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TRADE WARS
Equities extend gains as lockdowns are eased but dealers cautious
by Staff Writers
Hong Kong (AFP) April 29, 2020

Asian markets rose again Wednesday, buoyed by a further easing of coronavirus lockdown measures, though the advances remain capped by concern that the reopenings could spark a second wave of infections.

Traders brushed off more data showing the gaping hole being blown in the global economy that is also seeing companies either pull their earnings reports or provide grave forward guidance as demand is battered.

Equities have broadly moved into a bull market, having bounced more than 20 percent from their March lows, thanks to multi-trillion-dollar stimulus from governments and pledges of extra support from central banks.

Adding to the relatively upbeat mood is news that countries are beginning to slowly re-emerge from the crisis.

As sunseekers flocked to beaches in Australia and New Zealanders ate from reopened takeaways, French Prime Minister Edouard Philippe said Tuesday that shops could reopen on May 11, following an easing up in Italy, Germany, Spain and parts of the United States.

The moves come as the rate of infections shows a general pattern of slowing, following a weeks-long shutdown.

"The whole idea of returning to work has aroused the fancy of many an investor. And while no one expects the global economy to immediately time shift back to January 2020, market reopenings are positive," said Stephen Innes of AxiCorp.

However, he did warn that "over the next few weeks, markets are going to struggle for direction while the debate over easing lockdown restrictions continues. Fundamentally, investors are caught in the same pickle as governments who have to balance the economic risks with the chances of the second round of infections".

- Eyes on Fed, US data -

Shanghai ended up 0.4 percent, while Sydney, Mumbai, Taipei and Manila were all more than one percent higher. Hong Kong rose 0.3 percent and Singapore ticked 0.1 percent up, while there were also advances in Seoul, Kuala Lumpur, Jakarta and Bangkok.

Wellington, though, was hit by profit-taking following a more than three percent surge Tuesday. Tokyo was closed for a public holiday.

London, Paris and Frankfurt were flat in early trade.

Investor attention is now on the release later in the day of US growth data, which is expected to show the world's top economy contracted in the first three months of the year.

Also, the Federal Reserve will end its latest policy meeting, with traders looking to see if it has any more words of comfort for markets after pledging financial backstops to banks, businesses and local and state governments.

The Fed has also embarked on a massive bond-buying scheme, essentially allowing the government to print money.

"While there is a minority view that the Fed will offer some firmer guidance of the future pattern of ... bond purchases, the consensus view is that there will be no new policy initiatives out of this meeting," said Ray Attrill of National Australia Bank.

The crude market's rollercoaster ride saw US benchmark WTI surge more than 16 percent at one point, boosted by bargain-buying, though there are few expectations for a sustained recovery with storage facilities close to bursting and demand all but wiped out at the moment.

And analysts said massive production cuts agreed by top producers earlier this month were not likely to show any benefits for a few weeks, meaning prices will likely continue to fluctuate for some time.

- Key figures around 0810 GMT -

Hong Kong - Hang Seng: UP 0.3 percent at 24,643.59 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 2,822.44 (close)

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: Closed for a holiday

London - FTSE 100: UP 0.3 percent at 5,974.54

West Texas Intermediate: UP 13.0 percent at $13.94 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude: UP 3.8 percent at $21.23 per barrel

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0862 from $1.0820 at 2100 GMT

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 106.44 yen from 106.86

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2456 from $1.2426

Euro/pound: UP at 87.20 pence from 87.08 pence

New York - Dow: DOWN 0.1 percent at 24,101.55 (close)

dan/mtp

NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK


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TRADE WARS
Virus hands China its first economic contraction in decades
Beijing (AFP) April 17, 2020
China's economy contracted for the first time in decades last quarter as drastic measures to contain the coronavirus pandemic brought activity to a standstill, official data showed Friday. Gross domestic product shrank 6.8 percent in the January-March quarter from the same period a year earlier, according to figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). It was the first negative growth reported by the world's second-largest economy since Beijing began logging quarterly data in the ... read more

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