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DISASTER MANAGEMENT
Irene damage could be 'tens of billions'
by Staff Writers
New York (AFP) Aug 28, 2011

Billy Stinson (L), his wife Sandra Stinson (C) and daughter Erin Stinson comfort each other as they sit on the steps where their cottage once stood August 28, 2011 in Nags Head, North Carolina. The cottage, built in 1903 and destroyed yesterday by Hurricane Irene, was one of the first vacation cottages built on Albemarle Sound in Nags Head. Stinson has owned the home, which is listed in the National Register of Historic Places, since 1963. "We were pretending, just for a moment, that the cottage was still behind us and we were just sitting there watching the sunset," said Erin afterward. Photo courtesy AFP.

Hurricane Irene is expected to inflict tens of billions of dollars in damage before it concludes a three-day sweep that has left a trail of havoc from Atlantic beach resorts to Manhattan high rises, officials and others said Sunday.

Assessments were just starting to come in, but as the massive storm moved into New England it was already clear that it had caused widespread flooding and structural damage across a vast swath of the US eastern seaboard.

"I've got to imagine the damage estimates will be in the billions of dollars if not the tens of billions of dollars," said Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey, whose famed "Jersey shore" was shut down as hundreds of thousands of people fled the state's long, vulnerable coastline.

Irene weakened to tropical storm status Sunday as it crashed into New York City, the National Hurricane Center said, but the still powerful storm was flooding parts of lower Manhattan.

Experts said the financial toll would be much higher if, as transpired, there was a direct hit on New York, the US financial capital and largest city with nearly 19 million people living in its metropolitan area.

Economist Peter Morici put the immediate casualty losses from the storm at $40 billion, including the loss of two days of economic activity.

But Morici, a professor at the University of Maryland, said the impact would diminish significantly over the longer term as reconstruction spending kicks in, injecting fresh spending in recession-weakened regional economies.

"Rebuilding after Irene, especially in an economy with high unemployment and underused resources in the construction and building materials industries, will unleash at least $20 billion in new direct private spending-likely more as many folks rebuild larger than before, and the capital stock that emerges will prove more economically useful and productive," he said.

Another silver lining is that the storm made landfall over a weekend, mitigating the economic impact in coastal cities although dealing a direct hit to the tourist industry at the peak of the summer beach season.

Kinetic Analysis Corp., a company that does computer modeling of predicted storm damage, predicted Friday that Irene would cause $5-10 billion in damages, based on the latest available weather data.

Losses could include damage to flooded buildings, business interruptions and cleanup costs picked by the government, said Chuck Watson, the company's director of research and development.

Reporting on Sunday, the company said losses in North and South Carolina, the first states hit as Irene made landfall on Friday, are expected to range between $200 million and $400 million.

The costliest hurricane in US history was Katrina, which flooded New Orleans in 2005 and is estimated to have caused more than $133 billion in losses.

Irene was the 10th major weather-related disaster in the United States this year, making 2011 a record year, according to a study by the National Climactic Data Center of such events going back to 1980.

Major floods, drought, tornados and a blizzard had already inflicted more than 35 billion dollars in damage this year, said the study, which was posted on the website of the National Oceonographic and Atmospheric Administration said.

Irene threatens extended flight chaos
New York (AFP) Aug 28, 2011 - Hurricane Irene air chaos threatened to last well into the week, after the giant storm forced the cancellation of more than 10,000 flights across the eastern United States, officials said Sunday.

Aviation industry officials said New York's international airports would only start to reopen on Monday afternoon. American airlines, British Airways, Air France and other carriers have already called off many flights to and from Europe and Asia on Monday.

Even though Irene was downgraded to a tropical storm on Sunday, the New York mass transit system remained closed, along with train traffic across the northeast United States and many ports.

The Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, which runs New York region airport and port facilities, said it had not determined when airports would open.

"I can't even give you a guesstimate," authority spokesman Steve Coleman told AFP.

Flights resumed in the Washington region but remained severely disrupted.

The Federal Aviation Administration said more than 10,000 flights have been cancelled from Florida up to Massachusetts since Friday because of Irene, with the number of disruptions set to increase.

Tom Hendricks, vice president of the Air Transport Association, an industry body, said airlines "slowly repositioning" jets and crew that were hastily moved away from the storm's path.

He said operations in New York would resume Monday afternoon but added "it will take a couple of days to get the networks back."

Jet Blue chief executive Dave Barger told CNBC television his company's first flight from New York would be at 3:00 pm (1900 GMT) on Monday. The US domestic carrier accounts for more than 10 percent of the cancelled flights.

Irene forced the New York city subway and bus system to close for the first time because of a weather disaster. Mayor Michael Bloomberg has warned that trains and buses may not be running again until Monday afternoon.

The New York subway is one of the world's biggest with 468 stations served by some 6,380 cars.

The transport authority was worried that the 13 subway tunnels that go under the rivers that surround Manhattan could be flooded.




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No quick return to normal for NY airports: officials
New York (AFP) Aug 28, 2011 - New York area airports will not reopen until at least late Monday, officials said after Hurricane Irene air chaos saw more than 10,000 flights canceled across the eastern United States.

New York area commuters also faced a nightmare start to the week as transport authorities said there would be no quick reversal to Saturday's mass transit shutdown.

John F. Kennedy International, LaGuardia and Newark airports all closed Saturday in the face of the oncoming hurricane.

Although the storm moved away Sunday, "service will not be resuming today," said Christopher Ward, executive director of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, which runs the area's airport and port facilities.

Ward said there could be "potential beginnings of service late tomorrow afternoon at best" at the airports and "hopefully" almost normal service on Tuesday.

American airlines, British Airways, Air France and other carriers have already called off many flights to and from Europe and Asia on Monday.

Even though Irene was downgraded to a tropical storm on Sunday, the New York mass transit system also remained closed, along with train traffic across the northeast United States and many ports.

Mass transit chairman Jay Walder said there had been "widespread impacts" to train equipment from the storm because of flooding, even if the worst case scenario of seawater flooding subway tunnels had not happened.

"The first service that we will be able to restore is the bus system," he said.

However subway trains cannot run until extensive testing and checking is done of every line.

"You're going to have a tough commute in the morning," Walder warned New Yorkers.

Meanwhile, officials at the Port Authority said they are still deliberating over when airports will open.

"I can't even give you a guesstimate," authority spokesman Steve Coleman told AFP.

Flights resumed in the Washington region but remained severely disrupted.

The Federal Aviation Administration said more than 10,000 flights have been canceled from Florida to Massachusetts since Friday because of Irene, with the number of disruptions set to increase.

Tom Hendricks, vice president of the Air Transport Association, an industry body, said airlines "slowly repositioning" jets and crew that were hastily moved away from the storm's path.

He said operations in New York would resume Monday afternoon but added "it will take a couple of days to get the networks back."

Jet Blue chief executive Dave Barger told CNBC television his company's first flight from New York would be at 3:00 pm (1900 GMT) on Monday. The US domestic carrier accounts for more than 10 percent of the canceled flights.





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DISASTER MANAGEMENT
Fear and defiance as New Yorkers face Irene
New York (AFP) Aug 27, 2011
New Yorker Igor Katamadze says he isn't too worried about the oncoming Hurricane Irene - but that's only because he's an immigrant from a country that has been plagued by war. "As long as no one is shooting at each other, I'm the happiest man in the world," said Katamadze, who is originally from Georgia, on the border with Russia. He and his wife were among the hardy - or foolhardy - ... read more


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