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POLITICAL ECONOMY
Weak Japan data heap pressure on policymakers
by Staff Writers
Tokyo (AFP) Aug 29, 2014


China manufacturing growth slows in August: govt
Beijing (AFP) Sept 01, 2014 - Chinese manufacturing activity growth slowed in August, an official survey showed Monday, losing momentum for the first time in six months after having hit its highest level in more than two years.

The official purchasing managers index (PMI) came in at 51.1 last month, the National Bureau of Statistics said in a statement.

The figure was down from 51.7 in July, and the first decline since slipping to 50.2 in February, according to previous data.

The index tracks manufacturing activity in China's factories and workshops and is a closely watched indicator of the health of the economy. A reading above 50 indicates growth, while anything below points to contraction.

The August figure came in just above the median 51.0 forecast in a survey of 10 economists by Dow Jones.

July's result had been the best since 53.3 in April 2012.

China's official PMI data came after British bank HSBC last month announced a fall in its survey to a preliminary reading of 50.3 for August, down from a final reading of 51.7 in July and its lowest level in three months.

Its final figures are due out later Monday.

Chinese economic growth accelerated to a higher-than-expected 7.5 percent in the second quarter, up from 7.4 percent in the previous three months, which was the worst since a similar 7.4 percent expansion in July-September 2012.

Chinese authorities have since April launched a series of measures to bolster growth, including tax breaks for small enterprises, targeted infrastructure outlays and incentives to encourage lending in rural areas and to small companies.

China in March set its annual growth target for this year at about 7.5 percent, the same as last year.

China's Alibaba plans IPO for week of September 8: WSJ
New York (AFP) Aug 30, 2014 - Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba plans to hold its initial public offering on the US stock market the week of September 8, the Wall Street Journal reported Saturday, citing a person familiar with the matter.

The shares would then start trading as early as September 18 or 19, the source told the business daily.

Alibaba will list its shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the trading symbol "BABA," the company has said in filings with the US Security and Exchange Commission.

The initial filing indicated $1 billion will be raised in the public offering, but that amount is expected to be greatly boosted with later amendments.

But the company did not give details on the timeline for the IPO in its June filing with the SEC, saying only "the launch would be "soon as practicable."

Analysts say the listing is expected to raise somewhere around $15 billion, which would make it the technology industry's largest IPO since Facebook's in 2012.

The IPO is part of efforts by Alibaba to expand globally.

In choosing the NYSE, the company dealt a blow to the rival Nasdaq, which has been a preferred option for many tech companies but experienced a number of trading problems in the Facebook market debut.

Japan's economy slowed markedly last month as consumer spending dropped and factory output ran out of steam, data showed Friday, underscoring concerns about the state of the country's recovery.

The weak figures come after Japan suffered its biggest quarterly contraction since the 2011 quake-tsunami disaster, as an April sales tax rise slammed the brakes on growth in the world's number three economy.

While deflation remained at bay, consumer price growth stalled in July, and the fresh figures were sure to heap pressure on the Bank of Japan to usher in another round of monetary easing to kickstart growth, analysts said.

The recent data will also force Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's administration to take a hard look at whether to raise sales taxes again, after the April 1 hike -- seen as crucial to shrinking Japan's mammoth debt -- dented growth.

Abe launched a high-profile growth blitz last year, dubbed Abenomics, in a bid to kickstart an economy beset by years of deflation and slack growth.

"Today's data on industrial production and retail sales show that the economy continued to stagnate at the start of the third quarter," Marcel Thieliant from Capital Economics said in a note.

"What's more, inflation moderated in July and is set to decline further, which should increase the pressure on policymakers to do more."

The latest data showed Japan's industrial production inched up a tepid 0.2 percent in July on-month after tumbling 3.4 percent in June.

While the fresh reading was a modest rebound, it was well below market expectations for a 1.2 percent rise in factory output.

- Consumers cut back spending -

Spending among the nation's households dropped 5.9 percent from a year earlier -- falling for the fourth month in a row -- while the unemployment rate inched up again to 3.8 percent in July, after hitting a more than 15-year-low of 3.5 percent in May.

Japan's labour market had been showing signs of tightening, with rising demand for workers expected to push up wages and spur spending.

But a key jobs market index known as the jobs-to-applicant ratio was unchanged last month, suggesting that the trend was weakening.

"This marked the first time since the launch of Abenomics that the index hasn't improved," Thieliant said.

"The recovery of the labour market may soon have run its course," he added.

Tepid wage growth and consumers facing higher prices dug into spending nationwide, after millions of shoppers had made a last-minute dash to stores before sales taxes rose to 8.0 percent from 5.0 percent.

"Reaction to the April tax hike is receding, but the impact of decline in income will likely continue for a while," said Taro Saito, senior economist at NLI Research Institute in Tokyo.

"The Bank of Japan may have to announce additional easing measures by the end of this fiscal year (through March 2015)," he added.

The central bank last year unleashed a massive monetary easing plan as a cornerstone of Tokyo's growth efforts, with the BoJ setting a 2.0 percent inflation target by next year.

The move marked an all-out war on deflation, but economists have widely cast doubt on the bank's ambitious timeline.

The data Friday showed consumer inflation rose 3.3 percent in July from a year earlier, unchanged from the previous month, while core prices -- excluding the impact of the tax rise -- came in at 1.3 percent, Dow Jones Newswires said, quoting a BoJ formula.

Other factors that helped boost inflation include higher gasoline prices and electricity bills, reflecting Japan's post-Fukushima energy mix following the shutdown of its nuclear reactors.

The country was forced to turn to expensive fossil fuel imports to plug the gap left by turning off nuclear power in the wake of the 2011 atomic accident, which resulted in a ballooning trade deficit.

oh-si-kh-pb/dan

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