting climate change while not jeopardizing its economic growth. Over the past decade, Canada has outperformed other Group of Seven industrialized nations in areas of job creation and fiscal prowess and is forecast to lead the G7 out of the current recession. "Canada will undertake efforts to meet our global responsibilities in a way that balances environmental protection and economic prosperity for Canadians, and is comparable to the level of effort of other industrialized countries," Prentice spokeswoman Sujata Raisinghani told AFP.

"We have committed to reducing our total greenhouse gas emissions by 20 percent from 2006 levels by 2020, leading to a 60-70 percent reduction from 2006 levels by 2050." But the figures are less significant when compared to the efforts of other nations and political-economic blocs -- notably the European Union, which is to cut emissions by up to 30 percent by 2020 from 1990 levels, as required by the Kyoto Protocol. If pegged to 1990 levels, Canadian carbon reductions would amount to a mere three percent, critics note. And carbon emissions are currently up more than 35 percent from 1990. Raisinghani said Canada "looks forward to an ambitious and comprehensive outcome in Copenhagen." But Ottawa also hopes the result is "flexible, so all countries can choose tools and policies that suit their unique circumstances."

Environmentalists accuse Prime Minister Stephen Harper's Conservative government, rooted in oil-rich Alberta province, of misleading Canadians with strong language on tackling climate change but actually doing little to combat warming. Ottawa "is obstructing an ambitious political accord" at the climate talks, said Virginie Lambert Ferry of Greenpeace Canada. Greenpeace protested the oil sands development by twice halting operations this month with sit-ins at facilities. Harper's government has consistently said the Kyoto Protocol targets agreed by a previous administration were unattainable, and that it had no choice but to follow Washington's lackluster lead or risk economic ruin. Some have expressed fears Canadian companies would face a trade disadvantage since US companies would not be affected by the Kyoto Protocol because the United States has not yet signed it.

The two nations are the world's largest trading partners. This argument has been weakened by US President Barack Obama's revision of the policies of his predecessor, George W. Bush, vowing to take a tougher stand against climate change. But there still remains little wiggle room for policymakers in Ottawa as Canada's oil sands -- the single largest source of carbon emissions in this country -- are coveted by the United States and China as a secure source of energy.

by Staff Writers
London (AFP) Oct 17, 2009
The crucial Copenhagen climate change summit could end without a deal, the US special envoy for climate change warned Saturday, while urging big developing economies to boost their efforts.

Todd Stern spoke before the Major Economies Forum featuring politicians from 17 countries met in London on Sunday.

This will help pave the way for a crunch summit in the Danish capital in December when nations will try to agree a new global climate treaty to replace the Kyoto Protocol which expires in 2012.

"It's certainly possible that there won't be a deal in Copenhagen," Stern told Britain's Channel Four television. "This is a tough negotiation.

"I think that the negotiations, if you look at what has been going on in the UN framework convention negotiations, the big negotiations of the 190 countries, have been making progress that is much too slow."

Stern added that major emerging economies were "doing significant things or (are) poised to do significant things", adding that had "never been true before."

"That's a very positive element," he added.

"What we need to have happen is for China and India and Brazil and South Africa and others to be willing to take what they're doing, boost it up some, and then be willing to put it in to an international agreement."

Stern called for "significant actions" from such countries.

"They don't have to do the same thing we have to do but they need to stand behind what their actions are and an international agreement just the way we do," he added.

"And if we can do that, then we can get a deal done, there is a deal there to be done."

earlier related report
World economies hold climate talks in London
Representatives of the world's biggest carbon polluters began two days of informal talks in London on Sunday to map out common ground 50 days before a key UN climate conference in Copenhagen.

The 17 powers that make up the so-called Major Economies Forum (MEF), along with developing nations and UN representatives, will try to iron out some of their differences before the crunch summit in December.

"We represent about 90 percent of global emissions, so if we can get a way forward and narrow some of the differences between the... countries that represent the lion's share of the problem, then it might make those UN talks easier," British Energy and Climate Change Secretary Ed Miliband told the BBC.

He said the Copenhagen talks, when nations will try to agree a new global climate treaty to replace the Kyoto Protocol which expires in 2012, were unlikely to succeed if left to the summit itself.

"The truth is that if this is left to the negotiators in the formal negotiations, I think we'll fail," he said.

The MEF was launched by US President Barack Obama earlier this year on the back of an initiative by his predecessor, George W. Bush, to speed up the search for common ground among the most polluting world economies.

It then intends to hand this consensus for approval by the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the sprawling 192-nation global arena.

The London talks will focus on emissions cuts, the protection of forests and climate finance -- British Prime Minister Gordon Brown has said 100 billion dollars a year is needed to help developing countries tackle climate change.

Brown will address the MEF meeting on Monday and warn of the consequences of failing to reach a deal in December, but Miliband highlighted recent shifts in policy by India and China among other countries.

India said last month it was ready to set itself non-binding targets for cutting carbon emissions, while China said it would curb the growth of its emissions by a "notable margin" by 2020, although it did not specify further.

The US special envoy for climate change, Todd Stern, told British television on Saturday that developing economies must boost their efforts, warning it was "certainly possible" that no deal would be agreed in Copenhagen.

"What we need to have happen is for China and India and Brazil and South Africa and others to be willing to take what they're doing, boost it up some, and then be willing to put it into an international agreement," he said.

But climate campaigners Friends of the Earth said it was up to the rich countries in the MEF to "face up to their legal and moral responsibility by agreeing to cut their emissions first and fastest".

Miliband said: "I hope everyone is feeling the pressure at the moment because we've all got to respond to make the deal happen."

The MEF comprises Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, the European Union, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Mexico, Russia, South Africa, Britain, and United States.

Meanwhile, climate activists gathered for a second day at one of Britain's biggest coal-fired power stations, which they want to shut down in protest against the huge levels of carbon emissions it produces.

At least 52 people have been arrested during the action at the Ratcliffe-on-Soar power station near Nottingham, central England, which is owned by German energy giant E.ON.

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