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POLITICAL ECONOMY
Hong Kong billionaire Li Ka-shing bets on Europe as China slows
By Aaron TAM
Hong Kong (AFP) Feb 1, 2015


Greece's Piraeus port U-turn will not hurt China investment: analysts
Piraeus, Greece (AFP) Feb 1, 2015 - The shipping containers emblazoned with the COSCO logo on the quayside at Greece's biggest port Piraeus are a sign that China has invested heavily here.

Even though Greece's new left-wing government set alarm bells ringing in Beijing when it halted the privatisation of the port this week, analysts say Athens is merely posturing.

China will still be a "privileged partner for Greece", they say.

COSCO, through its Piraeus Container Terminal (PCT) arm, manages the two main container terminals at the port -- one of Europe's busiest -- under a 35-year concession signed in 2008.

In a logical move to extend its control, the Chinese shipping giant was one of the bidders for the 67-percent share in the port authority held by the Greek state.

The tender deal was one of the key requirements of the 240-billion-euro EU-IMF bailout for Greece.

Winning the bid would have given COSCO complete control of the port, including its passenger ferry functions used by millions of tourists every year heading for the picturesque Greek islands.

Just days before the general election, then-prime minister Antonis Samaras chose the port of Piraeus as one of the showpiece stops in his campaign to return his conservative New Democracy party to power.

Surrounded by visiting Chinese officials, Samaras launched construction work on a third container terminal, a 230-million-euro ($260-million) investment by COSCO.

Visiting Piraeus in June last year, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said the port could become "a Chinese gateway to Europe".

But radical Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras's Syriza party had barely taken power on Tuesday when it announced it would fulfil its campaign pledge to halt the privatisation of the port of Piraeus and the smaller but still important Thessaloniki docks.

Keeping the port's management in state hands was "a strategic move to reconstruct the country's productive apparatus", the new government said.

During the election campaign, Syriza lawmaker Theodore Dritsas had said "the state control of the ports is one of the conditions of this reconstruction".

Dritsas is now deputy minister of the merchant marine in the new government.

- 'Highly concerned' -

China made no secret of its displeasure at the move.

"We are highly concerned about this," Beijing's commerce ministry spokesman Shen Danyang said Thursday, calling on Athens "to protect the legal rights and interests of Chinese companies in Greece, including COSCO".

Tsipras' government has been somewhat evasive since its initial announcement, with Dritsas speaking of a "revision of the agreements with COSCO" and of "open horizons" for future cooperation with China.

But analysts note that posturing aside, the new Greek government is unlikely to try to dislodge China from Piraeus.

"From a legal point of view, I can't see how they can go back on contracts signed with COSCO, given the size of this investment, which is the biggest in Greece in recent years," said George Xiradakis, a consultant in the merchant marine sector.

He said COSCO's involvement has helped lift Piraeus out of its "lethargy" and has "put it on the map in Europe as an essential thoroughfare from North to South".

"China will remain a privileged partner for Greece," added a maritime sector specialist who declined to be named.

On the COSCO-run dock, new cranes were installed to speed up the unloading of containers.

The Samaras government had regularly stressed that container traffic in Piraeus had increased eightfold since the lease was signed in 2008, under a previous conservative government.

Famed for his sharp business acumen and knack for perfectly timed investments, Hong Kong billionaire Li Ka-shing is shifting away from a slowing Chinese economy and bargain hunting in Europe.

The move is seen as a quest for stability for the tycoon's vast empire and a sign of diminishing confidence in the region.

Li's holdings are embodied in a striking 63-storey glass skyscraper in the heart of Hong Kong and his business decisions have the potential to affect property and utility prices for the city's seven million residents.

But his focus is now switching to European and other foreign markets.

The announcement just over a week ago that he plans to buy UK phone giant O2 for up to $15.4 billion follows prolonged asset offloading in mainland China and Hong Kong -- and a major reshuffle of his business empire announced last month.

The 86-year-old, dubbed "Superman", dismissed talk of a withdrawal from the region as "a big joke" last year.

But analysts say that his moves are a reaction to the China slowdown as well as political turmoil in Hong Kong.

Pro-democracy protests brought parts of the city to a standstill for more than two months last year, with demands Beijing grant more freedoms in the city's next leadership vote in 2017.

"They (Li's companies) are worried about the slowing down of economic growth in China, and also the political stability in Hong Kong," financial analyst Castor Pang told AFP.

"The concern about economic growth seems to be the major reason for them to make such dramatic moves during recent months."

- Pastures new -

Li has offloaded major property investments on the mainland -- where growth slowed to a 24-year low last year -- after investing heavily there in the 1990s.

Shortly before the O2 move, Li's firm Cheung Kong announced it would buy Britain's Eversholt Rail Group, which owns 28 percent of the nation's passenger trains, for $3.8 billion.

Li is playing the market with Europe a bargain hunter's playground, says Pang, head of research at Core Pacific-Yamaichi International.

"He is quite good at timing for acquiring business and assets at the lowest price, this could also be why he chooses the European market at this moment."

Independent financial analyst Francis Lun adds that the O2 move is a clear sign Li is steering away from Hong Kong and the region.

The major restructuring of his businesses in January also saw assets from multiple sectors combined under two new listed companies to be incorporated in the Cayman Islands.

"He is transferring registration to Cayman Islands, shaving off a lot of his Hong Kong and China assets and investing in what you call politically safe areas," Lun said.

The revamp of his empire is also largely seen as paving the way for Li to hand over the reins after he retires.

Shares in Cheung Kong and Li's Hutchison Whampoa -- two of Hong Kong's largest companies -- went up more than 10 percent after the reshuffle announcement and have remained stable following the O2 move.

- Business maverick -

Asia's richest man -- worth $31.4 billion according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index -- Li was born in 1928 in the Chinese city of Chaozhou.

He and his family fled to neighbouring Hong Kong during the Sino-Japanese War -- Li recalled bombs being dropped on his hometown when he was in primary school, according to an interview with Forbes Magazine in 2012.

Li first started his own business in 1950 manufacturing plastic flowers. He called the company Cheung Kong after China's Yangtze River and set it up with just US$8,700, said Forbes.

But after diversifying into property he saw large profits in the 1960s and in the next decades his businesses reached into many sectors of Hong Kong, including utilities, retail and telecommunications.

Li has had a longstanding interest in overseas markets, making investments in the Canadian property and energy sectors in the 1980s.

In recent years he has sold off local and regional assets while other Hong Kong tycoons, such as the Kwok family who owns Sun Hung Kai Properties, remain heavily invested.

This move sets him apart, says Lun.

"He is a maverick -- maybe he is a precursor for things to come."

On the Chinese mainland, the restructuring was downplayed.

"He is worthy of the nickname 'Superman,' but he may not be suitable as a bellwether for the future," said The Global Times, a newspaper close to the ruling party.

But for Li, the moves indicate a quest for stability and security for the next generation.

After the revamp, when asked if he was preparing to pass the baton to his son Victor, Li said: "The tracks have been laid down, everyone has a goal, it's a good thing for the company's foundation."

However Li shows little sign of slowing down and has given no timescale for his retirement.

"I don't think he will ever retire completely because this is not the way that Chinese do things," says Lun.

"Until he cannot even walk he will go to work every day."


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