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Copenhagen raises global security issues

EU eyes 2010 for binding climate treaty
Brussels (UPI) Dec 23, 2009 - The EU is looking for new allies in the fight against climate change after a failed Copenhagen summit. The Swedish EU presidency, which is in its final days, has blasted the U.N. climate conference in Copenhagen, Denmark, as a "disaster." After two weeks of chaotic talks, leaders failed to agree to a legally binding climate-protection treaty that spells out concrete emissions-reduction targets for developed and developing nations. German Environment Minister Norbert Roettgen was quoted by Deutsche Welle Online as saying that a "coalition of the like-minded" was needed to fast-track climate protection.

"We have to find allies that will join us on the path to the next conferences," Roettgen said Tuesday at a conference of EU environment ministers. "There are such states, and these new alliances must be organized." The EU in Brussels made it clear that it wants a binding treaty by the end of next year. A few countries have tried to push for a binding treaty in Copenhagen. Besides the EU, this included Japan and South Korea. The first official U.N. meeting after Copenhagen will take place next June in Bonn, Germany, followed by COP16 next winter in Mexico City. There, it will be crucial to get the major emitters China and the United States on board, both of which were harshly criticized after Copenhagen.

"Europe never lost its aim, never, never came to splits or different positions," said Swedish Environment Minister Andreas Carlgren, according to Deutsche Welle Online. "But of course, this was mainly about other countries really (being) unwilling, and especially the United States and China." The EU has come forward with ambitious climate-protection targets. It has pledged to cut CO2 emissions by 20 percent below 1990 levels by 2020 and has promised to boost that commitment to 30 percent in case of a global treaty. But no such treaty materialized at Copenhagen, where leaders managed to only "take note" of an accord that communicates the desire to limit the temperature increase to 3.6 degrees F but spells out no concrete targets for the major economies or the developing countries on how to achieve that target.
by Staff Writers
London (UPI) Dec 23, 2009
The international climate-change talks in Copenhagen have brought into sharper focus an aspect apparently sidelined amid all the bickering over carbon emissions. It is the impact of climate change on global security in the coming decades.

Duncan Depledge, an analyst for the Royal United Services Institute, a London think tank, argues that "without binding commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and stabilize expectations, climate change will have a huge impact on future security considerations."

RUSI is an independent institution founded in 1831 by the Duke of Wellington and promotes itself as a forward-thinking forum committed to free discussion and careful reflection on defense and security matters.

Academic scholars have done exhaustive research on linkages between the environment and security, but "the potential for climate change to influence security considerations has only recently emerged as a serious concern for the international community," says Depledge in an analysis published by RUSI.

Amid political sniping, world leaders at the two-week summit in the Danish capital agreed to work toward comprehensive cuts in greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of global warming.

The summit agreed that poor countries will also receive financial assistance to develop green energy technology, but the talks produced only a non-binding agreement that received mixed reactions.

Depledge points out that climate change is increasingly referred to as a "threat multiplier." The danger to international security is seen as arising from the potential for climate change to exacerbate the political, economic and social conditions that underpin the security of both people and states.

"The security dimensions of climate change are complex, but could potentially affect a plethora of issues concerning mitigation and adaptation strategies, energy security, nuclear proliferation, social justice and accountability, changing territorial boundaries, sovereignty claims, government legitimacy and the emergence of ungovernable spaces where non-state actors can operate with impunity," says Depledge.

The links between climate change and security are now receiving much greater attention from governments in all parts of the world, he says, citing recent pronouncements in the United States, Europe, South America, Africa, the South Pacific, China, Indonesia and Japan.

"Although there is recognition that climate change could create opportunities for greater collaboration between states, there is clearly growing concern about the potential for conflict, even violent conflict," says Depledge.

"A changing climate threatens to push already tense situations relating to migration, food security, water security and energy security far beyond breaking point," he points out.

Depledge's analysis follows a recent report prepared by U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon. Ban warned the impacts of climate change have the potential to "challenge the existing system of international security governance" with "serious consequences for the future security architecture of the planet."

Depledge says failure to act decisively to deal with climate change "could undermine the current multilateral system. The outcome in Copenhagen will influence the extent to which climate change can be managed peacefully."

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Obama says climate discontent is 'justified'
Washington (AFP) Dec 23, 2009
President Barack Obama said disenchantment over the Copenhagen climate talks was "justified" but defended the chaotic outcome as the top UN envoy urged an end to post-summit recriminations. The climate change conference held in the Danish capital ended last week with a non-binding agreement that the European Union has blasted as a Sino-US stitch-up which will do little to curtail global warm ... read more







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