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Oil Prices Climb On US Crude Stocks Release, Hurricane Fears


London (AFP) Aug 24, 2005
Oil prices jumped on Wednesday as traders digested rising crude and distillates reserves in the United States over the past week, while gasoline stocks fell sharply, dealers said.

Energy traders were also keeping an eye on Tropical Storm Katrina, currently above the Bahamas, as it tracked towards Florida.

New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in October, gained 59 cents to 66.30 dollars per barrel in early trade.

In London, the price of Brent North Sea crude oil for delivery in October increased 50 cents to 65.15 dollars per barrel.

The US Department of Energy (DoE) said crude oil supplies increased 1.8 million barrels in the week to August 19 - well above market predictions of a 200,000-barrel rise.

But gasoline reserves dropped sharply by 3.2 million barrels, after a fall of five million barrels the previous week. The figure beat analysts' forecasts of a 900,00-barrel decrease.

Societe Generale analyst Deborah White said: "The market initially said gasoline stocks drew more than three million barrels but so what? That is because we are so close to the specification change."

Gasoline demand is expected to level out as the high-demand US summer driving season draws to a close, traditionally ending on the Labor Day holiday on September 5.

Refiners will then focus on stockpiling distillates, particularly heating fuel, before the cold sets in during the northern hemisphere winter in the fourth quarter.

Stockpiles of distillates were higher as refiners shifted capacity. DoE figures showed a 1.4-million-barrel increase, in line with analysts' forecasts.

"What is bullish is the fact that the refining problems have worsened on the east coast (and) they persisted in the midwest.

"And rather than seing the recovery that most of us expected, overall crude runs only rose 35,000 barrels a day, which is practically nothing."

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Katrina, currently above the Bahamas, should reach Florida by Friday, according to the Miami-based US National Hurricane Center.

Katrina "could be problematic for production" in the Gulf of Mexico, said analyst Marshall Steeves at Refco.

The 2005 Atlantic Ocean hurricane season lasts through to November 30, with the peak period falling from August to September.

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UPI Market Update: The End Of Cheap Oil?
Washington (UPI) Aug 24, 2005
Crude prices are unlikely to fall below $50 per barrel in 2006, the Center for Global Energy Studies, or CGES, said Tuesday in its latest monthly oil report.







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