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POLITICAL ECONOMY
Italian firms fear looming credit crunch
by Staff Writers
Milan (AFP) Oct 23, 2011


There is a new fear spreading through Italy's industrial heartland near Milan -- a looming credit crunch for businesses linked to a spike in pressure from the financial markets.

"If we don't get any more credit we'll have to cut jobs or close the company," said Massimo Pelizza, financial director at SO.CO.TEC, a family-owned firm that produces water, heating and air conditioning systems.

The company, which employs 120 people, is doing well on the surface.

It estimates its turnover will rise this year to some 20 million euros ($27 million) from around four million euros in 2008. But SO.CO.TEC has just been turned down for a 400,000-euro loan that it needed to expand.

"We want to grow to create jobs," Pelizza said in his office in Lentate sul Seveso, some 30 kilometres (20 miles) north of Italy's commercial hub.

Research by the Bank of Italy and business daily Il Sole 24 Ore showed that the percentage of employers experiencing difficulties in obtaining credit rose last month to 28.6 percent from to 15.2 percent in June.

OMV Ventura -- a steel tube manufacturer that is also based near Milan and employs 45 people -- is in a similar bind.

"Since the start of the September, we have been seeing a major change in the attitude of banks that want to reduce their risks," said managing director Nicola Vernaglione.

OMV Ventura obtained a 1.5-million-euro loan in June for purchasing raw materials but Vernaglione said he had been told by one bank that it would only provide a loan now by "dividing the risk" with other banks.

Any new loan requests by businesses "will be very difficult," he said, warning that the problem would hit hard at the end of the year when banks review their credit lines.

"It's a bit like a snake biting its tail" since tightening of credit would worsen the economic situation even further, he added.

Experts say Italian businesses are getting hit by the banks as a knock-on effect of the market jitters of recent months over the country's strained public finances and efforts to stabilise them.

"Banks have increased their risk premiums since Italian debt, to which they are very exposed, is considered more risky," said Giuliano Noci, a professor at Milan Polytechnic University's MIP business school.

"They therefore have higher refinancing costs which is causing a lack of liquidity," he added.

Underlining the gravity of the situation, the director general of the Confindustria employers' federation, Gianpaolo Galli, warned earlier this month that the "tsunami alarm" of a credit crunch had sounded.

Giovanni Sabatini, director of the Association of Italian Banks, said that if the costs of refinancing remain high, "this will inevitably be reflected on the financing given to companies."

According to the latest figures, the number of loans given to the private sector actually increased by 4.0 percent in August from July but the figure marks a slowdown compared to preceding months.

Businessmen blame the economic situation but also a government whose shaky credibility on international markets has precipitated the sharp rise in the risk premium for Italy.

"I don't know a single businessman who doesn't have an extremely negative view" on the government, Vernaglione said.

The businessman said he had enough of "sitting down with a client and talking about bunga bunga" -- a reference to the multitude of sex scandals involving Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi.

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China premier urges vigilance against inflation
Shanghai (AFP) Oct 23, 2011 - China's Premier Wen Jiabao has called for more steps to fight stubbornly high inflation, especially surging food and housing prices which could threaten social stability, state media reported.

High inflation has persisted despite government moves to rein in soaring food and housing prices, which officials fear could spark social unrest as citizens grow angry at higher costs.

The benchmark consumer price index rose 6.1 percent year-on-year in September, slowing only marginally from a 6.2 percent rise in August and retreating from a more than three-year high of 6.5 percent in July.

The Chinese leader said ensuring the livelihood of the people had a direct link to preserving social stability, the official Xinhua news agency said in a report late Saturday, which was carried by state newspapers on Sunday.

"Measures to control prices must be implemented at the grass-roots level," Wen said while on a visit to the southern province of Guangxi last week.

China has already implemented a number of policies over the past year to try to slow the rise in prices, including restricting the amount of money banks can lend and hiking interest rates five times since October last year.

Wen said the government would control food prices by ensuring adequate supply, increasing reserves of staples and cutting costs of transporting food from producers to the market.

Food prices are of particular concern in China, as they affect the daily lives of everyone in the country, with foodstuffs accounting for more than one-third of the monthly spending of the average Chinese consumer.

In September, the key food component of inflation rose 13.4 percent year-on-year, unchanged from August, though analysts expect food prices to moderate later this year on greater pork supply and a good grain harvest.

Wen also said steps to control property prices would remain in place, despite worries such measures are shutting off a major funding source for cash-strapped local governments by curbing land sales.

Since the beginning of the year, the government has banned the purchase of second homes in some cities, increased minimum downpayments for home buyers and introduced property taxes in Shanghai and Chongqing.

China plans to invest more than $700 billion in low-cost housing to help those priced out of the property market, by building or renovating 36 million homes over the next five years, the government has said.

The government must ensure funding for affordable housing, improve the quality of design and strengthen regulation over the scheme, Wen said.



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