. Earth Science News .
Polar Ice Sheets Could Start To Melt This Century

-
by Lachlan Carmichael
London (AFP) Jan 30, 2006
Global warming could cause ice at both poles of the Earth to start melting this century, driving up sea levels, according to a major study published Monday by the British government.

The study, "Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change", collates evidence presented by scientists at a conference staged a year ago ahead of the 2005 Group of Eight (G8) summit, where Britain placed global warming high on the agenda.

British Prime Minister Tony Blair added his voice to the warning on Monday.

"It is clear from the work presented that the risks of climate change may well be greater than we thought," Blair said in the study's foreword.

"It is now plain that the emission of greenhouse gases, associated with industrialization and economic growth from a world population that has increased six-fold in 200 years, is causing global warming at a rate that is unsustainable."

The consensus view among scientists, the document warned, is of large-scale and irreversible disruption to the planet's climate system if temperatures rise by more than 3 degrees Celsius (5.4 Fahrenheit) above current levels.

Such a rise is well within the range of climate change projections for the century, it said, warning: "In many cases the risks are more serious than previously thought."

The international conference, which took place in Exeter, southwest England, was the biggest gathering of climate scientists since a landmark report in 2001 published under UN auspices.

That report confirmed that temperatures were rising and pinned the blame on carbon emissions disgorged mainly by the burning of oil, gas and coal.

It said that future greenhouse gas emissions were likely to raise global temperatures by between 1.4 and 5.8 degrees Celsius (2.5 and 10.4 degrees Fahrenheit) from 1990 to 2100. The temperature has already risen about 0.6 Celsius (1.6 Fahrenheit) since 1900.

But the UN report also acknowledged some uncertainties as to when, where and how this pollution would affect the climate.

The latest study says that some of the knowledge gap has been filled.

Compared with the UN report, it said, there "is greater clarity and reduced uncertainty" about the impacts of climate change across a wide range of systems, sectors and societies.

There is a serious risk of large-scale, irreversible system disruption, including the possible destabilisation of the Antarctic ice sheets if the warming goes beyond 3 Celsius (5.4 Fahrenheit) above current levels, the report warned.

A regional increase of 2.7 Celsius (4.9 Fahrenheit) above present levels could trigger melting of the Greenland ice cap, it said.

It said increasing acidity in the ocean would be likely to reduce the capacity to absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and affect the entire marine food chain.

Even a more modest rise in global temperatures of about 1 Celsius (1.8 Fahrenheit) would probably lead to extensive coral bleaching, the report said.

Source: Agence France-Presse

Related Links
-

Sat Portrait Of Global Plant Growth Will Aid Climate Research
Paris (ESA) January 31, 2006
An ambitious ESA project to chart ten years in the life of the Earth's vegetation has reached a midway point, with participants and end-users having met to review progress so far. Harnessing many terabytes of satellite data, the GLOBCARBON project is intended to hone the accuracy of climate change forecasting.







  • Natural Disasters Killed 91,900 In 2005
  • Coral, Mangroves Priceless As Natural Buffers, Fishing Grounds
  • Darkness Spikes EMS Helicopter Crashes, Fatalities
  • Contigency Plan Issued For Accidental Calamities

  • Sat Portrait Of Global Plant Growth Will Aid Climate Research
  • Two New Lakes Found Beneath Antarctic Ice Sheet
  • Polar Ice Sheets Could Start To Melt This Century
  • Of Mice Men Trees And The Global Carbon Cycle

  • Raytheon And SGI Tech Process NOAA'S GOES-R Sats Data
  • Landsat 5 Resumes Operations
  • Japan's ALOS In Orbit: ESA Will Deliver Its Data To European Researchers
  • Winter Snow On The Hindu Kush

  • Russia Muzzles Experts Critical Of Oil Pipeline To Asia
  • Ethanol Can Replace Gasoline With Big Energy Savings
  • Portugal Pushes Back Deadline For International Wind Farm Bids
  • Energy Techs Cut Path To Reduced Emissions

  • Avian Influenza Arrives In Middle East
  • Vaccine Provides 100% Protection Against Avian Flu Virus In Animal Study
  • Scientists Says Bird Flu Threatens National Security
  • Internet Game Provides Breakthrough In Predicting The Spread Of Epidemics

  • Pitt Professor's Theory Of Evolution Gets Boost From Cell Research
  • Life Leaves Subtle Signature In The Lay Of The Land, Say Berkeley Researchers
  • Duck Bill Dinosaur Mystery Finally Solved
  • Mute Swan Population Helps Explain Longstanding Evolutionary Question

  • Questions Linger After Songhua River Spill
  • Rain Gardens Soak Up Urban Storm Water Pollution
  • Clean Up Launched At One Of Czech Republic Most Dangerous Pollution Blackspots
  • Russia Halts Monitoring As Toxic Slick Dissolves In Amur

  • Study Suggests Why Neanderthals Vanished
  • New Technique Puts Brain-Imaging Research On Its Head
  • New Maps Reveal True Extent Of Human Footprint On Earth
  • Distinct Brain Regions Specialized For Faces And Bodies

  • The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2006 - SpaceDaily.AFP and UPI Wire Stories are copyright Agence France-Presse and United Press International. ESA PortalReports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additionalcopyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by SpaceDaily on any Web page published or hosted by SpaceDaily. Privacy Statement