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POLITICAL ECONOMY
Outside View: Republicans need new taxes
by Peter Morici
College Park, Md. (UPI) Jul 12, 2011

disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

U.S. President Barack Obama hardly needs more taxes to slash the federal deficit but congressional Republicans do need new taxes to survive politically.

Puzzled? Be not!

Washington is a city of paradoxes, where economics may define what is good but politics defines virtue.

Since 2007, when Democrats took control of Congress, federal spending is up $1.1 trillion -- $900 billion more than was needed for inflation. The federal deficit has jumped from $161 billion to $1.6 trillion.

Surely, Obama could cut the additional spending in half and save the country $450 billion each year and $4.5 trillion over 10 years. U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., is right -- the county has a spending problem, not a taxing problem.

Republicans took control of the House of Representatives in the last election on a cut federal spending and deficit platform. Americans were disgusted with the president's bailouts of banks and auto companies and Democrats' big spending and they want an adjustment to the center -- perhaps the center right -- but Republicans don't have a mandate to impose a severe conservative agenda.

The Tea Party remains a minority of House members and the Republicans must strike a balance between fiscal austerity and voters' aspirations on healthcare and the like to create a sustainable majority.

The strongest evidence I can cite is that the president's approval ratings have improved through these budget negotiations, even as economic news gets darker and darker. In daily tracking policies, since June 20, his approval rating has improved and the ratio of approve-disapproval has gone from negative to positive.

Americans may hold the president accountable for the bad economy and even worse jobs market but they don't hold much malice toward his position that some increased taxes -- a contribution from the wealthy and closing abusive business deductions -- has some merit.

Voters do vary on where they draw line in defining the wealth and tax abuse but hardly any national politician can play a winning hand completely rebuking the president's fairness argument.

Saturday evening, Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, pronounced that a grand deal on deficit -- slashing it by $4 trillion over 10 years -- wasn't possible, because the president insists on higher taxes as part of the package. He was giving in to pressure from his right wing, led by House Republican Leader Eric Cantor, R-Va.

The hard reality is that Cantor is politically tone deaf, Obama is not -- that explains why the former is a congressman and the latter is a president and the 2012 elections aren't likely to change that.

Just as Obama and Rep. Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., then the speaker of the House, mistook their 2008 victory as a mandate for a hard left agenda and got shellacked in 2010, Cantor and company, with their severe conservative agenda, are taking Republicans down the same well-trod path of hubris and defeat.

If the Republicans were smart, they would recognize giving the president some tax measures in a package that is overwhelmingly spending cuts is the best path politically.

Obama is playing it smart, Cantor is not!

(Peter Morici is a professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland School, and former chief economist at the U.S. International Trade Commission.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)




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Clinton to address world economy in Hong Kong
Washington (AFP) July 12, 2011 - US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said Tuesday she will address the global economic situation and American competitiveness in a pair of speeches including one in Hong Kong in late July.

"In Hong Kong later this month, I'll be speaking about the rules and values that support our global economic order," the top US diplomat told the annual conference of the Washington Global Leadership Coalition.

"And this fall, I plan to give a larger address on economics and America's strategic choices," Clinton said during a speech about the US foreign policy tools available to help create jobs in the United States.

On Friday, Clinton begins a tour that will take her to Turkey, Greece and India through July 20. The State Department has not announced further travel dates at this point.

The world's two largest economies, the United States and China, have been at odds over exchange rates, with Washington urging Beijing to let China's currency, the yuan, appreciate.

The US economy suffers from a huge trade deficit with China to the tune of $273 billion in 2010.

American lawmakers are presently in a bitter dispute over whether to raise the US debt limit, a move that President Barack Obama's administration says would avert a catastrophic default.





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