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POLITICAL ECONOMY
Japan consumer confidence dives at record pace

Mitsubishi Electric suffers profit fall in March quarter
Tokyo (AFP) May 16, 2011 - Japan's Mitsubishi Electric said Monday its net profit plunged 75.5 percent to 7.6 billion yen ($94 million) in the quarter to March in the wake of a massive quake and tsunami.

Its operating profit for the quarter edged upward to 41.2 billion yen from 39.9 billion yen as sales remained unchanged at 1.04 trillion yen, the electronics manufacturer said.

"Due to the Great Eastern Japan Disaster, operations at some of our plants came to a halt, while planned blackouts lowered the operating rate," Mitsubishi said.

The 9.0-magnitude earthquake and the resulting tsunami hammered Japanese production, shattered supply chains and crippled electricity-generating facilities, including a nuclear power plant at the centre of an ongoing atomic emergency.

For the full year to March, Mitsubishi said net profit surged to 124.5 billion yen from 28.3 billion yen a year earlier as its operating profit more than doubled to 233.8 billion yen on sales of 3.65 trillion yen, up 8.7 percent.

Mitsubishi Electric forecasts a net profit of 125 billion yen, an operating profit of 230 billion yen on sales at 3.77 trillion yen for the current fiscal year to March 2012.

"The business environment surrounding our company remains uncertain due to the direct impact of the Great Eastern Japan Disaster on sales and distribution as well as other impacts of the disaster on consumers' sentiment and supply chains," it said.

But the firm signalled that extra demand for durable goods following the disaster may help boost its profit as the country works on restoration.

by Staff Writers
Tokyo (AFP) May 16, 2011
Japanese consumer confidence fell at the fastest pace on record in April from the previous month, data showed Monday, after March's earthquake, tsunami and a nuclear crisis cast a shadow on the economy.

The data showed consumer sentiment worsening to a two-year low of 33.1 in April from 38.6 in March, when the index plunged after Japan's biggest recorded earthquake and a tsunami on March 11 that devastated the northeast coast.

Readings below 50 indicate pessimism outweighing optimism.

The 5.5 point drop month-on-month was the sharpest since records began in April 2004, according to the government.

Although sales of water and food surged as people stockpiled immediately after the quake and the nuclear crisis at the Fukushima Daiichi plant, consumers have held off spending on areas such as entertainment and travel.

Analysts have warned that voluntary self-restraint by consumers will exacerbate any downturn.

Japan's consumer confidence has remained below its pre-financial crisis levels and retail sales slumped last year after government subsidies for car purchases were withdrawn and incentives to purchase appliances were reduced.

Many see Japan sliding into a temporary recession after the quake and tsunami devastated infrastructure and manufacturing facilities in the northeast, plunging the nation into its worst crisis since World War II.

Japan will report gross domestic product data for the January-March period on Thursday, and economists expect to see the second straight quarterly contraction due to the impact of the disasters.

"While the earthquake occurred late in the quarter, the contraction in activity after the earthquake will likely be enough to bring down the growth rate in Q1 deep into negative territory," noted BNP Paribas' chief Japan economist Ryutaro Kono in a recent note to clients.

In the aftermath of the disasters, output, activity and spending plunged while consumer and business confidence took a tumble.

Japan has passed an emergency 4 trillion yen ($49 billion) relief budget to help fund reconstruction after the deadly March 11 earthquake and tsunami.

"GDP could easily have fallen by 1.5 percent compared to Q4," said Capital Economics.

"Given the unprecedented nature of the recent disaster there is a greater than normal degree of uncertainly in any forecasts, but we believe the risks to the consensus view are firmly on the downside."

Analysts say however that GDP should start to grow again in the third quarter as initial earthquake-related disruption is overcome and reconstruction spending starts to boost the official figures.



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