. Earth Science News .
WATER WORLD
With global warming, marine heatwaves like 'The Blob' could be commonplace
by Brooks Hays
Washington DC (UPI) Sep 24, 2020

In 2015, a marine heatwave dubbed "The Blob" expanded across the Northern Pacific. At its peak, the mass of warm water extended more than 2,000 miles in length, measured 1,000 miles wide and extended several hundred feet beneath the ocean surface.

According to a new study, anthropogenic climate change has made extreme heatwaves like the Blob more likely. In fact, the study's authors claim human-caused global warming is directly to blame for the Blob.

"The Blob would not have occurred in a world without climate change," lead study author Charlotte Laufkötter, a marine scientist at the University of Bern in Switzerland, told UPI in an email.

The Blob was the largest and longest heatwave in the last half-century, covering a few million square miles of ocean and lasting more than 350 days.

"Twenty years ago, the longest heatwaves lasted approximately 50 days," Laufkötter said.

For the study, published Thursday in the journal Science, Laufkötter and her colleagues began by surveying satellite data to analyze the relationship between air and ocean temperatures and the development and evolution of several large modern marine heatwaves.

Next, researchers used climate models to gauge the influence of anthropogenic climate change on extreme marine heatwaves, or EMHs. Essentially, researchers simulated marine heatwaves in two world: a 'real' one, with modern levels of greenhouse gas emissions, and an imaginary one, or preindustrial one, without greenhouse gas emissions.

"Both worlds included the variability of the climate system. We then calculated the probability in both worlds with which a heatwave as large as the Blob occurs," Laufkötter said. "The difference between the two probabilities tells us to what extent heatwaves like the Blob are influenced by anthropogenic climate change."

"In case of the Blob this was 100 percent, or in other words the Blob would not have occurred in a world without climate change," she said.

Currently, there is a 1-in-100 chance that a marine heatwave as extreme as the Blob develops during any given year. In other words, the Blob was the equivalent of a 100-year flood. Those odds will shift as the climate continues to warm.

"Already, at 1.5 degrees [Celsius] of global warming, it will be a one in approximately 10 year event," Laufkötter said.

The hotter the planet and its oceans get, the more likely extreme marine heatwaves will become. At 3 degrees warming, simulations showed Blob-like heatwaves will become an annual occurrence.

The only way to ensure extreme marine heatwaves remain an anomaly, instead of commonplace, is to stop global warming.

"In my understanding, limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees is still possible if there is immediate and determined action from all nations to fight climate change," Laufkötter said. "However, the time window to do so is short. Global warming will likely rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels between 2030 and 2052 if warming continues to increase at the current rate."

Marine heatwaves are a serious threat to environmental and human health. Over the last few decades, an uptick in marine heatwaves has triggered a rise in coral bleaching events, damaging the foundation of some of the ocean's most biodiverse ecosystems. Marine heatwaves can also increase the mortality of fish, as well as kill off seagrass and kelp forests.

"The Blob caused increased mortality of sea birds, salmon, and marine mammals, very low ocean primary productivity, harmful algal blooms and large alterations to open-ocean and coastal ecosystems," Laufkötter said.

Marine heatwaves also pose a threat to human populations on land, as they trigger extreme weather patterns, including drought, heavy precipitation and heat wave events.

Currently, most of what scientists know about marine heatwaves is from a surface-level perspective. Laufkötter hopes followup studies will offer deeper -- literally -- insights.

"Little is known about marine heatwaves at depth," she said. "We are also interested in marine extreme events other than heat, such as low chlorophyll, low oxygen or low pH events."


Related Links
Water News - Science, Technology and Politics


Thanks for being here;
We need your help. The SpaceDaily news network continues to grow but revenues have never been harder to maintain.

With the rise of Ad Blockers, and Facebook - our traditional revenue sources via quality network advertising continues to decline. And unlike so many other news sites, we don't have a paywall - with those annoying usernames and passwords.

Our news coverage takes time and effort to publish 365 days a year.

If you find our news sites informative and useful then please consider becoming a regular supporter or for now make a one off contribution.
SpaceDaily Contributor
$5 Billed Once


credit card or paypal
SpaceDaily Monthly Supporter
$5 Billed Monthly


paypal only


WATER WORLD
China launches new satellite to monitor ocean environment
Jiuquan (XNA) Sep 22, 2020
China on Monday sent a new ocean-monitoring satellite into orbit from the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center in northwest China. A Long March-4B rocket carrying the Haiyang-2C (HY-2C) satellite took off at 1:40 p.m. (Beijing Time), according to the launch center. The HY-2C, the country's third ocean dynamic environment satellite, can provide all-weather and round-the-clock observation of wave height, sea surface height, wind and temperature. Onboard equipment enables the new satellite to ... read more

Comment using your Disqus, Facebook, Google or Twitter login.



Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle

WATER WORLD
Pandemic panners: Indonesians hunt for gold in desperate times

Lebanon army surveys 85,000 building units post-Beirut blast

Stranded babies, sobbing parents: Pandemic splits surrogates from families

Greek PM to visit storm-stricken areas as reconstruction begins

WATER WORLD
Marine sponges inspire the next generation of skyscrapers and bridges

Squeezed light makes Virgo's mirrors jitter

Could PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X be swan song for consoles?

Chromium steel was first made in ancient Persia

WATER WORLD
Southern hemisphere could see up to 30% less rain at end of the century

Study: Commercial fisheries regularly catch threatened, endangered species

China launches new satellite to monitor ocean environment

Scientists publish water quality database for 12,000 freshwater lakes

WATER WORLD
If Arctic ice melt doesn't boost sea levels, do we care?

Arctic ice melt doesn't boost sea levels, so do we care?

Global change ecologist leads NASA satellite study of rapid greening across Arctic tundra

Warming temperatures are driving Arctic greening

WATER WORLD
Bushmeat trade changes hint at erosion of cultural taboos in West Africa

German bakery helps deaf Chinese earn their daily bread

Scientists teach bees to pollinate sunflowers based on scent

Farmed soils are thinning across the globe, study finds

WATER WORLD
One dead, dozens injured as tropical storm Noul hits Vietnam

Sally drenches US Southeast after hitting Gulf Coast as hurricane

Vietnam plans to evacuate one million people as storm Noul approaches

Sally leaves trail of destruction across Gulf Coast

WATER WORLD
Tracing the babies who died in France's camps for Algerian fighters

Ex-defence minister appointed Mali's transition leader

Cameroon troops jailed 10 years for murder of four civilians

Mali since independence

WATER WORLD
Unveiling: Malaysian activist fights for hijab freedom

Did our early ancestors boil their food in hot springs

DNA data shows not all Vikings were Scandinavian

The oldest Neanderthal DNA of Central-Eastern Europe









The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.