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Geneva (AFP) July 3, 2009 The World Health Organisation still expects the swine flu pandemic to subside in the northern hemisphere over the summer, despite its persistence in the likes of the United States and Britain. Sylvie Briand, interim head of the WHO's influenza programme, said that cases of flu should still be expected but transmission would slow down thanks to the combined impact of the heat and school holidays. "First of all there's a climactic aspect, knowing that flu viruses survive better in the cold than in the heat," Briand told AFP. "The other important element is the density of contact between people. Children are on holiday and we don't have the outbreaks in schools like we had in the United States at the beginning of the epidemic," she added. Even if the influenza A(H1N1) virus is new, "I think we will nonetheless have the same seasonal nature and transmission will decline in the northern hemisphere this summer, with a weak proportion of severe cases," Briand said. England's Health Secretary Andy Burnham said Tuesday that 100,000 cases a day could occur across England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales by the end of August if the current infection rate is maintained, stressing it was a projection. In Washington, the White House said it would hold a high-level meeting next week bringing together top government officials to prepare for the possibility of a more severe outbreak of A(H1N1) influenza. The meeting was called after the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimated that at least one million people in the United States have had swine flu, basing the projection partly on computer models. British authorities have indicated that officially reported infections may fall well short of the true number of cases. At the WHO Briand suggested this was largely expected. "Of course, because there are already a lot of cases where people have few symptoms where they just have a light cough and don't go to the doctor," she said. "There are even asymptomatic cases of people who are carrying the virus and do not even know it." Briand said the WHO was thinking of ending its global reporting of laboratory-confirmed cases of swine flu in each country, because it had become "almost unmanageable" to confirm all the cases. "This data does account for a certain reality and especially the number of countries infected, which shows that most of the earth is now infected," said Briand. However, "after a certain moment, counting is of little interest and represents just a considerable loss of time for countries," she explained. The latest data released by the WHO Friday showed that 125 countries and territories have been infected since the new A(H1N1) influenza virus was uncovered in Mexico and the United States last April Some 89,921 cases were confirmed by laboratory tests, including 382 deaths, at-pac/rt
related report The statement said the resistant strain of influenza A (H1N1) was detected during routine tests of its sensitivity to anti-virals. "This is the first time Tamiflu resistance in HSI virus (has been) found in Hong Kong," a spokesman said. The case came as the Japanese health ministry said doctors had detected the second case worldwide of a patient resistant to Tamiflu, widely used to treat the illness. In the Hong Kong case the resistant virus was isolated from a specimen taken from a 16-year-old girl who arrived in the southern Chinese city from San Francisco last month. She was admitted to hospital and opted not to take Tamiflu, the spokesman said, but was discharged after a week. The strain is not resistant to the other anti-viral drug, Relenza, the health department said. A spokeswoman for Swiss pharmaceuticals giant Roche, which makes Tamiflu, said the company had been informed of the case and called it "normal." "It is absolutely normal," she said, adding that "0.4 percent of adults develop resistance" to Tamiflu. Last month, authorities ordered all primary schools in Hong Kong to be closed for two weeks after the first cluster of local swine flu cases was found. When Hong Kong discovered its first case, in early May, health authorities quarantined around 300 guests and staff at a hotel where the carrier, a Mexican, had briefly stayed. Hong Kong is particularly nervous about infectious diseases following the outbreak of the SARS virus in 2003, which killed 300 people here and a further 500 around the world. The latest numbers from the World Health Organization, released on Wednesday, showed 77,201 reported swine flu cases, with 332 deaths. In Japan, the health ministry said doctors in Osaka prefecture had identified a woman who was resistant to Tamiflu -- the second such case, after one found in Denmark. The Japanese woman had since been treated with Relenza and was recovering, Kyodo news agency reported Thursday, citing the health ministry. In China, furious relatives of a woman who died while being treated for suspected swine flu stoned an ambulance in a rampage at a hospital in the eastern city of Hangzhou, state news agency Xinhua reported. Initial reports stoked fears she might be the first person in China to die from swine flu, but police said on Friday that an autopsy had shown she died of an electric shock. Xinhua reported that the woman had shown no symptoms of swine flu at the time of death, barring an occasional cough. Share This Article With Planet Earth
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![]() ![]() Cancun (AFP) July 3, 2009 The World Health Organization (WHO) and developing nations called Friday during a swine flu summit here for measures to ensure poorer countries have access to a future A(H1N1) vaccine. Laboratories with the capacity to produce a vaccine for swine flu, which has developed into the first pandemic of the 21st century, are mostly located in Europe. This has "obvious implications for the ... read more |
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