Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Earth Science News .




SHAKE AND BLOW
Expect increasingly violent cyclones, weather experts warn
by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) Nov 11, 2013


Meteorologists have yet to formally link global warming to typhoons like the one that devastated the Philippines, but they expect increasingly extreme weather phenomena due to a rise in ocean temperatures.

The trail of death and destruction left in the wake of Super Typhoon Haiyan was at the forefront of a new round of United Nations climate talks that opened Monday in Poland, as Philippine authorities warned some 10,000 people may have died.

Haiyan -- the most powerful typhoon to make landfall ever recorded -- swept over the Philippines Friday, just days before the 12-day UN climate talks opened in Warsaw to a slew of warnings about potentially disastrous warming with increasingly extreme weather phenomena.

"There is a tendency of (oceans) warming up and an increase in the intensity of cyclones is part of the risks," said Herve Le Treut, a Paris university professor and climatologist.

Typhoons, hurricanes and cyclones are different names given to the same powerful weather phenomenon according to the region it hits, but meteorologists use the generic term "cyclone" when talking generally about these super storms.

In September, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), mandated by the United Nations to make scientific assessments about the risks of climate change, concluded in a report that it was "virtually certain that the upper ocean... warmed from 1971 to 2010".

It is estimated that temperatures rose by around 0.1 degrees Celsius par decade down to a depth of 75 metres (246 feet), and even warmed a little further down.

Meteorologists believe that the upper ocean also got warmer during the first half of the 20th century, but whether the rise in ocean temperatures is caused by man or by natural changes on the planet is still being debated.

Fabrice Chauvin, a researcher at France's National Centre for Meteorological Research, pointed out that there were no satellites to track cyclones before the 1970s, which has hindered in-depth research on the phenomenon.

The IPCC however said in 2007 that based on climate models, it was "probable" that cyclones would become more intense and generate more rain than before.

Drawing energy from the seas

Cyclones are formed from simple thunderstorms at certain times of the year when the sea temperature is more than 26 degrees Celsius (79 Fahrenheit) down to a depth of 60 metres, and draw their energy from the heat.

Chauvin said that higher temperatures at the surface of oceans would create a bigger source of heat energy for cyclones.

"There will therefore be a tendency to have slightly more violent cyclones," he said, while pointing out that computer-generated climate models nevertheless predict fewer such super storms in the future.

Steven Testelin, a forecaster at national weather service Meteo-France, added that the warming of oceans was "far from uniform".

"Some seas warm up quicker than others, which can lead to more intense cyclones in some areas," he said.

The UN climate talks in Warsaw aim to work towards a deal to cut Earth-warming greenhouse gas emissions, due to be signed in 2015 in Paris, and Haiyan was at the forefront of Monday's opening session.

In an emotional appeal to delegates, Philippine climate negotiator Naderev Sano pledged to fast at the talks until concrete progress is made towards fighting the climate change he blames for the typhoon that battered his own home village.

"What my country is going through as a result of this extreme climate event is madness. The climate crisis is madness. We can stop this madness right here in Warsaw," he said.

"I speak for the countless people who will no longer be able to speak for themselves."

.


Related Links
Bringing Order To A World Of Disasters
When the Earth Quakes
A world of storm and tempest






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








SHAKE AND BLOW
Weakened Typhoon Haiyan makes landfall in Vietnam
Hanoi (AFP) Nov 11, 2013
Typhoon Haiyan made landfall in Vietnam early Monday, uprooting trees and tearing roofs off hundreds of homes, but sparing the country the widespread devastation wrought on the Philippines. The storm has weakened significantly since scything through the Philippines over the weekend, where it is feared to have killed more than 10,000 people as it pulverized towns and villages. But it sti ... read more


SHAKE AND BLOW
'Miracle' baby born in Philippine typhoon rubble

Philippine security forces pour into typhoon-hit towns

US marines in Philippines typhoon rescue race

World sends emergency relief to battered Philippines

SHAKE AND BLOW
Wageningen UR innovates in the ultra-low temperature freezing of research material

GOCE gives in to gravity

European science satellite to break up late Sunday

New chemistry: Drawing and writing in liquid with light

SHAKE AND BLOW
Call for Atlantic tuna quotas to be retained

Sea turtle deaths alarming Central America

New Zealand to ban shark finning

Ecuador in new probe to see if climate change worsens El Nino

SHAKE AND BLOW
Arrested Greenpeace crew 'moved' to new location

The Arctic ceases to be a 'province'

Search on for oldest antarctic ice in hunt for ancient climate clues

Stowaways threaten fisheries in the Arctic

SHAKE AND BLOW
Researchers uncover origins of cattle farming in China

Volunteers join scientists in finding out who gets rid of cow dung

Whitefly aims to prevent contamination of agriculture

Brazil banks on record soybean harvest in 2013-2014

SHAKE AND BLOW
Weakened Typhoon Haiyan makes landfall in Vietnam

Typhoon kills 10,000 in one Philippine city: UN

Expect increasingly violent cyclones, weather experts warn

Typhoon Haiyan makes landfall in Vietnam: US meteorologists

SHAKE AND BLOW
Greece holds 'suspicious' arms-laden ship: minister

Senegal, Casamance rebels set talks agenda: mediation

Troubled Mali names new army chief

Controversial Tanzanian anti-poaching drive to continue: Kikwete

SHAKE AND BLOW
Scientists tracking Brazilian wildlife find ancient cave paintings

Study: Humans made sophisticated stone tools earlier than thought

Did hard-wired fear of snakes drive evolution of human vision?

Hair regeneration method is first to induce new human hair growth




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement